College Basketball Picks, Predictions, and Previews

Arkansas-Baylor Prediction and Preview for 3/29/2021

Arkansas takes on Baylor on 3/29/2021 at 9:57PM.

Arkansas and Baylor predictions are here in this article for you. It is TOURNAMENT TIME! Get excited people. Even if you did not submit a bracket, you can still find value in every game like it is the regular season. Arkansas has a record of 25-6 this season. Baylor is 25-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Arkansas Team Defense Preview

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They have an elite level defense and fans may not appreciate it because they get so fixated on scoring, dunks, and drama, but this defense is as good as it gets right now. Now that we know what the overall defense looks like, it is time to understand why this defense is the way it is. Defensively, they are above average at stifling opponent ball movement. Opponents are a little bit disjointed against them. Nothing will blow you away about their ability to force live ball turnovers.

This is a decent defensive team that is able to force some bad shots. There is greater diversity of shot selection against them. Not a team that faces a heavy barrage of three point shots. They feature a decent perimeter defense that is able to force some bad three point shots. This is a decent interior defense or schemed defense that is able to force more mid-range shots. Their ability to block shots is above average. Their defensive rebounding is above average relative to other teams.

Arkansas Team Offense Preview

You should not have high expectations considering their offensive efficiency is 108.1, but relatively speaking it is still a slightly above-average offense. This analysis would be woefully incomplete without going into further detail aside from just an offensive efficiency rating. They tend to score a bit more off the dribble inside the perimeter than most. They do an above average job protecting the basketball and making decisions on offense.

Their Effective Field Goal Rate is 0.507, which considered to be slightly above average. Their True Shooting Percentage is 0.544 which considered to be slightly above average. They attempt 0.342 of their shots from three point range. They take threes less often than many in College Basketball. They made 0.333 of their shots from three point range. They would be considered below average from beyond the arc. Getting to the Free Throw Line is a neutral part of the offensive mindset and approach. They made 0.74 of their shots from the Free Throw Line. They are a slightly above average Free Throw shooting team. They successfully retrieved 31.2% of their missed shots. They are a slightly above average rebounding team.

Baylor Team Defense Preview

They have an elite level defense and fans may not appreciate it because they get so fixated on scoring, dunks, and drama, but this defense is as good as it gets right now. This analysis would be woefully incomplete without going into further detail aside from just a defensive efficiency rating. Defensively, they are above average at stifling opponent ball movement. Opponents are a little bit disjointed against them. This team has strong on-ball defenders and players who can attack the passing lanes.

This is a decent defensive team that is able to force some bad shots. This defense discourages three point shots a bit more than others. They feature a decent perimeter defense that is able to force some bad three point shots. This is a decent interior defense or schemed defense that is able to force more mid-range shots. Nothing will blow you away about their ability to block shots. This is an average defensive rebounding team, this is not a death knell for the team, but they should strive to be better.

Baylor Team Offense Preview

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Leading off the offensive discussion with offensive efficiency, theirs is 118.2, which means that if you want to be succinct about it and not consider anything more, you can say the offense is strong. Now that we know what the overall offense looks like, it is time to understand why this offense is the way it is. Compared to the rest of the league, there is a sense of neutrality about ball movement to set up 2 point shots. This is a smooth running offense and the players make good decisions on the floor. This typically goes hand-in-hand with strong shot selection and higher Field Goal percentages.

Their Effective Field Goal Rate is 0.566, which considered to be quite strong. Their True Shooting Percentage is 0.585 which considered to be above average. They attempt 0.389 of their shots from three point range. They fall right around average in College Basketball. They made 0.408 of their shots from three point range. They are among the best in the coutnry from three point range. No attack mindset in this offense whatsoever, they are among the laggards in Free Throw Rate. They do not dribble drive and they like to take a lot of jump shots whether they be mid-range or from three point range. They made 0.699 of their shots from the Free Throw Line. They would be considered below average from the charity stripe. They were able to get back 36.4% of their missed shots. They are a strong offensive rebounding team.

The Arkansas Roster

The Players to Watch for Arkansas

Moses Moody 6-6 205 pound Guard

Moses Moody has a 20.8 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. He is among the best in the conference and even in the country as far as his on-the-court contributions. Definitely, a player to watch and opponents will have him scouted. He is considered one of the key players on the floor when he is out there playing.

