College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Buffalo vs. Ohio 12/5/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Buffalo visits Ohio on 12/5/2020 at 3:30PM.

Buffalo and Ohio face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Buffalo has a record of 4-0 this season. Ohio is 2-1 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Buffalo Team Defense Preview

Buffalo has had 44 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.3 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Buffalo is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Buffalo has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Buffalo opponents pass the football 49.74% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.3 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Buffalo is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Buffalo Team Offense Preview

Buffalo has had 43 total drives this season and they generate 5.4 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Any defense is in for a challenge with Buffalo, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 31.47% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 4.02 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Buffalo has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Buffalo is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Buffalo is a better passing team than running team this season.

Ohio Team Defense Preview

Ohio has had 32 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.75 plays per drive. Ohio lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Ohio has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 50.00% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.14 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Ohio has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Ohio Team Offense Preview

Ohio has had 29 total drives this season and they generate 4.69 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Ohio is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Ohio is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 41.18% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.26 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Ohio has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Ohio has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Buffalo Roster

The Players to Watch for Buffalo

Kyle Vantrease QB 6-3 220

This season, Kyle Vantrease has put up 753 yards and 5 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 159.9thus far this season. Kyle Vantrease has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Kyle Vantrease has 28.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 54.44 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 6.0 times this season, which puts him in the 30.79 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Jaret Patterson RB 5-9 195

This season, Jaret Patterson has 920 rushing yards on 107 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 16 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Jaret Patterson picked up 0 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 0 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Antonio Nunn WR 5-11 200

This season, Antonio Nunn picked up 348 yards. He caught the ball 19 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

George Wolo DT 6-0 265

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Buffalo, George Wolo has 14 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 71.33 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 75.92 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Malcolm Koonce DE 6-3 250

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Buffalo, Malcolm Koonce has 22 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 5 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 88.36 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 94.33 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Cory Gross Jr. S 6-2 205.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Buffalo, Cory Gross Jr. had 22 tackles which puts him in the 69.09 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 73.47 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Cory Gross Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 84.5 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Isaiah King CB 5-10 190

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Buffalo, Isaiah King had 15 tackles which puts him in the 68.18 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 35.19 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Isaiah King as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.54 percentile among Corners this season.

The Ohio Roster

The Players to Watch for Ohio

Kurtis Rourke QB 6-3 211

This season, Kurtis Rourke has put up 386 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has thrown 0 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 164.4thus far this season. Kurtis Rourke has thrown 0 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Kurtis Rourke has 17.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 44.29 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 14.0 times this season, which puts him in the 48.73 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

De’Montre Tuggle RB 5-10 198

This season, De’Montre Tuggle has 403 rushing yards on 53 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 6 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, De’Montre Tuggle picked up 6 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 2 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Isiah Cox WR 5-11 180

This season, Isiah Cox picked up 142 yards. He caught the ball 7 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jeremiah Burton DT 6-1 268

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Ohio, Jeremiah Burton has 7 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 55.5 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 75.92 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Austin Conrad DE 6-2 245

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Ohio, Austin Conrad has 16 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 66.53 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 68.5 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jamison Collier S 6-1 190.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Ohio, Jamison Collier had 19 tackles which puts him in the 63.18 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 32.62 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Jamison Collier as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 38.31 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Ilyaas Motley CB 5-11 170

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Ohio, Ilyaas Motley had 9 tackles which puts him in the 49.56 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 35.19 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Ilyaas Motley as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.54 percentile among Corners this season.

Buffalo vs. Ohio Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Buffalo 32 Ohio 27

Spread Pick: Ohio +12 -110 JazzSports
Moneyline Pick: Buffalo -380 5Dimes
Total Pick: Over 58 -113 Bookmaker