College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Baylor vs. Iowa State 11/7/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Baylor visits Iowa State on 11/7/2020 at 7:00PM.

Baylor and Iowa State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Baylor has a record of 1-3 this season. Iowa State is 4-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Baylor Team Defense Preview

Baylor has had 54 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.81 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Baylor is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 44.23% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Baylor opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Baylor can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.63 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Baylor has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Baylor Team Offense Preview

Baylor has had 51 total drives this season and they generate 4.9 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Baylor is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Baylor passes the football 58.80% of the time.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

Baylor struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Baylor can take credit for 2.0 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Baylor Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Baylor has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Iowa State Team Defense Preview

Iowa State has had 70 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.24 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Iowa State opponents pass the football 50.68% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Iowa State opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.55 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Iowa State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Iowa State Team Offense Preview

Iowa State has had 73 total drives this season and they generate 5.32 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Iowa State has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 50.77% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Iowa State has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.24 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Iowa State coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Iowa State Offense. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Iowa State has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Baylor Roster

The Players to Watch for Baylor

Charlie Brewer QB 6-1 210

This season, Charlie Brewer has put up 830 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 124.2thus far this season. Charlie Brewer has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Charlie Brewer has 8.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 44.51 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 40.0 times this season, which puts him in the 85.49 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Craig Williams RB 5-8 173

This season, Craig Williams has 169 rushing yards on 18 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Craig Williams picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

R.J. Sneed WR 6-1 200

This season, R.J. Sneed picked up 198 yards. He caught the ball 17 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Ryan Miller DT 6-2 289

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Baylor, Ryan Miller has 7 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 80.33 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 82.24 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Brayden Utley DE 6-1 270

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Baylor, Brayden Utley has 12 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 74.03 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.46 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jalen Pitre S 6-0 200

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Baylor, Jalen Pitre had 27 tackles which puts him in the 89.02 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 3 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 96.9 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jalen Pitre as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.81 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Raleigh Texada CB 5-10 188

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Baylor, Raleigh Texada had 13 tackles which puts him in the 73.05 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 82.34 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 1 times last season. Raleigh Texada as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.66 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Iowa State Roster

The Players to Watch for Iowa State

Brock Purdy QB 6-1 212

This season, Brock Purdy has put up 1313 yards and 7 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 128.2thus far this season. Brock Purdy has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Brock Purdy has 139.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 89.02 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 43.0 times this season, which puts him in the 87.25 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Breece Hall RB 6-1 215

This season, Breece Hall has 901 rushing yards on 134 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 11 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Breece Hall picked up 61 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 13 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Xavier Hutchinson WR 6-3 207

This season, Xavier Hutchinson picked up 384 yards. He caught the ball 33 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Isaiah Lee DT 6-0 301

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Iowa State, Isaiah Lee has 5 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 28.42 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 36.61 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

JaQuan Bailey DE 6-2 261

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Iowa State, JaQuan Bailey has 27 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 11 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 100.0 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 5 times this season, which put him in the 99.06 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Lawrence White DB 6-0 197

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Iowa State, Lawrence White had 30 tackles which puts him in the 91.49 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 35.61 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Lawrence White as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 88.29 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Baylor vs. Iowa State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Baylor 23 Iowa State 27

Spread Pick: Baylor +14 -114 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Iowa State -494 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Over 47 -110 Bookmaker