NFL Picks, Predictions, and Previews

Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills 1/16/2021 NFL Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Baltimore Ravens visit the Buffalo Bills on 1/16/2021 at 8:15PM.

Baltimore and Buffalo face off in a Playoff game. Baltimore has a record of 11-5 this season. Buffalo is 13-3 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Baltimore Team Defense Preview

Baltimore faces 6.1 plays per drive, they hold opponents to 30.8 yards per drive, and opponents score 1.72 points per offensive possession. On 30.0% of defensive possessions, opponents find a way to come away with points, but on 12.4% of defensive possessions, they force opponents to cough up the ball. Defensive possessions start on average at opponent’s Own 25.6 and these drives usually take up 2:43 of time.

This defense holds opposing quarterbacks to a Quarterback Rating (QBR) of 87.2 and 1.7% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Baltimore has caused a sack rate of 6.1% this season.

We will get more situational with Baltimore and examine various situations. They have faced 191 third down attempts this season and opponents successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 65 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 34.0%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have taken on opponents in 35 fourth down conversion attempts this season and the opposition have successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 16 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 45.7%. Defenses need to prevent possessions from reaching the Red Zone. They have allowed 45 Red Zone entrances this season and their opponents have converted 28 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a success rate of 62.2%.

Baltimore Team Offense Preview

Baltimore has run 6.0 plays per drive and this offense averages 34.1 yards per drive, and they score 2.56 points per offensive possession. 45.3% of the time on offensive possessions, they will score a Touchdown or convert on a Field Goal Attempt, but on 10.6% of offensive possessions, they find cough the ball up to the opponent. Their offensive drives start typically at their Own 31.9 yard line, they usually take up 2:58 of time.

On 6.7% of passes thrown, it results in a touchdown and 2.7% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Baltimore has given up 32 sacks this season and there were 180 yards lost as a result of the inability to protect the Quarterback.

They rushed for 5.5 yards per carry and for 191.9 yards per game. This offense coughed up the ball 25 times this season.

Examining Baltimore in a few key offensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have navigated through 207 third down attempts this season and have converted 101 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 48.8%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have willingly and unwillingly encountered 19 fourth down conversion attempts this season and successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 12 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 63.2%. Offensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone. They have had 60 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and have converted 38 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a success rate of 63.3%.

Buffalo Team Defense Preview

Buffalo yields 6.2 plays per drive, they hold opponents to 33.1 yards per drive, and opponents score 2.22 points per offensive possession. On 39.4% of defensive possessions, opponents find a way to come away with points, but on 15.3% of defensive possessions, they force opponents to cough up the ball. Their offensive drives start typically at their opponent’s Own 26.6 yard line, they usually take up 2:39 of time.

Opposing quarterbacks have a QBR of 86.9 against Buffalo and 2.6% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Buffalo has forced a sack rate of 6.2% this season.

We will get more situational with Buffalo and examine various situations. They have faced 191 third down attempts this season and opponents successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 76 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 39.8%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had to wall up against 19 fourth down attempts this season and opponents have converted 11 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 57.9%. Defensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone, which is why defenses strive to avoid this from happening. They have had allowed offenses 58 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and opponents successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 38 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 65.5%.

Buffalo Team Offense Preview

Buffalo has run 6.3 plays per drive and this offense averages 37.3 yards per drive, and they score 2.80 points per offensive possession. On 49.4% of offensive possessions, they find a way to come away with points, but on 11.8% of offensive possessions, they find cough the ball up to the opponent. Their possessions start on average at their Own 30.7 and these drives typically last 2:59.

6.7% of passes thrown are touchdown passes by Buffalo and 1.8% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Buffalo has given up 27 sacks this season and there were 166 yards lost as a result of the inability to protect the Quarterback.

They rushed for 4.2 yards per carry and for 107.7 yards per game. Rushers, Receivers, and Sitting Duck Quarterbacks fumbled the ball 18 times this season.

Examining Buffalo in a few key offensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have navigated through 187 third down attempts this season and have converted 93 of these attempts, which comes out to a success rate of 49.7%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had 10 fourth down attempts this season and successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 8 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 80.0%. It is critical for offenses to get the ball into the Red Zone. They have had 68 Red Zone entrances this season and have converted 42 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a conversion rate of 61.8%.

The Baltimore Roster

The Players to Watch for Baltimore

Lamar Jackson QB 6-2 212

This season, Lamar Jackson has put up 2757 yards and 26 touchdowns. He has thrown 9 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 99.3thus far this season. Lamar Jackson has thrown 9 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Lamar Jackson has 1005 rushing yards, which puts him in the 100.0 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 159 times this season, which puts him in the 100.0 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 7 rushing touchdowns this season.

J.K. Dobbins RB 5-9 209

This season, J.K. Dobbins has 805 rushing yards on 134 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 9 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, J.K. Dobbins picked up 120 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 18 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Marquise Brown WR 5-9 170

This season, Marquise Brown picked up 769 yards. He caught the ball 58 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 8 receiving touchdowns this season.

Brandon Williams NT 6-1 336

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Baltimore, Brandon Williams has 19 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 16.11 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced nan fumbles this season.

Derek Wolfe DE 6-5 285

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Baltimore, Derek Wolfe has 19 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 15.48 among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0.0 fumbles this season.

Chuck Clark SS 6-0 205

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Baltimore, Chuck Clark had 57 tackles which puts him in the 68.95 percentile among non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 2 times this season. Chuck Clark as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 47.06 percentile among secondary position players this season.

Marlon Humphrey CB 6-0 197

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Baltimore, Marlon Humphrey had 70 tackles which puts him in the 98.84 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 2 times this season. Marlon Humphrey as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 53.78 percentile among Corners this season.

The Buffalo Roster

The Players to Watch for Buffalo

Josh Allen QB 6-5 237

This season, Josh Allen has put up 4544 yards and 37 touchdowns. He has thrown 10 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 107.2thus far this season. Josh Allen has thrown 10 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Josh Allen has 421 rushing yards, which puts him in the 86.0 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 102 times this season, which puts him in the 94.0 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 8 rushing touchdowns this season.

Devin Singletary RB 5-7 203

This season, Devin Singletary has 687 rushing yards on 156 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Devin Singletary picked up 269 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 38 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Stefon Diggs WR 6-0 191

This season, Stefon Diggs picked up 1535 yards. He caught the ball 127 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 8 receiving touchdowns this season.

Ed Oliver DT 6-1 287

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Buffalo, Ed Oliver has 23 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 77.22 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1.0 fumbles this season.

Mario Addison DE 6-3 260

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Buffalo, Mario Addison has 21 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 5 times this season, which put him in the 64.88 among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced nan fumbles this season.

Jordan Poyer SS 6-0 191

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Buffalo, Jordan Poyer had 91 tackles which puts him in the 100.0 percentile among non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 2 times this season. Jordan Poyer as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 72.35 percentile among secondary position players this season.

Taron Johnson CB 5-11 192

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Buffalo, Taron Johnson had 70 tackles which puts him in the 98.84 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Taron Johnson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 53.78 percentile among Corners this season.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Baltimore Ravens 24 Buffalo Bills 25

Spread Pick: Baltimore +2.5 +104 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Buffalo -136 matchbook
Total Pick: Under 50 -115 Bookmaker