College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Boise State vs. Wyoming 12/12/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Boise State visits Wyoming on 12/12/2020 at 6:00PM.

Boise State and Wyoming face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Boise State has a record of 4-1 this season. Wyoming is 2-3 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Boise State Team Defense Preview

Boise State has had 55 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.29 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Boise State opponents pass the football 41.92% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Boise State can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.18 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Boise State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Boise State Team Offense Preview

Boise State has had 46 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.61 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Any defense is in for a challenge with Boise State, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 51.16% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Boise State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Boise State can take credit for 2.88 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Boise State Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Boise State is a better passing team than running team this season.

Wyoming Team Defense Preview

Wyoming has had 60 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.95 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Wyoming is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 50.84% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Wyoming is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.73 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Wyoming should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Wyoming has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Wyoming Team Offense Preview

Wyoming has had 64 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.11 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Wyoming is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Wyoming is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Wyoming passes the football 37.00% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Wyoming has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.15 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Wyoming coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Wyoming this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Wyoming has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Boise State Roster

The Players to Watch for Boise State

Hank Bachmeier QB 6-1 204

This season, Hank Bachmeier has put up 748 yards and 5 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 154.4thus far this season. Hank Bachmeier has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Hank Bachmeier has -19.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 8.8 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 14.0 times this season, which puts him in the 45.52 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Andrew Van Buren RB 6-0 228

This season, Andrew Van Buren has 277 rushing yards on 75 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 7 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Andrew Van Buren picked up 47 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 9 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Khalil Shakir WR 6-0 190

This season, Khalil Shakir picked up 529 yards. He caught the ball 38 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

Scott Matlock DT 6-4 282

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Boise State, Scott Matlock has 21 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 89.01 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 89.24 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Shane Irwin DE 6-3 254.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Boise State, Shane Irwin has 26 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 90.39 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 5 times this season, which put him in the 96.59 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Kekaula Kaniho S 5-10 177.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Boise State, Kekaula Kaniho had 23 tackles which puts him in the 68.37 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 86.1 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Kekaula Kaniho as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.97 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Jalen Walker CB 6-0 181

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Boise State, Jalen Walker had 25 tackles which puts him in the 84.42 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 77.62 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Jalen Walker as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 36.4 percentile among Corners this season.

The Wyoming Roster

The Players to Watch for Wyoming

Gavin Beerup QB 6-5 190

This season, Gavin Beerup has put up 18 yards and 0 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 10.2thus far this season. Gavin Beerup has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Gavin Beerup has 38.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 58.64 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 1.0 times this season, which puts him in the 7.72 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Xazavian Valladay RB 6-0 196

This season, Xazavian Valladay has 491 rushing yards on 88 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Xazavian Valladay picked up 76 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 12 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Isaiah Neyor WR 6-3 210

This season, Isaiah Neyor picked up 248 yards. He caught the ball 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jordan Bertagnole DT 6-4 254

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Wyoming, Jordan Bertagnole has 27 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 89.01 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 89.24 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Garrett Crall DE 6-5 233.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Wyoming, Garrett Crall has 17 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 64.24 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 66.28 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Esaias Gandy S 6-1 198.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Wyoming, Esaias Gandy had 39 tackles which puts him in the 88.18 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 96.51 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Esaias Gandy as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.97 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

C.J. Coldon CB 6-1 178

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Wyoming, C.J. Coldon had 21 tackles which puts him in the 76.06 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 77.62 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. C.J. Coldon as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 81.59 percentile among Corners this season.

Boise State vs. Wyoming Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Boise State 30 Wyoming 21

Spread Pick: Wyoming +11.5 -108 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Boise State -390 Bookmaker
Total Pick: Over 46.5 -108 Pinnacle Sports