College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Central Michigan vs. Toledo 12/12/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Central Michigan visits Toledo on 12/12/2020 at 3:00PM.

Central Michigan and Toledo face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Central Michigan has a record of 3-2 this season. Toledo is 3-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Central Michigan Team Defense Preview

Central Michigan has had 61 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.13 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Central Michigan is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Central Michigan has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 47.92% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Central Michigan opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.59 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Central Michigan is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Central Michigan Team Offense Preview

Central Michigan has had 63 total drives this season and they generate 5.17 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Central Michigan is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Central Michigan is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Central Michigan passes the football 43.87% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.79 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Central Michigan this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Central Michigan has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Toledo Team Defense Preview

Toledo has had 60 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.65 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Toledo is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Toledo has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 52.33% of their opponents’ play calls.Toledo tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Toledo opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Toledo can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.6 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Toledo is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Toledo Team Offense Preview

Toledo has had 58 total drives this season and they generate 5.88 plays per drive. Toledo runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Toledo has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 53.96% of their play calls.Toledo tends to pass more than other teams.

Toledo struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.56 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Toledo Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Toledo is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Central Michigan Roster

The Players to Watch for Central Michigan

Daniel Richardson QB 5-10 205

This season, Daniel Richardson has put up 769 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 137.8thus far this season. Daniel Richardson has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Daniel Richardson has -14.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 10.96 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 14.0 times this season, which puts him in the 45.52 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Kobe Lewis RB 5-11 208

This season, Kobe Lewis has 410 rushing yards on 87 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 6 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Kobe Lewis picked up 80 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 14 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dallas Dixon WR 6-1 189

This season, Dallas Dixon picked up 263 yards. He caught the ball 13 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Mohamed Diallo DL 6-4 305.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Central Michigan, Mohamed Diallo has 16 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 95.73 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 89.57 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Devonni Reed DB 6-0 195.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Central Michigan, Devonni Reed had 35 tackles which puts him in the 84.86 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 31.97 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Devonni Reed as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 83.84 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Toledo Roster

The Players to Watch for Toledo

Eli Peters QB 6-2 195

This season, Eli Peters has put up 1106 yards and 9 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 160.2thus far this season. Eli Peters has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Eli Peters has 53.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 62.96 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 25.0 times this season, which puts him in the 63.12 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Bryant Koback RB 6-0 205

This season, Bryant Koback has 399 rushing yards on 99 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Bryant Koback picked up 184 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 19 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Isaiah Winstead WR 6-3 210

This season, Isaiah Winstead picked up 389 yards. He caught the ball 22 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

David Hood DT 6-1 280

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Toledo, David Hood has 12 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 69.96 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.96 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jamal Hines DE 6-3 250.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Toledo, Jamal Hines has 24 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 82.04 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 80.93 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Tycen Anderson S 6-2 205.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Toledo, Tycen Anderson had 31 tackles which puts him in the 79.46 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 31.97 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Tycen Anderson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.97 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Justin Clark CB 5-11 180

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Toledo, Justin Clark had 18 tackles which puts him in the 70.54 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 34.7 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Justin Clark as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 36.4 percentile among Corners this season.

Central Michigan vs. Toledo Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Central Michigan 30 Toledo 29

Spread Pick: Central Michigan +11.5 -105 5Dimes
Moneyline Pick: Central Michigan +345 5Dimes
Total Pick: Over 52.5 -114 Pinnacle Sports