NFL Picks, Predictions, and Previews

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints 11/22/2020 NFL Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Atlanta Falcons visit the New Orleans Saints on 11/22/2020 at 1:00PM.

Atlanta and New Orleans face off in a critical regular season game as part of this unpredictable and chaotic 2020 NFL Season. Atlanta has a record of 3-6 this season. New Orleans is 7-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Atlanta Team Defense Preview

Atlanta faces 5.9 plays per drive, this defense gives up 37.3 yards per drive, and this defense lets offenses score 2.55 points per drive. On 44.4% of defensive possessions, opponents find a way to come away with points, but 10.1% of the time, they force opposing offenses to turn the ball over. Defensive possessions start on average at opponent’s Own 27.6 and these drives usually take up 2:34 of time.

This defense holds opposing quarterbacks to a Quarterback Rating (QBR) of 105.6 and 2.0% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Atlanta has caused a sack rate of 3.8% this season.

Examining Atlanta in a few key defensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have encountered 106 opponent third down attempts this season and opponents successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 41 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 38.7%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had to wall up against 15 fourth down attempts this season and the opposition have successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 5 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 33.3%. Defensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone, which is why defenses strive to avoid this from happening. They have had allowed offenses 29 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and their opponents have converted 22 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a conversion rate of 75.9%.

Atlanta Team Offense Preview

Atlanta has 6.5 plays per drive, this offense averages 35.7 yards per drive, and this offense puts up 2.48 points per drive. 48.0% of the time on offensive possessions, they will score a Touchdown or convert on a Field Goal Attempt, but 8.0% of the time, they are afflicted by the turnover bug. Their possessions start on average at their Own 29.4 and these drives typically last 2:52.

4.3% of passes thrown are touchdown passes by Atlanta and on 1.4% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. Atlanta has yielded 19 sacks this season and this has resulted in 136 yards lost.

They rushed for 3.7 yards per carry and for 106.8 yards per game. This offense coughed up the ball 7 times this season.

Let’s get situational with the Atlanta and examine various situations. They have had 122 third down attempts this season and successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 53 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 43.4%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have willingly and unwillingly encountered 16 fourth down conversion attempts this season and successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 9 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 56.3%. Offensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone. They have had 34 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and have converted 18 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a conversion rate of 52.9%.

New Orleans Team Defense Preview

New Orleans faces 6.0 plays per drive, this defense gives up 29.4 yards per drive, and this defense lets offenses score 2.28 points per drive. On 40.4% of defensive possessions, opponents find a way to come away with points, but 10.6% of the time, they force opposing offenses to turn the ball over. Their offensive drives start typically at their opponent’s Own 26.6 yard line, they usually take up 2:47 of time.

This defense holds opposing quarterbacks to a Quarterback Rating (QBR) of 95.1 and on 2.8% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. New Orleans has forced a sack rate of 7.0% this season.

We will get more situational with New Orleans and examine various situations. They have faced 121 third down attempts this season and opponents successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 54 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 44.6%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have taken on opponents in 16 fourth down conversion attempts this season and the opposition have successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 9 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 56.3%. Defenses need to prevent possessions from reaching the Red Zone. They have allowed 28 Red Zone entrances this season and their opponents have converted 21 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a success rate of 75.0%.

New Orleans Team Offense Preview

New Orleans has run 6.2 plays per drive and they generate 34.4 yards per drive, and they score 2.69 points per offensive possession. On 49.0% of offensive possessions, they find a way to come away with points, but on 8.2% of offensive possessions, they find cough the ball up to the opponent. Their offensive drives start typically at their Own 33.1 yard line, they usually take up 2:59 of time.

5.7% of passes thrown are touchdown passes by New Orleans and on 1.0% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. New Orleans has given up 13 sacks this season and there were 86 yards lost as a result of the inability to protect the Quarterback.

New Orleans rushed for 4.1 yards per carry and for 120.8 yards per game. This offense coughed up the ball 18 times this season.

Let’s get situational with the New Orleans and examine various situations. They have had 119 third down attempts this season and have converted 57 of these attempts, which comes out to a success rate of 47.9%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had 8 fourth down attempts this season and have converted 5 of these attempts, which comes out to a success rate of 62.5%. It is critical for offenses to get the ball into the Red Zone. They have had 40 Red Zone entrances this season and have converted 26 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a conversion rate of 65.0%.

The Atlanta Roster

The Players to Watch for Atlanta

Matt Ryan QB 6-4 217

This season, Matt Ryan has put up 2746 yards and 15 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 99.0thus far this season. Matt Ryan has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Matt Ryan has 68 rushing yards, which puts him in the 58.82 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 22 times this season, which puts him in the 64.71 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1 rushing touchdowns this season.

Todd Gurley RB 6-1 224

This season, Todd Gurley has 584 rushing yards on 159 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 9 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Todd Gurley picked up 79 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 15 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Calvin Ridley WR 6-1 190

This season, Calvin Ridley picked up 657 yards. He caught the ball 43 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

Grady Jarrett DT 6-0 305

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Atlanta, Grady Jarrett has 15 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 75.89 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0.0 fumbles this season.

Steven Means DE 6-3 263

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Atlanta, Steven Means has 10 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 10.48 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced nan fumbles this season.

Keanu Neal FS 6-1 216

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Atlanta, Keanu Neal had 42 tackles which puts him in the 90.58 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Keanu Neal as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 21.55 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Isaiah Oliver CB 6-0 210

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Atlanta, Isaiah Oliver had 32 tackles which puts him in the 86.41 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Isaiah Oliver as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 26.44 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The New Orleans Roster

The Players to Watch for New Orleans

Drew Brees QB 6-0 209

This season, Drew Brees has put up 2196 yards and 18 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 110.0thus far this season. Drew Brees has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Drew Brees has 1 rushing yards, which puts him in the 10.29 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 15 times this season, which puts him in the 45.59 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2 rushing touchdowns this season.

Alvin Kamara RB 5-10 215

This season, Alvin Kamara has 486 rushing yards on 104 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 7 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Alvin Kamara picked up 648 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 67 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Emmanuel Sanders WR 5-11 180

This season, Emmanuel Sanders picked up 347 yards. He caught the ball 31 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

David Onyemata DT 6-4 300

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for New Orleans, David Onyemata has 11 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 89.29 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced nan fumbles this season.

Cameron Jordan DE 6-4 287

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for New Orleans, Cameron Jordan has 20 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 47.58 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced nan fumbles this season.

Chauncey Gardner-Johnson SS 5-11 210

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for New Orleans, Chauncey Gardner-Johnson had 42 tackles which puts him in the 90.58 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Chauncey Gardner-Johnson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 21.55 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Marshon Lattimore CB 6-0 192

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for New Orleans, Marshon Lattimore had 35 tackles which puts him in the 92.39 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Marshon Lattimore as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 67.24 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Atlanta Falcons 25 New Orleans Saints 30

Spread Pick: New Orleans -3.5 -107 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: New Orleans -179 matchbook
Total Pick: Over 49 -108 5Dimes