Offensive Breakdown

Moses Moody attempted 0.42 of his shots from three point range. This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. Moses Moody shot 0.367 from long range this season. He is considered an above-average three point shooter and a threat who must be contained on the perimeter. Moses Moody shot 0.482 inside the perimeter. He is not a remarkable scorer inside the perimeter. When he puts up a shot, there is meaning to it. It is of great consequence and he is able to score.

You can expect him to crash the boards on a consistent basis on the offensive end, his success is better than most. He is not known for his ability to distribute the ball to his teammates. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.

Defensive Breakdown

Moses Moody has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He is an average defensive rebounder who is serviceable in his role. A strong shot-blocker who must be accounted for by opponents looking to attack the basket or post up on him. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but Moses Moody is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.

Jalen Tate 6-6 175 pound Forward

Jalen Tate has a 15.5 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. In the grand scheme of things, he is an average College Basketball player this season as far as his contributions are concerned. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.

Offensive Breakdown

Jalen Tate attempted 0.283 of his shots from three point range. This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. Jalen Tate shot 0.333 from long range this season. This season, he would be considered an average three point shooter. He made 0.542 of his two point shots attempted this season. He is a solid finisher at the rim and his shot selection is generally strong inside the perimeter. His ability to score is not necessarily anything to behold and amassing points in his case is a matter of volume rather than efficiency.

His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.He is one of the best at creating scoring opportunities for his teammates. He is a turnover prone player and he is a target for defenses. Playing more physical against him or making sure to jump his passes may be a good idea.

Defensive Breakdown

Jalen Tate has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He does not put an effort to attacking the glass and pulling down rebounds. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but Jalen Tate is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.

Justin Smith 6-7 230 pound Forward

Justin Smith sports a 20.9 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. He is among the best in the conference and even in the country as far as his on-the-court contributions. Definitely, a player to watch and opponents will have him scouted. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.

Offensive Breakdown

Justin Smith attempted 0.081 of his shots from three point range. He is not considered a frequent shooter from three point range. He made 0.217 of his three point shots fired this season. He comes into this season viewed as a poor three point shooter. He made 0.575 of his two point shots attempted this season. He is a solid finisher at the rim and his shot selection is generally strong inside the perimeter. When he puts up a shot, there is meaning to it. It is of great consequence and he is able to score.

He is one of the best at creating second chance scoring opportunities in the country, his ability to grab offensive rebounds is very difficult to beat. His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.

Defensive Breakdown

Justin Smith has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He is an average defensive rebounder who is serviceable in his role. A strong shot-blocker who must be accounted for by opponents looking to attack the basket or post up on him. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but Justin Smith is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.

JD Notae 6-1 195 pound Guard

JD Notae sports a 18.9 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. There is potential for much more this season than his campaign this season. Consider that he is one of the better players in the conference and he can mean much more. Few teams have a player like him to take on that much of the workload.

Offensive Breakdown

JD Notae this season has 0.49 of his shots attempted from 3 point range He is considered one of the more frequent three point shooters in the conference. He made 0.327 of his three point shots fired this season. This season, he would be considered an average three point shooter. JD Notae shot 0.419 inside the perimeter. He is very inefficient inside the perimeter taking long jump shots and not showing an ability to finish at the rim. He is not efficient in his scoring attempts regardless of where it takes place.

His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.He is a stronger distributor than most that is for sure, but he is not among the elite. He is an average player when it comes to his ability to avoid committing turnovers.

Defensive Breakdown

JD Notae has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He is an average defensive rebounder who is serviceable in his role. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. An aggressive defender who is among the best at successfully forcing live ball turnovers in every which way. He learned the Art of the Steal.

Davonte Davis 6-3 180 pound Guard

Davonte Davis has a 15.1 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. In the grand scheme of things, he is an average College Basketball player this season as far as his contributions are concerned. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.

Offensive Breakdown

Davonte Davis this season has 0.051 of his shots attempted from 3 point range He is not considered a frequent shooter from three point range. He made 0.182 of his three point shots fired this season. He comes into this season viewed as a poor three point shooter. He made 0.493 of his two point shots attempted this season. He is not a remarkable scorer inside the perimeter. He is not efficient in his scoring attempts regardless of where it takes place.

