NFL Picks, Predictions, and Previews

Chicago Bears vs. New Orleans Saints 1/10/2021 NFL Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Chicago Bears visit the New Orleans Saints on 1/10/2021 at 4:40PM.

Chicago and New Orleans face off in a Wild Card Playoff game. Chicago has a record of 8-8 this season. New Orleans is 12-4 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Chicago Team Defense Preview

Chicago faces 5.9 plays per drive, they hold opponents to 30.8 yards per drive, and opponents score 2.01 points per offensive possession. On 38.0% of defensive possessions, opponents find a way to come away with points, but 8.9% of the time, they force opposing offenses to turn the ball over. Defensive possessions start on average at opponent’s Own 29.3 and these drives usually take up 2:41 of time.

This defense holds opposing quarterbacks to a Quarterback Rating (QBR) of 94.9 and 1.8% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Chicago has forced a sack rate of 6.0% this season.

Examining Chicago in a few key defensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have encountered 210 opponent third down attempts this season and opponents have converted 80 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 38.1%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have taken on opponents in 22 fourth down conversion attempts this season and the opposition have successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 13 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 59.1%. Defensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone, which is why defenses strive to avoid this from happening. They have had allowed offenses 53 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and their opponents have converted 29 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a conversion rate of 54.7%.

Chicago Team Offense Preview

Chicago has run 6.1 plays per drive and this offense averages 30.3 yards per drive, and they score 2.03 points per offensive possession. On 38.9% of offensive possessions, they find a way to come away with points, but 12.0% of the time, they are afflicted by the turnover bug. Their offensive drives start typically at their Own 30.5 yard line, they typically last 2:47.

On 4.2% of passes thrown, it results in a touchdown and 2.6% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Chicago has yielded 36 sacks this season and this has resulted in 270 yards lost.

Chicago rushed for 4.2 yards per carry and for 102.9 yards per game. Rushers, Receivers, and Sitting Duck Quarterbacks fumbled the ball 20 times this season.

Let’s get situational with the Chicago and examine various situations. They have had 205 third down attempts this season and have converted 71 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 34.6%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had 28 fourth down attempts this season and have converted 17 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 60.7%. It is critical for offenses to get the ball into the Red Zone. They have had 55 Red Zone entrances this season and successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 31 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 56.4%.

New Orleans Team Defense Preview

New Orleans yields 5.8 plays per drive, this defense gives up 28.1 yards per drive, and opponents score 1.93 points per offensive possession. On 34.7% of defensive possessions, opponents find a way to come away with points, but on 13.1% of defensive possessions, they force opponents to cough up the ball. Their offensive drives start typically at their opponent’s Own 27.5 yard line, they usually take up 2:37 of time.

Opposing quarterbacks have a QBR of 83.3 against New Orleans and on 3.2% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. New Orleans has forced a sack rate of 7.5% this season.

We will get more situational with New Orleans and examine various situations. They have faced 207 third down attempts this season and opponents have converted 79 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 38.2%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had to wall up against 30 fourth down attempts this season and the opposition have successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 16 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 53.3%. Defensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone, which is why defenses strive to avoid this from happening. They have had allowed offenses 50 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and opponents successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 34 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 68.0%.

New Orleans Team Offense Preview

New Orleans has run 6.0 plays per drive and they generate 33.9 yards per drive, and they score 2.67 points per offensive possession. On 45.5% of offensive possessions, they find a way to come away with points, but on 9.0% of offensive possessions, they find cough the ball up to the opponent. Their offensive drives start typically at their Own 32.0 yard line, they typically last 2:54.

5.4% of passes thrown are touchdown passes by New Orleans and 1.5% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.New Orleans has yielded 29 sacks this season and this has resulted in 187 yards lost.

They rushed for 4.6 yards per carry and for 141.6 yards per game. This offense coughed up the ball 27 times this season.

Examining New Orleans in a few key offensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have navigated through 208 third down attempts this season and have converted 93 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 44.7%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have willingly and unwillingly encountered 16 fourth down conversion attempts this season and successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 11 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 68.8%. Offensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone. They have had 68 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 49 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 72.1%.

The Chicago Roster

The Players to Watch for Chicago

Mitchell Trubisky QB 6-2 215

This season, Mitchell Trubisky has put up 2055 yards and 16 touchdowns. He has thrown 8 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 93.5thus far this season. Mitchell Trubisky has thrown 8 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Mitchell Trubisky has 195 rushing yards, which puts him in the 69.39 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 33 times this season, which puts him in the 57.14 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1 rushing touchdowns this season.

David Montgomery RB 5-10 222

This season, David Montgomery has 1070 rushing yards on 247 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 8 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, David Montgomery picked up 438 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 54 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Allen Robinson WR 6-2 220

This season, Allen Robinson picked up 1250 yards. He caught the ball 102 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

Akiem Hicks DT 6-4 352

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Chicago, Akiem Hicks has 30 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 84.83 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0.0 fumbles this season.

Robert Quinn DE 6-4 257

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Chicago, Robert Quinn has 14 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 28.66 among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 3.0 fumbles this season.

Eddie Jackson SS 6-0 204

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Chicago, Eddie Jackson had 63 tackles which puts him in the 79.89 percentile among non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Eddie Jackson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 17.07 percentile among secondary position players this season.

Kyle Fuller CB 5-11 194

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Chicago, Kyle Fuller had 52 tackles which puts him in the 82.68 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Kyle Fuller as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 54.7 percentile among Corners this season.

The New Orleans Roster

The Players to Watch for New Orleans

Drew Brees QB 6-0 209

This season, Drew Brees has put up 2942 yards and 24 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 106.4thus far this season. Drew Brees has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Drew Brees has -2 rushing yards, which puts him in the 10.2 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 18 times this season, which puts him in the 39.8 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2 rushing touchdowns this season.

Latavius Murray RB 6-3 230

This season, Latavius Murray has 656 rushing yards on 146 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Latavius Murray picked up 176 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 23 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Emmanuel Sanders WR 5-11 180

This season, Emmanuel Sanders picked up 726 yards. He caught the ball 61 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 5 receiving touchdowns this season.

David Onyemata DT 6-4 300

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for New Orleans, David Onyemata has 20 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 93.82 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced nan fumbles this season.

Cameron Jordan DE 6-4 287

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for New Orleans, Cameron Jordan has 34 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 8 times this season, which put him in the 85.98 among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 1.0 fumbles this season.

Malcolm Jenkins SS 6-0 204

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for New Orleans, Malcolm Jenkins had 69 tackles which puts him in the 91.3 percentile among non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 2 times this season. Malcolm Jenkins as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 87.8 percentile among secondary position players this season.

Marshon Lattimore CB 6-0 192

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for New Orleans, Marshon Lattimore had 52 tackles which puts him in the 82.68 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Marshon Lattimore as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 76.5 percentile among Corners this season.

Chicago Bears vs. New Orleans Saints Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Chicago Bears 21 New Orleans Saints 27

Spread Pick: Chicago +10.5 -118 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: New Orleans -454 Pinnacle Sports
Total Pick: Over 47 -105 Pinnacle Sports