College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Brigham Young vs. Boise State 11/6/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Brigham Young visits Boise State on 11/6/2020 at 9:45PM.

Brigham Young and Boise State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Brigham Young has a record of 7-0 this season. Boise State is 2-0 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Brigham Young Team Defense Preview

Brigham Young has had 59 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.0 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Brigham Young is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Brigham Young opponents pass the football 54.24% of the time.Brigham Young tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Brigham Young is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.33 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Brigham Young is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Brigham Young Team Offense Preview

Brigham Young has had 59 total drives this season and they generate 6.22 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Brigham Young. Any defense is in for a challenge with Brigham Young, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Brigham Young passes the football 51.77% of the time.Brigham Young tends to pass more than other teams.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Brigham Young has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Brigham Young can take credit for 3.2 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Brigham Young coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Brigham Young has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Brigham Young is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Brigham Young is a better passing team than running team this season.

Boise State Team Defense Preview

Boise State has had 21 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.95 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Boise State cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Boise State has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 22.40% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Boise State can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.38 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Boise State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Boise State Team Offense Preview

Boise State has had 20 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.45 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Any defense is in for a challenge with Boise State, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 48.62% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Boise State can take credit for 3.65 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Boise State has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Boise State is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Boise State is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Brigham Young Roster

The Players to Watch for Brigham Young

The Boise State Roster

The Players to Watch for Boise State

Jack Sears QB 6-2 219

This season, Jack Sears has put up 291 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has thrown 0 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 231.9thus far this season. Jack Sears has thrown 0 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jack Sears has 44.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 65.69 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 7.0 times this season, which puts him in the 40.39 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

George Holani RB 5-11 206

This season, George Holani has 105 rushing yards on 16 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, George Holani picked up 33 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 3 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Khalil Shakir WR 6-0 190

This season, Khalil Shakir picked up 213 yards. He caught the ball 13 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Keeghan Freeborn NT 6-1 317

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Boise State, Keeghan Freeborn has 12 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 28.42 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 36.61 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Shane Irwin DE 6-3 254

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Boise State, Shane Irwin has 10 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 74.03 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 73.96 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Kekaula Kaniho S 5-10 177

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Boise State, Kekaula Kaniho had 6 tackles which puts him in the 42.91 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 79.41 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Kekaula Kaniho as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.81 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Jalen Walker CB 6-0 181

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Boise State, Jalen Walker had 9 tackles which puts him in the 60.22 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.55 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jalen Walker as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.66 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Brigham Young vs. Boise State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Brigham Young 29 Boise State 25

Spread Pick: No Action
Moneyline Pick: Brigham Young -175 Will Hill
Total Pick: Under 63 -115 Pinnacle Sports