MLB Picks, Predictions, and Previews

Cardinals at Mets Predictions and Preview for 9/15/2021

The St. Louis Cardinals visit the New York Mets on 9/15/2021 at 7:10PM.

The Cardinals and the Mets face off in an regular season game. The Cardinals have a record of 75-69 this season. The Mets are 72-74 this season.

Starting Pitcher and Lineup for the St. Louis Cardinals

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Jon Lester is 5-6 this season with an ERA of 4.75 in 119.1 innings pitched across 24 starts. He has a WHIP of 1.54 and yields an opponent Batting Average of 0.283. Jon Lester’s pitching repertoire includes:

  • A Fastball that is on average 88.4 mph.
  • A Cutter that is on average 86.6 mph.
  • A Curveball that is on average 72.6 mph.
  • A Changeup that is on average 81.4 mph.

Here is a breakdown of the type of contacted balls Jon Lester has attracted this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 44.3%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 32.6%
  • Line Drive Rate: 23.1%

He has attracted the following types of contact velocities:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 14.7%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 57.1%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 28.2%

Tyler O’Neill

Tyler O’Neill has hit 26 Home Runs, drove in 59 runs, and sports a .280 batting average this season. He also has scored 70 runs this season and stolen 12 bases.

He is considered a very good hitter according to OPS. .874 is his OPS this season, can it go higher?Tyler O’Neill would be considered a power hitter this season, although he is not one of the top pure power hitters.

He is below average with his 7.3% walk rate, drawing walks may not necessarily be that important or the opportunity may not arise as much. With a strikeout rate of 32.1%, he has struggled at the plate with making contact. This season, he has been an above-average player at getting on base.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls Tyler O’Neill put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 35.3%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 40.5%
  • Line Drive Rate: 24.2%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 15.2%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 42.0%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 42.8%


Paul Goldschmidt

Paul Goldschmidt has hit 25 Home Runs, drove in 84 runs, and sports a .285 batting average this season. He also has scored 82 runs this season and stolen 12 bases.

He is considered a very good hitter according to OPS. .841 is his OPS this season, can it go higher?He hits with above-average power and it must be respected.

He is an above average hitter when came to his ability to draw walks with a 10.0% walk rate. He has a K Rate of 20.2% this season, which is a bit lower than your average MLB hitter. Getting on base is not an issue for Paul Goldschmidt this season.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls Paul Goldschmidt put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 37.2%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 39.8%
  • Line Drive Rate: 23.0%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 12.3%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 46.2%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 41.5%


Nolan Arenado

Nolan Arenado has hit 31 Home Runs, drove in 97 runs, and sports a .254 batting average this season. He also has scored 71 runs this season and stolen 2 bases.

He has an OPS that is above-average. Nolan Arenado would be considered a power hitter this season, although he is not one of the top pure power hitters.

He is below average with his 7.1% walk rate, drawing walks may not necessarily be that important or the opportunity may not arise as much. He avoids strikeouts quite well, he is FAR better than your average hitter. If he is getting an out, he made contact to get there. He is not getting on base this season as much as he or his manager hope.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls Nolan Arenado put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 31.1%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 49.5%
  • Line Drive Rate: 19.5%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 18.2%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 48.6%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 33.3%


Edmundo Sosa

Edmundo Sosa has hit 5 Home Runs, drove in 24 runs, and sports a .276 batting average this season. He also has scored 34 runs this season and stolen 4 bases.

He has an OPS that is above-average. He is not considered a power hitter this season, but this could change.

He is a free swinger and his walk rate this season indicates it thus far, it is presently 4.9%. He has a K Rate of 17.7% this season, which is a bit lower than your average MLB hitter. This season, he has been an above-average player at getting on base.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls Edmundo Sosa put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 51.2%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 27.9%
  • Line Drive Rate: 20.9%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 19.7%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 56.7%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 23.6%


Dylan Carlson

Dylan Carlson has hit 13 Home Runs, drove in 51 runs, and sports a .257 batting average this season. He also has scored 69 runs this season and stolen 2 bases.

He has an OPS that is above-average. He is not considered a power hitter this season, but this could change.