His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.He is a stronger distributor than most that is for sure, but he is not among the elite. He is an average player when it comes to his ability to avoid committing turnovers.

Defensive Breakdown

Davonte Davis has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He is an average defensive rebounder who is serviceable in his role. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. Watch out on the passing lanes, he will use his length and athleticism to force turnovers. He may even pick your pocket, opponents should be wary.

Desi Sills 6-1 202 pound Guard

Desi Sills has a 15.4 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. In the grand scheme of things, he is an average College Basketball player this season as far as his contributions are concerned. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.

Offensive Breakdown

Desi Sills attempted 0.439 of his shots from three point range. This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. Desi Sills shot 0.325 from long range this season. This season, he would be considered an average three point shooter. Desi Sills shot 0.519 inside the perimeter. He is not a remarkable scorer inside the perimeter. His ability to score is not necessarily anything to behold and amassing points in his case is a matter of volume rather than efficiency.

His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.

Defensive Breakdown

Desi Sills has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He does not put an effort to attacking the glass and pulling down rebounds. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. An aggressive defender who is among the best at successfully forcing live ball turnovers in every which way. He learned the Art of the Steal.

Connor Vanover 7-3 247 pound Forward

Connor Vanover has a 21.1 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. He is among the best in the conference and even in the country as far as his on-the-court contributions. Definitely, a player to watch and opponents will have him scouted. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.

Offensive Breakdown

Connor Vanover this season has 0.477 of his shots attempted from 3 point range He is considered one of the more frequent three point shooters in the conference. Connor Vanover shot 0.324 from long range this season. This season, he would be considered an average three point shooter. Connor Vanover shot 0.568 inside the perimeter. He is a solid finisher at the rim and his shot selection is generally strong inside the perimeter. His ability to score is not necessarily anything to behold and amassing points in his case is a matter of volume rather than efficiency.

You can expect him to crash the boards on a consistent basis on the offensive end, his success is better than most. He is not known for his ability to distribute the ball to his teammates. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.

Defensive Breakdown

Connor Vanover has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. Windex has found their new pitchman and his abilities on the defensive glass certainly warrant such a Dick Vitale-ism. He is one of the best shot-blockers in College Basketball, opponents have to game plan around him and he is an insurance policy of sorts for his team on the defensive end. This may enable them to take more risks defensively knowing he can erase shots. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but Connor Vanover is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.

Jaylin Williams 6-10 245 pound Forward

Jaylin Williams sports a 13.3 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. In the grand scheme of things, he is an average College Basketball player this season as far as his contributions are concerned. He is not a very active participant on the floor. He may even be considered just a screener or a warm body out there.

Offensive Breakdown

Jaylin Williams this season has 0.359 of his shots attempted from 3 point range This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. He made 0.304 of his three point shots fired this season. This season, he would be considered an average three point shooter. He made 0.537 of his two point shots attempted this season. He is a solid finisher at the rim and his shot selection is generally strong inside the perimeter. His ability to score is not necessarily anything to behold and amassing points in his case is a matter of volume rather than efficiency.

You can expect him to crash the boards on a consistent basis on the offensive end, his success is better than most. He is not known for his ability to distribute the ball to his teammates. His inability to prevent himself from committing turnovers is a massive liability for his team.

Defensive Breakdown

Jaylin Williams has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. Windex has found their new pitchman and his abilities on the defensive glass certainly warrant such a Dick Vitale-ism. He is one of the best shot-blockers in College Basketball, opponents have to game plan around him and he is an insurance policy of sorts for his team on the defensive end. This may enable them to take more risks defensively knowing he can erase shots. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but Jaylin Williams is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.

The Baylor Roster

The Players to Watch for Baylor

Davion Mitchell 6-2 205 pound Guard

Davion Mitchell sports a 22.2 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. He is among the best in the conference and even in the country as far as his on-the-court contributions. Definitely, a player to watch and opponents will have him scouted. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.

