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Arkansas vs. Florida 11/14/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Arkansas visits Florida on 11/14/2020 at 7:00PM.

Arkansas and Florida face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Arkansas has a record of 3-3 this season. Florida is 4-1 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Arkansas Team Defense Preview

Arkansas has had 77 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.74 plays per drive. Arkansas lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Arkansas has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 50.00% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Arkansas is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.23 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Arkansas has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Arkansas Team Offense Preview

Arkansas has had 74 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.38 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Arkansas is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 47.99% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Arkansas is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Arkansas can take credit for 2.71 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Arkansas Offense. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Arkansas is a better passing team than running team this season.

Florida Team Defense Preview

Florida has had 57 total defensive drives this season and they yield 6.18 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Florida cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Florida has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Florida opponents pass the football 53.98% of the time.Florida tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.09 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Florida has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Florida Team Offense Preview

Florida has had 55 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.25 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Florida. Florida has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Florida passes the football 57.56% of the time.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.18 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Florida coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Florida this season. Florida is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Florida is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Arkansas Roster

The Players to Watch for Arkansas

Feleipe Franks QB 6-6 228

This season, Feleipe Franks has put up 1428 yards and 14 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 154.7thus far this season. Feleipe Franks has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Feleipe Franks has 174.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 90.04 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 72.0 times this season, which puts him in the 96.26 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Trelon Smith RB 5-9 185

This season, Trelon Smith has 323 rushing yards on 70 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Trelon Smith picked up 107 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 17 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Treylon Burks WR 6-3 232

This season, Treylon Burks picked up 461 yards. He caught the ball 31 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 5 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jonathan Marshall DL 6-3 317

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Arkansas, Jonathan Marshall has 23 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 89.2 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 72.46 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jalen Catalon DB 5-10 189

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Arkansas, Jalen Catalon had 58 tackles which puts him in the 99.66 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.52 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jalen Catalon as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 96.44 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Florida Roster

The Players to Watch for Florida

Kyle Trask QB 6-5 240

This season, Kyle Trask has put up 1815 yards and 22 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 189.0thus far this season. Kyle Trask has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Kyle Trask has 70.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 74.38 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 22.0 times this season, which puts him in the 68.51 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Dameon Pierce RB 5-10 215

This season, Dameon Pierce has 221 rushing yards on 49 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Dameon Pierce picked up 89 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 6 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Trevon Grimes WR 6-4 218

This season, Trevon Grimes picked up 194 yards. He caught the ball 13 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tedarrell Slaton DL 6-5 340

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Florida, Tedarrell Slaton has 17 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 71.42 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 85.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Shawn Davis DB 6-0 206

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Florida, Shawn Davis had 24 tackles which puts him in the 82.31 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 77.36 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Shawn Davis as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 87.26 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Arkansas vs. Florida Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Arkansas 19 Florida 40

Spread Pick: Florida -17 -105 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Florida -700 matchbook
Total Pick: Under 60.5 -110 Bookmaker