College Basketball Picks, Predictions, and Previews

Boise State vs. Fresno State Prediction, Picks, and Preview for 1/28/2022

Boise State takes on Fresno State on 1/28/2022 at 11:00 PM.

Hello friends, we have predictions for the Boise State-Fresno State game. It is time to get rolling with our preview! Boise State has a record of 16-4 this season. Fresno State is 14-5 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Boise State Team Defense Preview





They have an elite level defense and fans may not appreciate it because they get so fixated on scoring, dunks, and drama, but this defense is as good as it gets right now. Now that we know what the overall defense looks like, it is time to understand why this defense is the way it is. Want to score against this defense? They are not going to make it easy. If your movement without the ball and ball movement is not good, you will need to rely more heroic plays and challenging drives to the basket. This is not a team that excels at forcing live ball turnovers. Either the personnel or strategy is not there.

They are doing a great job forcing bad shots from opposing offenses, they are among the leaders in the country. Scheduling and defensive approach are why opponents take so few three point shots against them on a relative basis. They feature a decent perimeter defense that is able to force some bad three point shots. They are doing a great job forcing terrible mid-range shots, they are among the leaders in the country at keeping opponents from getting optimal looks at the basket. Nothing will blow you away about their ability to block shots. This is an elite level defensive rebounding team. Falling more than two standard deviations from the mean, this is impressive and indicative of a team that should have more on the horizon.

Boise State Team Offense Preview

Their offensive efficiency is 101.2, which makes them a below average offense and that means there is room for improvement, but will they actually improve? This analysis would be woefully incomplete without going into further detail aside from just an offensive efficiency rating. They tend to score a bit more off the dribble inside the perimeter than most. This team is average at committing turnovers, but that is not necessarily good enough.

Their Effective Field Goal Rate is 0.5, which considered to be below average. Their True Shooting Percentage is 0.52 which considered to be below average. They attempt 0.381 of their shots from three point range. They fall right around average in College Basketball. They made 0.334 of their shots from three point range. They would be considered below average from beyond the arc. They are able to get to the Free Throw Line quite a bit, but they are not necessarily dependent upon it in their offense. They made 0.603 of their shots from the charity stripe. This is a team that will keep opponents in the game when up with a late narrow lead. They successfully retrieved 31.7% of their missed shots. They are a slightly above average rebounding team.

Fresno State Team Defense Preview

They have an elite level defense and fans may not appreciate it because they get so fixated on scoring, dunks, and drama, but this defense is as good as it gets right now. This analysis would be woefully incomplete without going into further detail aside from just a defensive efficiency rating. Defensively, they are above average at stifling opponent ball movement. Opponents are a little bit disjointed against them. Nothing will blow you away about their ability to force live ball turnovers.

This is a decent defensive team that is able to force some bad shots. There is greater diversity of shot selection against them. Not a team that faces a heavy barrage of three point shots. They feature a decent perimeter defense that is able to force some bad three point shots. This is a decent interior defense or schemed defense that is able to force more mid-range shots. This is not a team that excels at shot blocking. Either the personnel or strategy is not there. This is an elite level defensive rebounding team. Falling more than two standard deviations from the mean, this is impressive and indicative of a team that should have more on the horizon.

Fresno State Team Offense Preview





You should not have high expectations considering their offensive efficiency is 105.4, but relatively speaking it is still a slightly above-average offense. Now that we know what the overall offense looks like, it is time to understand why this offense is the way it is. They tend to score a bit more off the dribble inside the perimeter than most. They do an above average job protecting the basketball and making decisions on offense.

Their Effective Field Goal Rate is 0.508, which considered to be slightly above average. Their True Shooting Percentage is 0.545 which considered to be slightly above average. They attempt 0.379 of their shots from three point range. They take threes less often than many in College Basketball. They made 0.33 of their shots from three point range. They would be considered below average from beyond the arc. Getting to the Free Throw Line is a neutral part of the offensive mindset and approach. They made 0.748 of their shots from the Free Throw Line. They are a slightly above average Free Throw shooting team. They successfully retrieved 29.5% of their missed shots. They are a slightly above average rebounding team.

The Boise State Roster

The Players to Watch for Boise State

Emmanuel Akot 6-8 210 pound Guard

Emmanuel Akot sports a 12.6 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. In the grand scheme of things, he is an average College Basketball player this season as far as his contributions are concerned. He is considered one of the key players on the floor when he is out there playing.

