College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Clemson vs. Florida State 11/21/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Clemson visits Florida State on 11/21/2020 at 12:00PM.

Clemson and Florida State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Clemson has a record of 7-1 this season. Florida State is 2-6 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Clemson Team Defense Preview

Clemson has had 80 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.66 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Clemson is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Clemson opponents pass the football 53.08% of the time.Clemson tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Clemson opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.26 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Clemson has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Clemson should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Clemson is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Clemson Team Offense Preview

Clemson has had 87 total drives this season and they generate 5.55 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Any defense is in for a challenge with Clemson, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 57.35% of their play calls.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Clemson has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Clemson can take credit for 2.82 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Clemson this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Clemson is a better passing team than running team this season.

Florida State Team Defense Preview

Florida State has had 89 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.74 plays per drive. Florida State lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Florida State message boards are flights of fantasy. Florida State opponents pass the football 48.92% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Florida State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Florida State can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.06 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Florida State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Florida State Team Offense Preview

Florida State has had 89 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.61 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Florida State is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 50.30% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Florida State has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.25 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Florida State coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Florida State Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Florida State has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Clemson Roster

The Players to Watch for Clemson

Trevor Lawrence QB 6-6 220

This season, Trevor Lawrence has put up 1833 yards and 17 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 178.6thus far this season. Trevor Lawrence has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Trevor Lawrence has 71.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 72.35 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 29.0 times this season, which puts him in the 72.7 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 4.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Travis Etienne RB 5-10 210

This season, Travis Etienne has 634 rushing yards on 121 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 10 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Travis Etienne picked up 491 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 37 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Amari Rodgers WR 5-10 210

This season, Amari Rodgers picked up 720 yards. He caught the ball 48 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

Nyles Pinckney DT 6-1 295

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Clemson, Nyles Pinckney has 17 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 86.17 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 78.88 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Myles Murphy DE 6-5 265

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Clemson, Myles Murphy has 25 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 97.64 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 95.66 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 2 fumbles this season.

Joseph Charleston S 6-0 190

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Clemson, Joseph Charleston had 28 tackles which puts him in the 85.46 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.05 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Joseph Charleston as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.44 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Andrew Booth Jr. CB 6-0 190

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Clemson, Andrew Booth Jr. had 24 tackles which puts him in the 91.67 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 3 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 98.11 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 1 times last season. Andrew Booth Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 84.75 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Florida State Roster

The Players to Watch for Florida State

Jordan Travis QB 6-1 200

This season, Jordan Travis has put up 864 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 119.3thus far this season. Jordan Travis has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jordan Travis has 472.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 98.63 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 85.0 times this season, which puts him in the 96.93 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 6.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

La’Damian Webb RB 5-8 190

This season, La’Damian Webb has 366 rushing yards on 69 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, La’Damian Webb picked up 68 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 9 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Ontaria Wilson WR 6-0 174

This season, Ontaria Wilson picked up 341 yards. He caught the ball 29 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Marvin Wilson DT 6-5 305

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Florida State, Marvin Wilson has 17 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 76.94 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 78.88 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Janarius Robinson DE 6-5 260

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Florida State, Janarius Robinson has 21 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 7 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 96.43 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 92.54 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Asante Samuel Jr. DB 5-10 184

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Florida State, Asante Samuel Jr. had 30 tackles which puts him in the 87.87 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 76.48 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Asante Samuel Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes last season, which puts him in the 99.03 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Clemson vs. Florida State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Clemson 47 Florida State 16

Spread Pick: Florida State +36 -110 JazzSports
Moneyline Pick: Clemson -2683 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Under 64.5 -108 Pinnacle Sports and Over 62.5 -160 matchbook