He is an above average hitter when came to his ability to draw walks with a 9.3% walk rate. Striking out a bit more than your average hitter with a K Rate of 24.5%, it is not ideal, but… still a weakness. This season, he has been an above-average player at getting on base.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls Dylan Carlson put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 37.8%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 37.3%
  • Line Drive Rate: 24.9%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 12.8%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 59.3%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 27.9%


Harrison Bader

Harrison Bader has hit 11 Home Runs, drove in 38 runs, and sports a .248 batting average this season. He also has scored 30 runs this season and stolen 6 bases.

He has an OPS that is above-average. He hits with above-average power and it must be respected.

He is below average with his 7.8% walk rate, drawing walks may not necessarily be that important or the opportunity may not arise as much. He has a K Rate of 19.8% this season, which is a bit lower than your average MLB hitter. This season, he has been an above-average player at getting on base.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls Harrison Bader put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 43.9%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 41.0%
  • Line Drive Rate: 15.1%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 23.4%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 46.9%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 29.7%


Tommy Edman

Tommy Edman has hit 10 Home Runs, drove in 48 runs, and sports a .263 batting average this season. He also has scored 79 runs this season and stolen 25 bases.

A below-average OPS of .702 has been disappointing thus far for Tommy Edman. He is not considered a power hitter this season, but this could change.

He is below average with his 5.5% walk rate, drawing walks may not necessarily be that important or the opportunity may not arise as much. He avoids strikeouts quite well, he is FAR better than your average hitter. If he is getting an out, he made contact to get there. He is not getting on base this season as much as he or his manager hope.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls Tommy Edman put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 46.6%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 31.4%
  • Line Drive Rate: 22.0%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 16.3%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 54.5%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 29.3%


Jose Rondon

Jose Rondon has hit 1 Home Runs, drove in 5 runs, and sports a .266 batting average this season. He also has scored 11 runs this season and stolen 2 bases.

A below-average OPS of .677 has been disappointing thus far for Jose Rondon. He would not be classified as a power hitter this season.

He is an above average hitter when came to his ability to draw walks with a 9.7% walk rate. He has a K Rate of 18.1% this season, which is a bit lower than your average MLB hitter. This season, he has been an above-average player at getting on base.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls Jose Rondon put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 34.0%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 46.0%
  • Line Drive Rate: 20.0%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 19.2%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 55.8%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 25.0%


Yadier Molina

Yadier Molina has hit 11 Home Runs, drove in 60 runs, and sports a .257 batting average this season. He also has scored 43 runs this season and stolen 3 bases.

A below-average OPS of .685 has been disappointing thus far for Yadier Molina. He is not considered a power hitter this season, but this could change.

He is below average with his 5.3% walk rate, drawing walks may not necessarily be that important or the opportunity may not arise as much. He avoids strikeouts quite well, he is FAR better than your average hitter. If he is getting an out, he made contact to get there. He is not getting on base this season as much as he or his manager hope.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls Yadier Molina put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 42.6%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 37.8%
  • Line Drive Rate: 19.5%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 15.3%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 53.2%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 31.5%


Paul DeJong

Paul DeJong has hit 17 Home Runs, drove in 41 runs, and sports a .198 batting average this season. He also has scored 41 runs this season and stolen 4 bases.

A below-average OPS of .675 has been disappointing thus far for Paul DeJong. He hits with above-average power and it must be respected.

He is an above average hitter when came to his ability to draw walks with a 9.3% walk rate. Striking out a bit more than your average hitter with a K Rate of 25.9%, it is not ideal, but… still a weakness. He is not getting on base this season as much as he or his manager hope.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls Paul DeJong put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 37.8%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 46.1%
  • Line Drive Rate: 16.1%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 16.1%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 50.0%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 33.9%


Starting Pitcher and Lineup for the New York Mets

Tylor Megill is 3-4 this season with an ERA of 4.06 in 77.2 innings pitched across 15 starts. He has a WHIP of 1.2 and yields an opponent Batting Average of 0.243. Tylor Megill’s pitching repertoire includes:

  • A Fastball that is on average 94.6 mph.
  • A Slider that is on average 85.7 mph.
  • A Curveball that is on average 79.4 mph.
  • A Changeup that is on average 85.2 mph.

