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Boise State vs. Hawaii 11/21/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Boise State visits Hawaii on 11/21/2020 at 11:00PM.

Boise State and Hawaii face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Boise State has a record of 3-1 this season. Hawaii is 2-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Boise State Team Defense Preview

Boise State has had 42 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.19 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Boise State has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Boise State opponents pass the football 35.78% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.32 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Boise State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Boise State Team Offense Preview

Boise State has had 34 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.79 plays per drive. Boise State runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Any defense is in for a challenge with Boise State, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 52.79% of their play calls.Boise State tends to pass more than other teams.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Boise State has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Boise State can take credit for 3.0 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Boise State this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Boise State is a better passing team than running team this season.

Hawaii Team Defense Preview

Hawaii has had 50 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.44 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Hawaii has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Hawaii opponents pass the football 37.13% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Hawaii opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Hawaii can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.93 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Hawaii should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Hawaii has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Hawaii Team Offense Preview

Hawaii has had 49 total drives this season and they generate 5.27 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Hawaii is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Hawaii passes the football 53.49% of the time.Hawaii tends to pass more than other teams.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Hawaii has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.23 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Hawaii coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Hawaii Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Hawaii has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Boise State Roster

The Players to Watch for Boise State

Hank Bachmeier QB 6-1 204

This season, Hank Bachmeier has put up 470 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has thrown 0 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 158.4thus far this season. Hank Bachmeier has thrown 0 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Hank Bachmeier has -28.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 6.14 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 11.0 times this season, which puts him in the 45.9 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Andrew Van Buren RB 6-0 228

This season, Andrew Van Buren has 164 rushing yards on 48 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Andrew Van Buren picked up 36 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 6 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Khalil Shakir WR 6-0 190

This season, Khalil Shakir picked up 399 yards. He caught the ball 27 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Scott Matlock DT 6-4 282

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Boise State, Scott Matlock has 16 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 76.94 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 92.23 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Shane Irwin DE 6-3 254

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Boise State, Shane Irwin has 21 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 86.99 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 92.54 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Kekaula Kaniho S 5-10 177

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Boise State, Kekaula Kaniho had 18 tackles which puts him in the 67.59 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 76.48 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Kekaula Kaniho as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.44 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Jalen Walker CB 6-0 181

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Boise State, Jalen Walker had 17 tackles which puts him in the 76.26 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 36.32 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jalen Walker as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.84 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Hawaii Roster

The Players to Watch for Hawaii

Chevan Cordeiro QB 6-1 190

This season, Chevan Cordeiro has put up 958 yards and 5 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 125.9thus far this season. Chevan Cordeiro has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Chevan Cordeiro has 176.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 88.05 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 52.0 times this season, which puts him in the 88.23 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Miles Reed RB 5-8 190

This season, Miles Reed has 191 rushing yards on 40 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Miles Reed picked up 7 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 5 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jared Smart WR 6-0 190

This season, Jared Smart picked up 185 yards. He caught the ball 21 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Justus Tavai DL 6-3 295

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Hawaii, Justus Tavai has 17 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 69.21 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.27 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Khoury Bethley DB 5-10 200

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Hawaii, Khoury Bethley had 26 tackles which puts him in the 82.18 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.05 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Khoury Bethley as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.44 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Boise State vs. Hawaii Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Boise State 42 Hawaii 27

Spread Pick: Boise State -14 -105 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Boise State -509 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Over 55 -115 Bookmaker