College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Bowling Green vs. Akron 12/5/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Bowling Green visits Akron on 12/5/2020 at 2:00PM.

Bowling Green and Akron face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Bowling Green has a record of 0-4 this season. Akron is 0-4 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Bowling Green Team Defense Preview

Bowling Green has had 36 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 6.06 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Bowling Green cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Bowling Green message boards are flights of fantasy. Bowling Green opponents pass the football 35.78% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Bowling Green can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.75 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Bowling Green has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Bowling Green Team Offense Preview

Bowling Green has had 38 total drives this season and they generate 4.18 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Bowling Green is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 47.80% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.96 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Bowling Green Offense this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Bowling Green has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Akron Team Defense Preview

Akron has had 34 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.44 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Akron message boards are flights of fantasy. Passing plays make up 43.24% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 4.13 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Akron has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Akron Team Offense Preview

Akron has had 38 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.03 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Akron is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Akron passes the football 49.74% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Akron struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Akron can take credit for 2.67 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Akron Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Akron is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Bowling Green Roster

The Players to Watch for Bowling Green

Matt McDonald QB 6-3 214

This season, Matt McDonald has put up 577 yards and 1 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 82.2thus far this season. Matt McDonald has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Matt McDonald has 36.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 58.25 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 21.0 times this season, which puts him in the 59.52 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Andrew Clair RB 5-11 205

This season, Andrew Clair has 240 rushing yards on 41 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Andrew Clair picked up 28 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 2 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Julian Ortega-Jones WR 6-2 206

This season, Julian Ortega-Jones picked up 142 yards. He caught the ball 11 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Roland Walder DL 6-3 250

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Bowling Green, Roland Walder has 17 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 66.53 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 68.5 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jordan Anderson DB 5-10 194.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Bowling Green, Jordan Anderson had 24 tackles which puts him in the 72.42 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 87.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Jordan Anderson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 38.31 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Akron Roster

The Players to Watch for Akron

Zach Gibson QB 6-3 210

This season, Zach Gibson has put up 638 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 112.2thus far this season. Zach Gibson has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Zach Gibson has -8.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 14.76 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 38.0 times this season, which puts him in the 77.3 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Teon Dollard RB 5-11 205

This season, Teon Dollard has 456 rushing yards on 79 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Teon Dollard picked up 29 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 10 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Nate Stewart WR 6-2 205

This season, Nate Stewart picked up 173 yards. He caught the ball 11 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Nazir Sy DL 6-2 308

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Akron, Nazir Sy has 9 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 21.41 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 30.46 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Adetutu Daranijo S 5-10 192.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Akron, Adetutu Daranijo had 20 tackles which puts him in the 65.32 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 32.62 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Adetutu Daranijo as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 38.31 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

A.J. Watts CB 6-1 192

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Akron, A.J. Watts had 22 tackles which puts him in the 82.55 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 35.19 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. A.J. Watts as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.54 percentile among Corners this season.

Bowling Green vs. Akron Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Bowling Green 17 Akron 16

Spread Pick: Bowling Green +3 -118 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Bowling Green +125 5Dimes
Total Pick: Under 57.5 -107 5Dimes