Offensive Breakdown

Davion Mitchell attempted 0.482 of his shots from three point range. He is considered one of the more frequent three point shooters in the conference. He made 0.45 of his three point shots fired this season. He is a sharpshooter from long range and his ability to shoot three point shots must be respected. Davion Mitchell shot 0.589 inside the perimeter. He gets his work done inside the restricted arc and has shown a strong ability to finish at the rim while showing great restraint to avoid less optimal shots. He is among the most efficient in his ability to score. As a shooter regardless of where he is, he makes something damaging happen for opponents.

This season, when shots were missed, Davion Mitchell is certainly not there to help his team get a second chance opportunity.He is one of the best at creating scoring opportunities for his teammates. He is a turnover prone player and he is a target for defenses. Playing more physical against him or making sure to jump his passes may be a good idea.

Defensive Breakdown

Davion Mitchell has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He does not put an effort to attacking the glass and pulling down rebounds. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. An aggressive defender who is among the best at successfully forcing live ball turnovers in every which way. He learned the Art of the Steal.

MaCio Teague 6-4 195 pound Guard

MaCio Teague has a 21.9 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. He is among the best in the conference and even in the country as far as his on-the-court contributions. Definitely, a player to watch and opponents will have him scouted. He is considered one of the key players on the floor when he is out there playing.

Offensive Breakdown

MaCio Teague this season has 0.42 of his shots attempted from 3 point range This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. MaCio Teague shot 0.394 from long range this season. He is considered an above-average three point shooter and a threat who must be contained on the perimeter. He made 0.54 of his two point shots attempted this season. He is a solid finisher at the rim and his shot selection is generally strong inside the perimeter. When he puts up a shot, there is meaning to it. It is of great consequence and he is able to score.

His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.

Defensive Breakdown

He is a strong defender who makes a positive impact for his team on the defensive end. He does not put an effort to attacking the glass and pulling down rebounds. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but MaCio Teague is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.

Jared Butler 6-3 195 pound Guard

Jared Butler sports a 24.8 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. He is among the best in the conference and even in the country as far as his on-the-court contributions. Definitely, a player to watch and opponents will have him scouted. Few teams have a player like him to take on that much of the workload.

Offensive Breakdown

Jared Butler this season has 0.491 of his shots attempted from 3 point range He is considered one of the more frequent three point shooters in the conference. Jared Butler shot 0.399 from long range this season. He is considered an above-average three point shooter and a threat who must be contained on the perimeter. Jared Butler shot 0.54 inside the perimeter. He is a solid finisher at the rim and his shot selection is generally strong inside the perimeter. When he puts up a shot, there is meaning to it. It is of great consequence and he is able to score.

This season, when shots were missed, Jared Butler is certainly not there to help his team get a second chance opportunity.He is one of the best at creating scoring opportunities for his teammates. He is an average player when it comes to his ability to avoid committing turnovers.

Defensive Breakdown

Jared Butler has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He is an average defensive rebounder who is serviceable in his role. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. An aggressive defender who is among the best at successfully forcing live ball turnovers in every which way. He learned the Art of the Steal.

Mark Vital 6-5 250 pound Forward

Mark Vital has a 17.3 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. There is potential for much more this season than his campaign this season. Consider that he is one of the better players in the conference and he can mean much more. He is not a very active participant on the floor. He may even be considered just a screener or a warm body out there.

Offensive Breakdown

Mark Vital this season has 0.038 of his shots attempted from 3 point range He is not considered a frequent shooter from three point range. Mark Vital shot 0.0 from long range this season. He comes into this season viewed as a poor three point shooter. Mark Vital shot 0.5 inside the perimeter. He is not a remarkable scorer inside the perimeter. He is not efficient in his scoring attempts regardless of where it takes place.

He is one of the best at creating second chance scoring opportunities in the country, his ability to grab offensive rebounds is very difficult to beat. His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is an average player when it comes to his ability to avoid committing turnovers.

Defensive Breakdown

Mark Vital has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. Windex has found their new pitchman and his abilities on the defensive glass certainly warrant such a Dick Vitale-ism. He is one of the best shot-blockers in College Basketball, opponents have to game plan around him and he is an insurance policy of sorts for his team on the defensive end. This may enable them to take more risks defensively knowing he can erase shots. Watch out on the passing lanes, he will use his length and athleticism to force turnovers. He may even pick your pocket, opponents should be wary.