Here is a breakdown of the type of contacted balls Tylor Megill has attracted this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 41.8%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 42.3%
  • Line Drive Rate: 15.9%

He has attracted the following types of contact velocities:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 14.6%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 50.5%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 34.9%

Brandon Nimmo

Brandon Nimmo has hit 5 Home Runs, drove in 23 runs, and sports a .302 batting average this season. He also has scored 42 runs this season and stolen 5 bases.

He is considered a very good hitter according to OPS. .835 is his OPS this season, can it go higher?He is not considered a power hitter this season, but this could change.

He is very well known for his ability to draw walks with a 15.6% walk rate. He has a K Rate of 21.3% this season, which is a bit lower than your average MLB hitter. His ability to reach base is among the best in MLB.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls Brandon Nimmo put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 48.0%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 26.5%
  • Line Drive Rate: 25.5%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 23.2%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 47.5%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 29.3%


J.D. Davis

J.D. Davis has hit 5 Home Runs, drove in 22 runs, and sports a .298 batting average this season. He also has scored 17 runs this season and stolen 1 bases.

He is considered a very good hitter according to OPS. .852 is his OPS this season, can it go higher?He hits with above-average power and it must be respected.

He is an above average hitter when came to his ability to draw walks with a 11.1% walk rate. Striking out a bit more than your average hitter with a K Rate of 31.3%, it is not ideal, but… still a weakness. Getting on base is not an issue for J.D. Davis this season.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls J.D. Davis put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 38.9%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 29.6%
  • Line Drive Rate: 31.5%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 8.3%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 60.2%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 31.5%


Pete Alonso

Pete Alonso has hit 32 Home Runs, drove in 86 runs, and sports a .260 batting average this season. He also has scored 73 runs this season and stolen 3 bases.

He is considered a very good hitter according to OPS. .849 is his OPS this season, can it go higher?Pete Alonso would be considered a power hitter this season, although he is not one of the top pure power hitters.

He is an above average hitter when came to his ability to draw walks with a 9.1% walk rate. He has a K Rate of 20.4% this season, which is a bit lower than your average MLB hitter. This season, he has been an above-average player at getting on base.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls Pete Alonso put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 37.8%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 43.4%
  • Line Drive Rate: 18.9%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 15.8%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 47.2%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 37.0%


Javier Baez

Javier Baez has hit 31 Home Runs, drove in 83 runs, and sports a .264 batting average this season. He also has scored 74 runs this season and stolen 17 bases.

He is considered a very good hitter according to OPS. .831 is his OPS this season, can it go higher?Javier Baez would be considered a power hitter this season, although he is not one of the top pure power hitters.

He is a free swinger and his walk rate this season indicates it thus far, it is presently 4.9%. With a strikeout rate of 34.0%, he has struggled at the plate with making contact. This season, he has been an above-average player at getting on base.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls Javier Baez put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 48.1%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 35.1%
  • Line Drive Rate: 16.8%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 17.4%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 44.9%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 37.6%


Jonathan Villar

Jonathan Villar has hit 18 Home Runs, drove in 40 runs, and sports a .261 batting average this season. He also has scored 60 runs this season and stolen 13 bases.

He has an OPS that is above-average. He hits with above-average power and it must be respected.

He is an above average hitter when came to his ability to draw walks with a 9.6% walk rate. Striking out a bit more than your average hitter with a K Rate of 24.7%, it is not ideal, but… still a weakness. This season, he has been an above-average player at getting on base.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls Jonathan Villar put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 47.4%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 31.5%
  • Line Drive Rate: 21.1%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 22.2%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 48.8%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 29.0%


Brandon Drury

Brandon Drury has hit 4 Home Runs, drove in 14 runs, and sports a .274 batting average this season. He also has scored 7 runs this season and stolen 0 bases.

He has an OPS that is above-average. He hits with above-average power and it must be respected.

He is a free swinger and his walk rate this season indicates it thus far, it is presently 3.4%. Striking out a bit more than your average hitter with a K Rate of 25.0%, it is not ideal, but… still a weakness. He is not getting on base this season as much as he or his manager hope.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls Brandon Drury put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 51.6%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 32.3%
  • Line Drive Rate: 16.1%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 21.0%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 45.2%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 33.9%


Luis Guillorme

Luis Guillorme has hit 1 Home Runs, drove in 4 runs, and sports a .279 batting average this season. He also has scored 13 runs this season and stolen 0 bases.

