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Cincinnati vs. UCF 11/21/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Cincinnati visits UCF on 11/21/2020 at 3:30PM.

Cincinnati and UCF face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Cincinnati has a record of 7-0 this season. UCF is 5-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Cincinnati Team Defense Preview

Cincinnati has had 71 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.41 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 52.60% of their opponents’ play calls.Cincinnati tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Cincinnati is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Cincinnati can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.48 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Cincinnati has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Cincinnati has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Cincinnati Team Offense Preview

Cincinnati has had 72 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.36 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Cincinnati has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Cincinnati passes the football 46.11% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Cincinnati is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.08 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Cincinnati coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Cincinnati this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Cincinnati is a better passing team than running team this season.

UCF Team Defense Preview

UCF has had 90 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.0 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, UCF is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. UCF has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 49.11% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

UCF is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? UCF can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.78 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!UCF has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

UCF Team Offense Preview

UCF has had 90 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.98 plays per drive. UCF runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Any defense is in for a challenge with UCF, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.UCF passes the football 50.56% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, UCF has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. UCF can take credit for 3.2 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The UCF coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the UCF Offense. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. UCF has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Cincinnati Roster

The Players to Watch for Cincinnati

Desmond Ridder QB 6-4 215

This season, Desmond Ridder has put up 1483 yards and 14 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 153.4thus far this season. Desmond Ridder has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Desmond Ridder has 469.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 98.29 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 53.0 times this season, which puts him in the 89.25 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 9.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Gerrid Doaks RB 6-0 230

This season, Gerrid Doaks has 563 rushing yards on 109 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 7 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Gerrid Doaks picked up 166 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 11 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jayson Jackson WR 5-10 175

This season, Jayson Jackson picked up 266 yards. He caught the ball 18 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Curtis Brooks DT 6-2 295

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Cincinnati, Curtis Brooks has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 26.7 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 34.71 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Myjai Sanders DE 6-5 258

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Cincinnati, Myjai Sanders has 24 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 97.64 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 5 times this season, which put him in the 97.86 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

James Wiggins S 6-0 205

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Cincinnati, James Wiggins had 26 tackles which puts him in the 82.18 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 76.48 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 1 times last season. James Wiggins as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 86.34 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Coby Bryant CB 6-1 198

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Cincinnati, Coby Bryant had 24 tackles which puts him in the 91.67 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 80.66 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Coby Bryant as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes last season, which puts him in the 98.43 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The UCF Roster

The Players to Watch for UCF

Dillon Gabriel QB 6-0 186

This season, Dillon Gabriel has put up 2774 yards and 23 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 171.0thus far this season. Dillon Gabriel has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Dillon Gabriel has 106.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 80.38 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 52.0 times this season, which puts him in the 88.23 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Otis Anderson RB 5-11 174

This season, Otis Anderson has 563 rushing yards on 97 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Otis Anderson picked up 56 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 10 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Marlon Williams WR 6-0 215

This season, Marlon Williams picked up 942 yards. He caught the ball 63 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 8 receiving touchdowns this season.

Randy Charlton DL 6-3 258

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for UCF, Randy Charlton has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 86.99 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 84.25 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Richie Grant DB 6-0 194

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for UCF, Richie Grant had 49 tackles which puts him in the 97.92 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.05 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 1 times last season. Richie Grant as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes last season, which puts him in the 99.03 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Cincinnati vs. UCF Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Cincinnati 30 UCF 21

Spread Pick: Cincinnati -4.5 -105 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Cincinnati -182 BetOnline
Total Pick: Under 66 -110 SkyBook