Offensive Breakdown

Emmanuel Akot this season has 0.503 of his shots attempted from 3 point range He is considered one of the more frequent three point shooters in the conference. Emmanuel Akot shot 0.398 from long range this season. He is considered an above-average three point shooter and a threat who must be contained on the perimeter. Emmanuel Akot shot 0.402 inside the perimeter. He is very inefficient inside the perimeter taking long jump shots and not showing an ability to finish at the rim. His ability to score is not necessarily anything to behold and amassing points in his case is a matter of volume rather than efficiency.

This season, when shots were missed, Emmanuel Akot is certainly not there to help his team get a second chance opportunity.He is a stronger distributor than most that is for sure, but he is not among the elite. He is an average player when it comes to his ability to avoid committing turnovers.

Defensive Breakdown

He is a strong defender who makes a positive impact for his team on the defensive end. He does not put an effort to attacking the glass and pulling down rebounds. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. He is also not very adept at being defensively disruptive and forcing live ball turnovers.

Marcus Shaver 6-2 185 pound Guard

Marcus Shaver has a 15.3 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. In the grand scheme of things, he is an average College Basketball player this season as far as his contributions are concerned. He is considered one of the key players on the floor when he is out there playing.

Offensive Breakdown

Marcus Shaver attempted 0.48 of his shots from three point range. This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. Marcus Shaver shot 0.381 from long range this season. He is considered an above-average three point shooter and a threat who must be contained on the perimeter. Marcus Shaver shot 0.457 inside the perimeter. He is not a remarkable scorer inside the perimeter. His ability to score is not necessarily anything to behold and amassing points in his case is a matter of volume rather than efficiency.

This season, when shots were missed, Marcus Shaver is certainly not there to help his team get a second chance opportunity.His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.

Defensive Breakdown

Marcus Shaver has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He is an average defensive rebounder who is serviceable in his role. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but Marcus Shaver is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.

Abu Kigab 6-7 220 pound Forward

Abu Kigab sports a 20.0 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. There is potential for much more this season than his campaign this season. Consider that he is one of the better players in the conference and he can mean much more. Few teams have a player like him to take on that much of the workload.

Offensive Breakdown

Abu Kigab attempted 0.25 of his shots from three point range. This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. He made 0.224 of his three point shots fired this season. He comes into this season viewed as a poor three point shooter. He made 0.558 of his two point shots attempted this season. He is a solid finisher at the rim and his shot selection is generally strong inside the perimeter. His ability to score is not necessarily anything to behold and amassing points in his case is a matter of volume rather than efficiency.

His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.He is a stronger distributor than most that is for sure, but he is not among the elite. He is an average player when it comes to his ability to avoid committing turnovers.

Defensive Breakdown

Abu Kigab has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. Windex has found their new pitchman and his abilities on the defensive glass certainly warrant such a Dick Vitale-ism. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. Watch out on the passing lanes, he will use his length and athleticism to force turnovers. He may even pick your pocket, opponents should be wary.

Mladen Armus 6-10 232 pound Forward

Mladen Armus has a 15.5 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. In the grand scheme of things, he is an average College Basketball player this season as far as his contributions are concerned. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.

Offensive Breakdown

Mladen Armus attempted 0.008 of his shots from three point range. He is not considered a frequent shooter from three point range. He made 0.0 of his three point shots fired this season. He comes into this season viewed as a poor three point shooter. Mladen Armus shot 0.469 inside the perimeter. He is not a remarkable scorer inside the perimeter. He is not efficient in his scoring attempts regardless of where it takes place.

He is one of the best at creating second chance scoring opportunities in the country, his ability to grab offensive rebounds is very difficult to beat. His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is a turnover prone player and he is a target for defenses. Playing more physical against him or making sure to jump his passes may be a good idea.

Defensive Breakdown

Mladen Armus has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. Windex has found their new pitchman and his abilities on the defensive glass certainly warrant such a Dick Vitale-ism. He is one of the best shot-blockers in College Basketball, opponents have to game plan around him and he is an insurance policy of sorts for his team on the defensive end. This may enable them to take more risks defensively knowing he can erase shots. He is also not very adept at being defensively disruptive and forcing live ball turnovers.

Tyson Degenhart 6-7 232 pound Forward

Tyson Degenhart has a 19.4 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. There is potential for much more this season than his campaign this season. Consider that he is one of the better players in the conference and he can mean much more. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.

