College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Boston College vs. Virginia 12/5/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Boston College visits Virginia on 12/5/2020 at 3:30PM.

Boston College and Virginia face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Boston College has a record of 6-4 this season. Virginia is 4-4 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Boston College Team Defense Preview

Boston College has had 100 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.85 plays per drive. Boston College lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Boston College has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Boston College opponents pass the football 49.23% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Boston College is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Boston College can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.04 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Boston College has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Boston College Team Offense Preview

Boston College has had 97 total drives this season and they generate 6.06 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Boston College. Boston College is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 54.25% of their play calls.Boston College tends to pass more than other teams.

Boston College is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Boston College can take credit for 2.56 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Boston College Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Boston College is a better passing team than running team this season.

Virginia Team Defense Preview

Virginia has had 97 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.33 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 49.90% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Virginia is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.57 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Virginia is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Virginia Team Offense Preview

Virginia has had 98 total drives this season and they generate 5.65 plays per drive. Virginia runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Virginia is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Virginia passes the football 53.43% of the time.Virginia tends to pass more than other teams.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Virginia can take credit for 3.28 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Virginia this season. Virginia is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Virginia has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Boston College Roster

The Players to Watch for Boston College

Phil Jurkovec QB 6-5 226

This season, Phil Jurkovec has put up 2558 yards and 17 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 138.7thus far this season. Phil Jurkovec has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Phil Jurkovec has 150.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 85.08 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 77.0 times this season, which puts him in the 93.17 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

David Bailey RB 6-0 236

This season, David Bailey has 503 rushing yards on 127 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 7 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, David Bailey picked up 64 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Zay Flowers WR 5-11 178

This season, Zay Flowers picked up 712 yards. He caught the ball 48 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 7 receiving touchdowns this season.

Chibueze Onwuka DT 5-11 285

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Boston College, Chibueze Onwuka has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 71.33 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 89.68 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 2 fumbles this season.

Marcus Valdez DE 6-0 258

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Boston College, Marcus Valdez has 34 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 83.63 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 82.48 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Josh DeBerry DB 5-11 180.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Boston College, Josh DeBerry had 40 tackles which puts him in the 91.33 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 87.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Josh DeBerry as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 84.5 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Virginia Roster

The Players to Watch for Virginia

Brennan Armstrong QB 6-2 215

This season, Brennan Armstrong has put up 1571 yards and 15 touchdowns. He has thrown 8 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 142.8thus far this season. Brennan Armstrong has thrown 8 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Brennan Armstrong has 399.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 96.51 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 94.0 times this season, which puts him in the 97.78 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 4.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Wayne Taulapapa RB 5-9 210

This season, Wayne Taulapapa has 366 rushing yards on 82 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Wayne Taulapapa picked up 55 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 11 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Terrell Jana WR 6-0 200

This season, Terrell Jana picked up 392 yards. He caught the ball 32 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jowon Briggs DT 6-1 310

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Virginia, Jowon Briggs has 20 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 90.37 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 95.64 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Mandy Alonso DE 6-2 280

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Virginia, Mandy Alonso has 16 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 66.53 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 68.5 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

D’Angelo Amos DB 6-1 185.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Virginia, D’Angelo Amos had 46 tackles which puts him in the 94.83 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 87.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. D’Angelo Amos as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 84.5 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Nick Grant CB 6-1 200

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Virginia, Nick Grant had 21 tackles which puts him in the 80.06 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 35.19 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Nick Grant as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 82.99 percentile among Corners this season.

Boston College vs. Virginia Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Boston College 31 Virginia 30

Spread Pick: Boston College +4 -106 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Boston College +167 5Dimes
Total Pick: Over 54.5 -115 Pinnacle Sports