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Baylor vs. Texas Tech 11/14/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Baylor visits Texas Tech on 11/14/2020 at 4:00PM.

Baylor and Texas Tech face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Baylor has a record of 1-4 this season. Texas Tech is 2-5 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Baylor Team Defense Preview

Baylor has had 66 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.91 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Baylor is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Baylor opponents pass the football 42.59% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Baylor opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Baylor can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.69 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Baylor has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Baylor Team Offense Preview

Baylor has had 63 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 4.9 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Baylor is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Baylor passes the football 58.58% of the time.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

Baylor struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Baylor can take credit for 2.08 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Baylor Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Baylor is a better passing team than running team this season.

Texas Tech Team Defense Preview

Texas Tech has had 87 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.7 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Texas Tech has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Passing plays make up 52.02% of their opponents’ play calls.Texas Tech tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Texas Tech is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.03 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Texas Tech has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Texas Tech Team Offense Preview

Texas Tech has had 87 total drives this season and they generate 5.2 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Texas Tech is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 58.85% of their play calls.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

Texas Tech is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Texas Tech can take credit for 2.87 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Texas Tech Offense this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Texas Tech has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Baylor Roster

The Players to Watch for Baylor

Charlie Brewer QB 6-1 210

This season, Charlie Brewer has put up 1125 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 130.9thus far this season. Charlie Brewer has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Charlie Brewer has 37.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 60.32 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 50.0 times this season, which puts him in the 89.68 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Craig Williams RB 5-8 173

This season, Craig Williams has 197 rushing yards on 26 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Craig Williams picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

R.J. Sneed WR 6-1 200

This season, R.J. Sneed picked up 291 yards. He caught the ball 23 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Ryan Miller DT 6-2 289

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Baylor, Ryan Miller has 7 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 78.14 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 80.15 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Brayden Utley DE 6-1 270

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Baylor, Brayden Utley has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 71.42 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jalen Pitre S 6-0 200

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Baylor, Jalen Pitre had 32 tackles which puts him in the 91.73 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 98.27 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jalen Pitre as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 87.26 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Raleigh Texada CB 5-10 188

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Baylor, Raleigh Texada had 18 tackles which puts him in the 81.53 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 81.69 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 1 times last season. Raleigh Texada as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 85.08 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Texas Tech Roster

The Players to Watch for Texas Tech

Henry Colombi QB 6-2 205

This season, Henry Colombi has put up 989 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 133.4thus far this season. Henry Colombi has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Henry Colombi has 107.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 82.92 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 46.0 times this season, which puts him in the 87.01 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

SaRodorick Thompson RB 6-0 210

This season, SaRodorick Thompson has 391 rushing yards on 72 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 6 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, SaRodorick Thompson picked up 71 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 18 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Erik Ezukanma WR 6-3 220

This season, Erik Ezukanma picked up 490 yards. He caught the ball 35 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tony Bradford Jr. DL 6-1 290

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Texas Tech, Tony Bradford Jr. has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 71.42 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Thomas Leggett DB 6-0 200

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Texas Tech, Thomas Leggett had 40 tackles which puts him in the 95.91 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.67 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Thomas Leggett as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.1 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Baylor vs. Texas Tech Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Baylor 36 Texas Tech 24

Spread Pick: Baylor -1 -109 Bookmaker
Moneyline Pick: Baylor -115 Bookmaker
Total Pick: Over 56 -110 bet365