Adam Flagler 6-3 180 pound Guard

Adam Flagler sports a 17.8 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. There is potential for much more this season than his campaign this season. Consider that he is one of the better players in the conference and he can mean much more. He is not a very active participant on the floor. He may even be considered just a screener or a warm body out there.

Offensive Breakdown

Adam Flagler this season has 0.587 of his shots attempted from 3 point range He is considered one of the more frequent three point shooters in the conference. He made 0.408 of his three point shots fired this season. He is a sharpshooter from long range and his ability to shoot three point shots must be respected. He made 0.522 of his two point shots attempted this season. He is not a remarkable scorer inside the perimeter. He is among the most efficient in his ability to score. As a shooter regardless of where he is, he makes something damaging happen for opponents.

His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.

Defensive Breakdown

Adam Flagler has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He does not put an effort to attacking the glass and pulling down rebounds. He is not a shot blocker. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but Adam Flagler is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.

Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua 6-8 245 pound Forward

Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua sports a 17.7 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. There is potential for much more this season than his campaign this season. Consider that he is one of the better players in the conference and he can mean much more. He is not a very active participant on the floor. He may even be considered just a screener or a warm body out there.

Offensive Breakdown

Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua attempted 0.0 of his shots from three point range. He is not considered a frequent shooter from three point range. Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua shot nan from long range this season. He is a sharpshooter from long range and his ability to shoot three point shots must be respected. Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua shot 0.558 inside the perimeter. He is a solid finisher at the rim and his shot selection is generally strong inside the perimeter. When he puts up a shot, there is meaning to it. It is of great consequence and he is able to score.

He is one of the best at creating second chance scoring opportunities in the country, his ability to grab offensive rebounds is very difficult to beat. He is not known for his ability to distribute the ball to his teammates. He is an average player when it comes to his ability to avoid committing turnovers.

Defensive Breakdown

He is a strong defender who makes a positive impact for his team on the defensive end. Windex has found their new pitchman and his abilities on the defensive glass certainly warrant such a Dick Vitale-ism. He is one of the best shot-blockers in College Basketball, opponents have to game plan around him and he is an insurance policy of sorts for his team on the defensive end. This may enable them to take more risks defensively knowing he can erase shots. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.

Matthew Mayer 6-9 225 pound Guard

Matthew Mayer has a 25.9 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. He is among the best in the conference and even in the country as far as his on-the-court contributions. Definitely, a player to watch and opponents will have him scouted. Few teams have a player like him to take on that much of the workload.

Offensive Breakdown

Matthew Mayer attempted 0.394 of his shots from three point range. This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. Matthew Mayer shot 0.403 from long range this season. He is a sharpshooter from long range and his ability to shoot three point shots must be respected. He made 0.544 of his two point shots attempted this season. He is a solid finisher at the rim and his shot selection is generally strong inside the perimeter. When he puts up a shot, there is meaning to it. It is of great consequence and he is able to score.

You can expect him to crash the boards on a consistent basis on the offensive end, his success is better than most. His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.

Defensive Breakdown

Matthew Mayer has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. Windex has found their new pitchman and his abilities on the defensive glass certainly warrant such a Dick Vitale-ism. A strong shot-blocker who must be accounted for by opponents looking to attack the basket or post up on him. An aggressive defender who is among the best at successfully forcing live ball turnovers in every which way. He learned the Art of the Steal.

Arkansas vs. Baylor Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Arkansas 71 Baylor 78

Spread Pick: Arkansas +8 -105 Bovada Get $250 by signing up now.
Over Pick: Over 147.5 -110 BetOnline Get Up to a Grand in Your Hand Now!

Odds Shark Picks for Arkansas and Baylor

Spread Pick: Arkansas +8 -105 Bovada Get $250 by signing up now.
Under Pick: Under 148 -110 Bovada Get $250 by signing up now.

Scores and Stats Picks for Arkansas and Baylor

Spread Pick: Baylor -7.5 -110 BetOnline Get Up to a Grand in Your Hand Now!
Over Pick: Over 147.5 -110 BetOnline Get Up to a Grand in Your Hand Now!

Donchess Picks for Arkansas and Baylor

Spread Pick: Baylor -7.5 -110 BetOnline Get Up to a Grand in Your Hand Now!
Over Pick: Over 147.5 -110 BetOnline Get Up to a Grand in Your Hand Now!