College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Buffalo vs. Bowling Green 11/17/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Buffalo visits Bowling Green on 11/17/2020 at 7:00PM.

Buffalo and Bowling Green face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Buffalo has a record of 2-0 this season. Bowling Green is 0-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Buffalo Team Defense Preview

Buffalo has had 24 total defensive drives this season and they yield 3.54 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Buffalo is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Buffalo opponents pass the football 50.59% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Buffalo can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.61 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Buffalo is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Buffalo Team Offense Preview

Buffalo has had 21 total drives this season and they generate 5.05 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Buffalo is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Any defense is in for a challenge with Buffalo, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Buffalo passes the football 38.68% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.51 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Buffalo has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Buffalo is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Buffalo is a better passing team than running team this season.

Bowling Green Team Defense Preview

Bowling Green has had 21 total defensive drives this season and they yield 6.24 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Bowling Green cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Bowling Green has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Bowling Green opponents pass the football 42.75% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Bowling Green is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Bowling Green can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.19 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Bowling Green should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Bowling Green is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Bowling Green Team Offense Preview

Bowling Green has had 22 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 3.73 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Bowling Green is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Bowling Green passes the football 41.46% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Bowling Green struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.56 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Bowling Green Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Bowling Green has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Buffalo Roster

The Players to Watch for Buffalo

Kyle Vantrease QB 6-3 220

This season, Kyle Vantrease has put up 531 yards and 5 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 195.8thus far this season. Kyle Vantrease has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Kyle Vantrease has 12.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 42.56 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 4.0 times this season, which puts him in the 25.26 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Jaret Patterson RB 5-9 195

This season, Jaret Patterson has 210 rushing yards on 40 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Jaret Patterson picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Antonio Nunn WR 5-11 200

This season, Antonio Nunn picked up 239 yards. He caught the ball 11 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

George Wolo DT 6-0 265

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Buffalo, George Wolo has 5 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 27.32 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 35.37 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Malcolm Koonce DE 6-3 250

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Buffalo, Malcolm Koonce has 13 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 69.52 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 71.19 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Logic Hudgens S 6-0 180

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Buffalo, Logic Hudgens had 9 tackles which puts him in the 49.02 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.2 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Logic Hudgens as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.5 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Isaiah King CB 5-10 190

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Buffalo, Isaiah King had 10 tackles which puts him in the 59.65 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 36.01 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Isaiah King as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.07 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Bowling Green Roster

The Players to Watch for Bowling Green

Matt McDonald QB 6-3 214

This season, Matt McDonald has put up 233 yards and 0 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 59.1thus far this season. Matt McDonald has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Matt McDonald has 31.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 56.57 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 8.0 times this season, which puts him in the 38.58 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Terion Stewart RB 5-8 210

This season, Terion Stewart has 162 rushing yards on 14 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Terion Stewart picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Julian Ortega-Jones WR 6-2 206

This season, Julian Ortega-Jones picked up 66 yards. He caught the ball 4 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Roland Walder DL 6-3 250

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Bowling Green, Roland Walder has 11 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 69.52 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 71.19 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jordan Anderson DB 5-10 194

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Bowling Green, Jordan Anderson had 13 tackles which puts him in the 59.43 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.1 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jordan Anderson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.5 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Buffalo vs. Bowling Green Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Buffalo 38 Bowling Green 12

Spread Pick: Bowling Green +31.5 -115 Bookmaker
Moneyline Pick: Buffalo -2402 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Under 60 -115 BetOnline