He has an OPS that is above-average. He would not be classified as a power hitter this season.

He is very well known for his ability to draw walks with a 15.8% walk rate. He avoids strikeouts quite well, he is FAR better than your average hitter. If he is getting an out, he made contact to get there. Getting on base is not an issue for Luis Guillorme this season.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls Luis Guillorme put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 52.5%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 27.7%
  • Line Drive Rate: 19.8%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 15.5%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 58.3%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 26.2%


Michael Conforto

Michael Conforto has hit 12 Home Runs, drove in 48 runs, and sports a .227 batting average this season. He also has scored 44 runs this season and stolen 1 bases.

He has an OPS that is above-average. He is not considered a power hitter this season, but this could change.

His ability to draw walks is quite good. He is a selective hitter sporting a 12.5% walk rate. He has a K Rate of 21.7% this season, which is a bit lower than your average MLB hitter. This season, he has been an above-average player at getting on base.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls Michael Conforto put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 44.6%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 35.2%
  • Line Drive Rate: 20.2%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 14.2%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 47.2%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 38.6%


Francisco Lindor

Francisco Lindor has hit 17 Home Runs, drove in 52 runs, and sports a .229 batting average this season. He also has scored 66 runs this season and stolen 10 bases.

He has an OPS that is above-average. He hits with above-average power and it must be respected.

He is an above average hitter when came to his ability to draw walks with a 11.6% walk rate. He has a K Rate of 16.9% this season, which is a bit lower than your average MLB hitter. This season, he has been an above-average player at getting on base.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls Francisco Lindor put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 40.2%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 41.2%
  • Line Drive Rate: 18.6%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 14.3%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 53.3%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 32.4%


Jeff McNeil

Jeff McNeil has hit 6 Home Runs, drove in 33 runs, and sports a .244 batting average this season. He also has scored 42 runs this season and stolen 2 bases.

A below-average OPS of .657 has been disappointing thus far for Jeff McNeil. He is not considered a power hitter this season, but this could change.

He is below average with his 6.9% walk rate, drawing walks may not necessarily be that important or the opportunity may not arise as much. He avoids strikeouts quite well, he is FAR better than your average hitter. If he is getting an out, he made contact to get there. This season, he has been an above-average player at getting on base.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls Jeff McNeil put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 46.3%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 32.9%
  • Line Drive Rate: 20.8%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 17.4%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 52.8%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 29.8%


Dominic Smith

Dominic Smith has hit 11 Home Runs, drove in 55 runs, and sports a .244 batting average this season. He also has scored 42 runs this season and stolen 2 bases.

A below-average OPS of .667 has been disappointing thus far for Dominic Smith. He is not considered a power hitter this season, but this could change.

He is below average with his 6.8% walk rate, drawing walks may not necessarily be that important or the opportunity may not arise as much. He has a K Rate of 22.8% this season, which is a bit lower than your average MLB hitter. He is not getting on base this season as much as he or his manager hope.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls Dominic Smith put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 37.2%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 36.3%
  • Line Drive Rate: 26.5%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 12.0%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 53.5%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 34.5%


James McCann

James McCann has hit 10 Home Runs, drove in 41 runs, and sports a .236 batting average this season. He also has scored 25 runs this season and stolen 0 bases.

A below-average OPS of .662 has been disappointing thus far for James McCann. He is not considered a power hitter this season, but this could change.

He is below average with his 8.1% walk rate, drawing walks may not necessarily be that important or the opportunity may not arise as much. Striking out a bit more than your average hitter with a K Rate of 27.4%, it is not ideal, but… still a weakness. He is not getting on base this season as much as he or his manager hope.

Breaking down the types of contacted balls James McCann put into play this season:

  • Ground Ball Rate: 52.3%
  • Fly Ball Rate: 28.5%
  • Line Drive Rate: 19.1%

Now here is a breakdown of the velocity of the balls he put into play:

  • Soft Hit Ball Rate: 16.5%
  • Medium Hit Ball Rate: 55.1%
  • Hard Hit Ball Rate: 28.4%


St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Cardinals 0 Mets 6

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