College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Arizona vs. UCLA 11/28/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Arizona visits UCLA on 11/28/2020 at 8:00PM.

Arizona and UCLA face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Arizona has a record of 0-2 this season. UCLA is 1-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Arizona Team Defense Preview

Arizona has had 19 total defensive drives this season and they yield 6.26 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Arizona cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Arizona message boards are flights of fantasy. Passing plays make up 50.42% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Arizona opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.59 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Arizona has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Arizona Team Offense Preview

Arizona has had 20 total drives this season and they generate 4.95 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Arizona is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 55.56% of their play calls.Arizona tends to pass more than other teams.

Arizona is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.84 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Arizona this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Arizona is a better passing team than running team this season.

UCLA Team Defense Preview

UCLA has had 39 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.26 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. UCLA has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. UCLA opponents pass the football 48.78% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

UCLA is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? UCLA can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.75 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!UCLA has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

UCLA Team Offense Preview

UCLA has had 36 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.81 plays per drive. UCLA runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. UCLA has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 46.89% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, UCLA has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. UCLA can take credit for 3.47 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the UCLA Offense. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. UCLA has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Arizona Roster

The Players to Watch for Arizona

Grant Gunnell QB 6-6 228

This season, Grant Gunnell has put up 545 yards and 6 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 152.8thus far this season. Grant Gunnell has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Grant Gunnell has 17.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 45.57 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 20.0 times this season, which puts him in the 62.3 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Gary Brightwell RB 6-1 218

This season, Gary Brightwell has 167 rushing yards on 32 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Gary Brightwell picked up 32 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 7 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Stanley Berryhill III WR 5-10 177

This season, Stanley Berryhill III picked up 135 yards. He caught the ball 13 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Kyon Barrs DT 6-2 304

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Arizona, Kyon Barrs has 9 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 25.82 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 34.51 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Roy Lopez DL 6-2 318

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Arizona, Roy Lopez has 8 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 68.37 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 31.47 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Rhedi Short DB 6-1 194.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Arizona, Rhedi Short had 14 tackles which puts him in the 58.06 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 33.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Rhedi Short as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The UCLA Roster

The Players to Watch for UCLA

Dorian Thompson-Robinson QB 6-1 200

This season, Dorian Thompson-Robinson has put up 499 yards and 7 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 144.0thus far this season. Dorian Thompson-Robinson has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Dorian Thompson-Robinson has 161.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 86.56 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 21.0 times this season, which puts him in the 63.28 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Demetric Felton RB 5-10 200

This season, Demetric Felton has 331 rushing yards on 69 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Demetric Felton picked up 80 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 12 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Kyle Phillips WR 5-11 184

This season, Kyle Phillips picked up 153 yards. He caught the ball 14 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Osa Odighizuwa DL 6-2 279

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for UCLA, Osa Odighizuwa has 15 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 5 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 90.07 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 91.71 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Stephan Blaylock DB 5-10 185.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for UCLA, Stephan Blaylock had 20 tackles which puts him in the 68.5 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 33.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Stephan Blaylock as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Arizona vs. UCLA Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Arizona 35 UCLA 38

Spread Pick: Arizona +11 -109 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: UCLA -335 5Dimes
Total Pick: Over 69 -109 Pinnacle Sports