College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Akron vs. Kent State 11/17/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Akron visits Kent State on 11/17/2020 at 8:00PM.

Akron and Kent State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Akron has a record of 0-2 this season. Kent State is 2-0 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Akron Team Defense Preview

Akron has had 17 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.82 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Akron is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Akron has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Akron opponents pass the football 39.02% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 4.34 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Akron has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Akron Team Offense Preview

Akron has had 19 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.63 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Akron is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 51.40% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Akron is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Akron can take credit for 2.98 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Akron this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Akron is a better passing team than running team this season.

Kent State Team Defense Preview

Kent State has had 20 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.05 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Kent State is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 49.50% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Kent State opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Kent State can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.02 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Kent State has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Kent State should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Kent State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Kent State Team Offense Preview

Kent State has had 21 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.67 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Kent State. Kent State has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 40.00% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Kent State has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.96 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Kent State this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Kent State is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Akron Roster

The Players to Watch for Akron

Zach Gibson QB 6-3 210

This season, Zach Gibson has put up 343 yards and 2 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 109.0thus far this season. Zach Gibson has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Zach Gibson has 11.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 41.52 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 15.0 times this season, which puts him in the 54.15 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Teon Dollard RB 5-11 205

This season, Teon Dollard has 232 rushing yards on 38 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Teon Dollard picked up 22 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 6 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Nate Stewart WR 6-2 205

This season, Nate Stewart picked up 88 yards. He caught the ball 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Nazir Sy DL 6-2 308

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Akron, Nazir Sy has 5 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 23.19 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.42 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Adetutu Daranijo S 5-10 192

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Akron, Adetutu Daranijo had 11 tackles which puts him in the 54.23 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.2 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Adetutu Daranijo as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.5 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

A.J. Watts CB 6-1 192

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Akron, A.J. Watts had 6 tackles which puts him in the 43.41 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 36.01 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. A.J. Watts as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.07 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Kent State Roster

The Players to Watch for Kent State

Dustin Crum QB 6-3 207

This season, Dustin Crum has put up 490 yards and 6 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 174.9thus far this season. Dustin Crum has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Dustin Crum has 60.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 69.55 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 18.0 times this season, which puts him in the 58.48 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Bryan Bradford RB 6-0 243

This season, Bryan Bradford has 185 rushing yards on 25 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Bryan Bradford picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Isaiah McKoy WR 6-3 200

This season, Isaiah McKoy picked up 178 yards. He caught the ball 14 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Nadir Pineda DT 6-3 278

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kent State, Nadir Pineda has 2 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 27.32 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 35.37 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Zayin West DE 6-1 272

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kent State, Zayin West has 8 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 52.78 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.42 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Dean Clark S 6-0 211

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kent State, Dean Clark had 14 tackles which puts him in the 60.97 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.2 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Dean Clark as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 86.38 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Tony Butler CB 6-2 214

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kent State, Tony Butler had 6 tackles which puts him in the 43.41 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 36.01 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Tony Butler as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.07 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Akron vs. Kent State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Akron 15 Kent State 36

Spread Pick: Akron +25.5 -111 Bookmaker
Moneyline Pick: Kent State -1400 JazzSports
Total Pick: Under 60.5 -110 BetOnline