College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Boston College vs. Syracuse 11/7/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Boston College visits Syracuse on 11/7/2020 at 2:00PM.

Boston College and Syracuse face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Boston College has a record of 4-3 this season. Syracuse is 1-6 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Boston College Team Defense Preview

Boston College has had 70 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.69 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Boston College has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Boston College opponents pass the football 49.75% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Boston College opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Boston College can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.83 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Boston College has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Boston College Team Offense Preview

Boston College has had 65 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.02 plays per drive. Boston College runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Boston College is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Boston College passes the football 57.29% of the time.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

Boston College is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Boston College can take credit for 2.37 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Boston College Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Boston College is a better passing team than running team this season.

Syracuse Team Defense Preview

Syracuse has had 90 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.7 plays per drive. Syracuse lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Syracuse has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Syracuse opponents pass the football 45.42% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.06 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Syracuse has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Syracuse Team Offense Preview

Syracuse has had 88 total drives this season and they generate 4.31 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Syracuse is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 56.99% of their play calls.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

Syracuse struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Syracuse can take credit for 2.68 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Syracuse Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Syracuse has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Boston College Roster

The Players to Watch for Boston College

Phil Jurkovec QB 6-5 226

This season, Phil Jurkovec has put up 1875 yards and 14 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 140.2thus far this season. Phil Jurkovec has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Phil Jurkovec has 101.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 83.53 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 61.0 times this season, which puts him in the 94.31 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

David Bailey RB 6-0 236

This season, David Bailey has 304 rushing yards on 85 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, David Bailey picked up 64 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Zay Flowers WR 5-11 178

This season, Zay Flowers picked up 536 yards. He caught the ball 32 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 5 receiving touchdowns this season.

Chibueze Onwuka DT 5-11 285

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Boston College, Chibueze Onwuka has 11 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 80.33 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 36.61 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Marcus Valdez DE 6-0 258

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Boston College, Marcus Valdez has 31 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 91.01 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 87.42 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Josh DeBerry DB 5-11 180

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Boston College, Josh DeBerry had 29 tackles which puts him in the 90.97 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 79.41 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Josh DeBerry as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 88.29 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Syracuse Roster

The Players to Watch for Syracuse

Tommy Devito QB 6-2 221

This season, Tommy Devito has put up 593 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 111.5thus far this season. Tommy Devito has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Tommy Devito has 23.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 54.51 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 43.0 times this season, which puts him in the 87.25 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Sean Tucker RB 5-10 202

This season, Sean Tucker has 362 rushing yards on 71 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Sean Tucker picked up 27 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 2 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Taj Harris WR 6-2 164

This season, Taj Harris picked up 446 yards. He caught the ball 29 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Josh Black DL 6-3 282

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Syracuse, Josh Black has 29 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 86.16 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 87.42 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Garrett Williams DB 5-11 184

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Syracuse, Garrett Williams had 43 tackles which puts him in the 97.9 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 91.81 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 1 times last season. Garrett Williams as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 88.29 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Boston College vs. Syracuse Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Boston College 35 Syracuse 23

Spread Pick: Syracuse +14.5 -109 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Boston College -554 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Over 53.5 -109 Pinnacle Sports