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Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette 11/7/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Arkansas State visits Louisiana-Lafayette on 11/7/2020 at 12:00PM.

Arkansas State and Louisiana-Lafayette face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Arkansas State has a record of 3-4 this season. Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-1 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Arkansas State Team Defense Preview

Arkansas State has had 90 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.66 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Arkansas State has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Arkansas State opponents pass the football 48.53% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Arkansas State opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.54 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Arkansas State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Arkansas State Team Offense Preview

Arkansas State has had 89 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.58 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Arkansas State is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 61.97% of their play calls.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

Arkansas State struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Arkansas State can take credit for 2.58 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Arkansas State Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Arkansas State is a better passing team than running team this season.

Louisiana-Lafayette Team Defense Preview

Louisiana-Lafayette has had 73 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.85 plays per drive. Louisiana-Lafayette lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Louisiana-Lafayette has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Louisiana-Lafayette opponents pass the football 41.45% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.26 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Louisiana-Lafayette has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Louisiana-Lafayette Team Offense Preview

Louisiana-Lafayette has had 71 total drives this season and they generate 5.32 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Louisiana-Lafayette is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 44.18% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Louisiana-Lafayette has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Louisiana-Lafayette can take credit for 3.23 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Louisiana-Lafayette coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Louisiana-Lafayette this season. Louisiana-Lafayette is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Louisiana-Lafayette has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Arkansas State Roster

The Players to Watch for Arkansas State

Layne Hatcher QB 6-0 210

This season, Layne Hatcher has put up 1240 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 163.0thus far this season. Layne Hatcher has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Layne Hatcher has -2.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 20.0 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 28.0 times this season, which puts him in the 75.69 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Lincoln Pare RB 5-9 190

This season, Lincoln Pare has 315 rushing yards on 47 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Lincoln Pare picked up 73 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 10 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jonathan Adams Jr. WR 6-3 220

This season, Jonathan Adams Jr. picked up 737 yards. He caught the ball 52 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 8 receiving touchdowns this season.

Forrest Merrill DL 6-1 338

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Arkansas State, Forrest Merrill has 27 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 91.01 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.46 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Elery Alexander DB 6-0 190

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Arkansas State, Elery Alexander had 40 tackles which puts him in the 96.95 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 3 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 96.9 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Elery Alexander as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.81 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Jarius Reimonenq CB 5-11 180

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Arkansas State, Jarius Reimonenq had 20 tackles which puts him in the 91.82 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 93.49 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jarius Reimonenq as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.66 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Louisiana-Lafayette Roster

The Players to Watch for Louisiana-Lafayette

Levi Lewis QB 5-10 184

This season, Levi Lewis has put up 1380 yards and 9 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 141.9thus far this season. Levi Lewis has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Levi Lewis has 149.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 89.41 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 28.0 times this season, which puts him in the 75.69 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Elijah Mitchell RB 5-11 218

This season, Elijah Mitchell has 412 rushing yards on 71 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Elijah Mitchell picked up 69 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 9 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jalen Williams WR 6-3 218

This season, Jalen Williams picked up 277 yards. He caught the ball 14 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Zi’Yon Hill DL 6-1 283

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Louisiana-Lafayette, Zi’Yon Hill has 21 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 56.73 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.46 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Bralen Trahan S 6-0 191

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Louisiana-Lafayette, Bralen Trahan had 28 tackles which puts him in the 90.13 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 91.81 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Bralen Trahan as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes last season, which puts him in the 99.42 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Eric Garror CB 5-9 180

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Louisiana-Lafayette, Eric Garror had 15 tackles which puts him in the 79.0 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.55 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Eric Garror as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 95.72 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Arkansas State 32 Louisiana-Lafayette 40

Spread Pick: Arkansas State +14.5 -112 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Louisiana-Lafayette -525 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Over 68 -106 Pinnacle Sports