Offensive Breakdown

Tyson Degenhart this season has 0.397 of his shots attempted from 3 point range This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. He made 0.4 of his three point shots fired this season. He is considered an above-average three point shooter and a threat who must be contained on the perimeter. Tyson Degenhart shot 0.605 inside the perimeter. He is a solid finisher at the rim and his shot selection is generally strong inside the perimeter. He is among the most efficient in his ability to score. As a shooter regardless of where he is, he makes something damaging happen for opponents.

His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.He is not known for his ability to distribute the ball to his teammates. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.

Defensive Breakdown

Tyson Degenhart has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He does not put an effort to attacking the glass and pulling down rebounds. A strong shot-blocker who must be accounted for by opponents looking to attack the basket or post up on him. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but Tyson Degenhart is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.

Max Rice 6-5 194 pound Guard

Max Rice has a 3.3 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. This season, he is a bit of a non-factor on the floor. The hope is that this season he can improve and show what he can do. He is not a very active participant on the floor. He may even be considered just a screener or a warm body out there.

Offensive Breakdown

Max Rice attempted 0.566 of his shots from three point range. He is considered one of the more frequent three point shooters in the conference. Max Rice shot 0.1 from long range this season. He comes into this season viewed as a poor three point shooter. He made 0.304 of his two point shots attempted this season. He is very inefficient inside the perimeter taking long jump shots and not showing an ability to finish at the rim. He is not efficient in his scoring attempts regardless of where it takes place.

His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is an average player when it comes to his ability to avoid committing turnovers.

Defensive Breakdown

Max Rice has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He is an average defensive rebounder who is serviceable in his role. He is not a shot blocker. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but Max Rice is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.





The Fresno State Roster

The Players to Watch for Fresno State

Orlando Robinson 7-0 235 pound Forward

Orlando Robinson has a 33.9 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. He is among the best in the conference and even in the country as far as his on-the-court contributions. Definitely, a player to watch and opponents will have him scouted. Few teams have a player like him to take on that much of the workload.

Offensive Breakdown

Orlando Robinson attempted 0.207 of his shots from three point range. He is not considered a frequent shooter from three point range. He made 0.352 of his three point shots fired this season. This season, he would be considered an average three point shooter. Orlando Robinson shot 0.541 inside the perimeter. He is a solid finisher at the rim and his shot selection is generally strong inside the perimeter. When he puts up a shot, there is meaning to it. It is of great consequence and he is able to score.

He is one of the best at creating second chance scoring opportunities in the country, his ability to grab offensive rebounds is very difficult to beat. He is one of the best at creating scoring opportunities for his teammates. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.

Defensive Breakdown

Orlando Robinson has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. Windex has found their new pitchman and his abilities on the defensive glass certainly warrant such a Dick Vitale-ism. He is one of the best shot-blockers in College Basketball, opponents have to game plan around him and he is an insurance policy of sorts for his team on the defensive end. This may enable them to take more risks defensively knowing he can erase shots. Watch out on the passing lanes, he will use his length and athleticism to force turnovers. He may even pick your pocket, opponents should be wary.

Isaiah Hill 6-0 165 pound Guard

Isaiah Hill sports a 9.8 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. This season, he is a bit of a non-factor on the floor. The hope is that this season he can improve and show what he can do. He is considered one of the key players on the floor when he is out there playing.

Offensive Breakdown

Isaiah Hill attempted 0.481 of his shots from three point range. This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. He made 0.346 of his three point shots fired this season. This season, he would be considered an average three point shooter. He made 0.369 of his two point shots attempted this season. He is very inefficient inside the perimeter taking long jump shots and not showing an ability to finish at the rim. He is not efficient in his scoring attempts regardless of where it takes place.

This season, when shots were missed, Isaiah Hill is certainly not there to help his team get a second chance opportunity.He is a stronger distributor than most that is for sure, but he is not among the elite. He is a turnover prone player and he is a target for defenses. Playing more physical against him or making sure to jump his passes may be a good idea.

Defensive Breakdown

He is a strong defender who makes a positive impact for his team on the defensive end. He does not put an effort to attacking the glass and pulling down rebounds. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. Watch out on the passing lanes, he will use his length and athleticism to force turnovers. He may even pick your pocket, opponents should be wary.

Anthony Holland 6-5 225 pound Guard

Anthony Holland sports a 19.8 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. There is potential for much more this season than his campaign this season. Consider that he is one of the better players in the conference and he can mean much more. He is not a very active participant on the floor. He may even be considered just a screener or a warm body out there.

