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Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina 11/21/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Appalachian State visits Coastal Carolina on 11/21/2020 at 12:00PM.

Appalachian State and Coastal Carolina face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Appalachian State has a record of 6-1 this season. Coastal Carolina is 7-0 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Appalachian State Team Defense Preview

Appalachian State has had 73 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.77 plays per drive. Appalachian State lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Appalachian State opponents pass the football 51.07% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Appalachian State opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.9 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Appalachian State has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Appalachian State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Appalachian State Team Offense Preview

Appalachian State has had 74 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.09 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Appalachian State. Appalachian State has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 39.02% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Appalachian State has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Appalachian State can take credit for 3.25 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Appalachian State coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Appalachian State this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Appalachian State has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Coastal Carolina Team Defense Preview

Coastal Carolina has had 72 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.24 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 50.66% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Coastal Carolina is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Coastal Carolina can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.99 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Coastal Carolina should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Coastal Carolina has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Coastal Carolina Team Offense Preview

Coastal Carolina has had 73 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.67 plays per drive. Coastal Carolina runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Coastal Carolina has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 39.13% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Coastal Carolina is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Coastal Carolina can take credit for 3.05 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Coastal Carolina this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Coastal Carolina is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Appalachian State Roster

The Players to Watch for Appalachian State

Zac Thomas QB 6-1 210

This season, Zac Thomas has put up 1285 yards and 12 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 148.8thus far this season. Zac Thomas has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Zac Thomas has 275.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 94.2 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 54.0 times this season, which puts him in the 89.93 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Daetrich Harrington RB 6-0 190

This season, Daetrich Harrington has 595 rushing yards on 106 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 7 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Daetrich Harrington picked up 15 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 2 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Thomas Hennigan WR 6-1 210

This season, Thomas Hennigan picked up 367 yards. He caught the ball 22 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Demetrius Taylor DL 6-1 275

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Appalachian State, Demetrius Taylor has 21 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 97.64 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 95.66 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Kaiden Smith DB 6-1 200

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Appalachian State, Kaiden Smith had 35 tackles which puts him in the 91.99 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 76.48 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Kaiden Smith as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.44 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Coastal Carolina Roster

The Players to Watch for Coastal Carolina

Grayson McCall QB 6-3 200

This season, Grayson McCall has put up 1393 yards and 16 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 193.9thus far this season. Grayson McCall has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Grayson McCall has 271.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 93.52 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 56.0 times this season, which puts him in the 90.44 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 4.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Torrance Marable RB 5-10 200

This season, Torrance Marable has 370 rushing yards on 98 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Torrance Marable picked up 154 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 20 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 5 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jaivon Heiligh WR 6-2 190

This season, Jaivon Heiligh picked up 610 yards. He caught the ball 35 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

C.J. Brewer DT 6-2 280

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Coastal Carolina, C.J. Brewer has 32 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 97.82 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 5 times this season, which put him in the 100.0 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Tarron Jackson DE 6-2 260

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Coastal Carolina, Tarron Jackson has 33 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 10 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 99.12 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 98.9 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 3 fumbles this season.

Alex Spillum S 6-2 190

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Coastal Carolina, Alex Spillum had 30 tackles which puts him in the 87.87 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Alex Spillum as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 86.34 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Derrick Bush CB 6-1 190

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Coastal Carolina, Derrick Bush had 20 tackles which puts him in the 84.75 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 93.24 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Derrick Bush as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 84.75 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Appalachian State 30 Coastal Carolina 26

Spread Pick: Appalachian State +5 -110 bet365
Moneyline Pick: Appalachian State +176 matchbook
Total Pick: Over 48 -110 bet365