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Appalachian State vs. Georgia Southern 12/12/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Appalachian State visits Georgia Southern on 12/12/2020 at 6:00PM.

Appalachian State and Georgia Southern face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Appalachian State has a record of 7-3 this season. Georgia Southern is 7-4 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Appalachian State Team Defense Preview

Appalachian State has had 102 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.59 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Appalachian State opponents pass the football 49.12% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Appalachian State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Appalachian State can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.78 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Appalachian State has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Appalachian State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Appalachian State Team Offense Preview

Appalachian State has had 102 total drives this season and they generate 6.34 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Appalachian State. Appalachian State has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Appalachian State passes the football 40.03% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Appalachian State has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Appalachian State can take credit for 3.24 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Appalachian State coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Appalachian State has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Appalachian State has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Georgia Southern Team Defense Preview

Georgia Southern has had 120 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.35 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Georgia Southern opponents pass the football 52.02% of the time.Georgia Southern tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Georgia Southern opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.28 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Georgia Southern is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Georgia Southern Team Offense Preview

Georgia Southern has had 120 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.38 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Georgia Southern has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 23.22% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Georgia Southern can take credit for 3.2 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Georgia Southern coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Georgia Southern has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Georgia Southern has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Appalachian State Roster

The Players to Watch for Appalachian State

Zac Thomas QB 6-1 210

This season, Zac Thomas has put up 1867 yards and 17 touchdowns. He has thrown 10 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 143.5thus far this season. Zac Thomas has thrown 10 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Zac Thomas has 274.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 91.05 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 75.0 times this season, which puts him in the 90.74 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Camerun Peoples RB 6-2 210

This season, Camerun Peoples has 738 rushing yards on 128 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 7 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Camerun Peoples picked up 14 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 3 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Thomas Hennigan WR 6-1 210

This season, Thomas Hennigan picked up 507 yards. He caught the ball 37 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Demetrius Taylor DL 6-1 275.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Appalachian State, Demetrius Taylor has 36 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 13 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 99.29 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 97.86 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 2 fumbles this season.

Kaiden Smith DB 6-1 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Appalachian State, Kaiden Smith had 49 tackles which puts him in the 94.22 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 71.77 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Kaiden Smith as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.97 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Georgia Southern Roster

The Players to Watch for Georgia Southern

Shai Werts QB 5-11 205

This season, Shai Werts has put up 937 yards and 7 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 136.0thus far this season. Shai Werts has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Shai Werts has 638.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 99.69 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 131.0 times this season, which puts him in the 99.69 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 8.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

J.D. King RB 5-11 220

This season, J.D. King has 625 rushing yards on 116 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, J.D. King picked up 14 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 3 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Malik Murray WR 6-0 180

This season, Malik Murray picked up 253 yards. He caught the ball 19 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

C.J. Wright NT 6-0 290

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Georgia Southern, C.J. Wright has 26 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 81.61 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.96 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Raymond Johnson III DE 6-3 270.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Georgia Southern, Raymond Johnson III has 31 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 13 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 99.29 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 5 times this season, which put him in the 96.59 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Anthony Wilson S 5-10 190.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Georgia Southern, Anthony Wilson had 50 tackles which puts him in the 94.77 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 86.1 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Anthony Wilson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.97 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Derrick Canteen CB 5-11 185

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Georgia Southern, Derrick Canteen had 39 tackles which puts him in the 96.6 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 34.7 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Derrick Canteen as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes this season, which puts him in the 97.73 percentile among Corners this season.

Appalachian State vs. Georgia Southern Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Appalachian State 30 Georgia Southern 21

Spread Pick: Appalachian State -8.5 -112 Bookmaker
Moneyline Pick: Appalachian State -315 Bookmaker
Total Pick: Over 45 -109 Pinnacle Sports