Offensive Breakdown

Anthony Holland this season has 0.554 of his shots attempted from 3 point range He is considered one of the more frequent three point shooters in the conference. Anthony Holland shot 0.468 from long range this season. He is a sharpshooter from long range and his ability to shoot three point shots must be respected. Anthony Holland shot 0.6 inside the perimeter. He is a solid finisher at the rim and his shot selection is generally strong inside the perimeter. He is among the most efficient in his ability to score. As a shooter regardless of where he is, he makes something damaging happen for opponents.

His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.

Defensive Breakdown

Anthony Holland has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He is a leader in his conference as a defensive rebounder. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. Watch out on the passing lanes, he will use his length and athleticism to force turnovers. He may even pick your pocket, opponents should be wary.

Leo Colimerio 6-7 190 pound Guard

Leo Colimerio sports a 14.4 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. In the grand scheme of things, he is an average College Basketball player this season as far as his contributions are concerned. He is not a very active participant on the floor. He may even be considered just a screener or a warm body out there.

Offensive Breakdown

Leo Colimerio attempted 0.209 of his shots from three point range. He is not considered a frequent shooter from three point range. Leo Colimerio shot 0.143 from long range this season. He comes into this season viewed as a poor three point shooter. He made 0.736 of his two point shots attempted this season. He gets his work done inside the restricted arc and has shown a strong ability to finish at the rim while showing great restraint to avoid less optimal shots. He is among the most efficient in his ability to score. As a shooter regardless of where he is, he makes something damaging happen for opponents.

You can expect him to crash the boards on a consistent basis on the offensive end, his success is better than most. His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is a turnover prone player and he is a target for defenses. Playing more physical against him or making sure to jump his passes may be a good idea.

Defensive Breakdown

Leo Colimerio has shown that he may be an elite defensive player going into this season and the expectation is that it should not change. He is an average defensive rebounder who is serviceable in his role. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but Leo Colimerio is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.

Jordan Campbell 6-4 195 pound Guard

Jordan Campbell sports a 14.2 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. In the grand scheme of things, he is an average College Basketball player this season as far as his contributions are concerned. His participation rate is average on the floor, he is not expected to carry the load in any way.

Offensive Breakdown

Jordan Campbell this season has 0.25 of his shots attempted from 3 point range This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. He made 0.313 of his three point shots fired this season. This season, he would be considered an average three point shooter. He made 0.5 of his two point shots attempted this season. He is not a remarkable scorer inside the perimeter. His ability to score is not necessarily anything to behold and amassing points in his case is a matter of volume rather than efficiency.

This season, when shots were missed, Jordan Campbell is certainly not there to help his team get a second chance opportunity.His ability to distribute the ball to his teammates is on-par with others in College Basketball. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.

Defensive Breakdown

He is a strong defender who makes a positive impact for his team on the defensive end. He is a leader in his conference as a defensive rebounder. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. A capable enough defender to be disruptive, but Jordan Campbell is inconsistent in his efforts to get steals.

Deon Stroud 6-5 200 pound Guard

Deon Stroud has a 13.7 Player Efficiency Rate (PER) this season. In the grand scheme of things, he is an average College Basketball player this season as far as his contributions are concerned. Few teams have a player like him to take on that much of the workload.

Offensive Breakdown

Deon Stroud this season has 0.419 of his shots attempted from 3 point range This season, he does not stand out as a player who attempted a lot of shots from downtown. He made 0.205 of his three point shots fired this season. He comes into this season viewed as a poor three point shooter. Deon Stroud shot 0.426 inside the perimeter. He is very inefficient inside the perimeter taking long jump shots and not showing an ability to finish at the rim. He is not efficient in his scoring attempts regardless of where it takes place.

His ability to crash the boards on the offensive end is average.He is a stronger distributor than most that is for sure, but he is not among the elite. He is among the best in the country at not turning the ball over.

Defensive Breakdown

He is a strong defender who makes a positive impact for his team on the defensive end. He is an average defensive rebounder who is serviceable in his role. His ability to block shots is generally unimportant, it is not an important part of his defensive game. Watch out on the passing lanes, he will use his length and athleticism to force turnovers. He may even pick your pocket, opponents should be wary.

Boise State vs. Fresno State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Boise State 57 Fresno State 63

Spread Pick: Fresno State +2.0 -115 Bovada Get up to $750 with the promo code ‘BTCSWB750’
Over Pick: Over 119.0 -110 Bovada Get up to $750 with the promo code ‘BTCSWB750’