NFL Picks, Predictions, and Previews

Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs 1/17/2021 NFL Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Cleveland Browns visit the Kansas City Chiefs on 1/17/2021 at 3:05PM.

Cleveland and Kansas City face off in a Wild Card Playoff game. Cleveland has a record of 11-5 this season. Kansas City is 14-2 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Cleveland Team Defense Preview

Cleveland faces 6.4 plays per drive, this defense gives up 34.6 yards per drive, and opponents score 2.45 points per offensive possession. 43.0% of the time on defensive possessions, opponents will score a Touchdown or convert on a Field Goal Attempt, but on 12.7% of defensive possessions, they force opponents to cough up the ball. Their offensive drives start typically at their opponent’s Own 30.3 yard line, they typically last 2:49.

Opposing quarterbacks have a QBR of 94.8 against Cleveland and 1.9% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Cleveland has forced a sack rate of 6.1% this season.

We will get more situational with Cleveland and examine various situations. They have faced 205 third down attempts this season and opponents have converted 90 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 43.9%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had to wall up against 27 fourth down attempts this season and the opposition have successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 22 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 81.5%. Defenses need to prevent possessions from reaching the Red Zone. They have allowed 61 Red Zone entrances this season and opponents successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 37 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 60.7%.

Cleveland Team Offense Preview

Cleveland has run 6.3 plays per drive and they generate 35.6 yards per drive, and this offense puts up 2.38 points per drive. On 40.6% of offensive possessions, they find a way to come away with points, but on 9.7% of offensive possessions, they find cough the ball up to the opponent. Their offensive drives start typically at their Own 28.1 yard line, they usually take up 3:00 of time.

5.4% of passes thrown are touchdown passes by Cleveland and 1.6% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Cleveland has given up 26 sacks this season and this has resulted in 162 yards lost.

They rushed for 4.8 yards per carry and for 148.4 yards per game. Rushers, Receivers, and Sitting Duck Quarterbacks fumbled the ball 23 times this season.

Let’s get situational with the Cleveland and examine various situations. They have had 196 third down attempts this season and successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 88 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 44.9%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have willingly and unwillingly encountered 24 fourth down conversion attempts this season and have converted 8 of these attempts, which comes out to a success rate of 33.3%. Offensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone. They have had 53 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and have converted 39 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a conversion rate of 73.6%.

Kansas City Team Defense Preview

Kansas City faces 6.2 plays per drive, they hold opponents to 33.8 yards per drive, and this defense lets offenses score 2.10 points per drive. On 36.1% of defensive possessions, opponents find a way to come away with points, but 13.0% of the time, they force opposing offenses to turn the ball over. Their offensive drives start typically at their opponent’s Own 25.8 yard line, they typically last 2:50.

Opposing quarterbacks have a QBR of 89.4 against Kansas City and 2.9% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Kansas City has forced a sack rate of 5.4% this season.

We will get more situational with Kansas City and examine various situations. They have faced 188 third down attempts this season and opponents have converted 77 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 41.0%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had to wall up against 20 fourth down attempts this season and opponents have converted 13 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 65.0%. Defenses need to prevent possessions from reaching the Red Zone. They have allowed 47 Red Zone entrances this season and opponents successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 36 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 76.6%.

Kansas City Team Offense Preview

Kansas City has 6.7 plays per drive, this offense averages 40.7 yards per drive, and they score 2.74 points per offensive possession. 47.9% of the time on offensive possessions, they will score a Touchdown or convert on a Field Goal Attempt, but on 9.2% of offensive possessions, they find cough the ball up to the opponent. Their offensive drives start typically at their Own 28.2 yard line, they typically last 3:00.

6.3% of passes thrown are touchdown passes by Kansas City and on 1.1% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. Kansas City has given up 24 sacks this season and there were 151 yards lost as a result of the inability to protect the Quarterback.

They rushed for 4.5 yards per carry and for 112.4 yards per game. This offense coughed up the ball 19 times this season.

Let’s get situational with the Kansas City and examine various situations. They have had 194 third down attempts this season and have converted 95 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 49.0%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have willingly and unwillingly encountered 16 fourth down conversion attempts this season and successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 9 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 56.3%. Offensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone. They have had 59 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 36 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 61.0%.

The Cleveland Roster

The Players to Watch for Cleveland

Baker Mayfield QB 6-1 215

This season, Baker Mayfield has put up 3563 yards and 26 touchdowns. He has thrown 8 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 95.9thus far this season. Baker Mayfield has thrown 8 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Baker Mayfield has 165 rushing yards, which puts him in the 68.0 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 54 times this season, which puts him in the 78.0 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1 rushing touchdowns this season.

Nick Chubb RB 5-11 227

This season, Nick Chubb has 1067 rushing yards on 190 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 12 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Nick Chubb picked up 150 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 16 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jarvis Landry WR 5-11 196

This season, Jarvis Landry picked up 840 yards. He caught the ball 72 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Sheldon Richardson DT 6-3 294

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Cleveland, Sheldon Richardson has 35 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 85.0 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1.0 fumbles this season.

Myles Garrett DE 6-4 272

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Cleveland, Myles Garrett has 33 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 12 times this season, which put him in the 98.81 among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 4.0 fumbles this season.

Andrew Sendejo FS 6-1 210

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Cleveland, Andrew Sendejo had 51 tackles which puts him in the 60.53 percentile among non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Andrew Sendejo as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 17.06 percentile among secondary position players this season.

Terrance Mitchell CB 5-11 191

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Cleveland, Terrance Mitchell had 54 tackles which puts him in the 89.15 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Terrance Mitchell as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 19.75 percentile among Corners this season.

The Kansas City Roster

The Players to Watch for Kansas City

Patrick Mahomes QB 6-3 230

This season, Patrick Mahomes has put up 4740 yards and 38 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 108.2thus far this season. Patrick Mahomes has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Patrick Mahomes has 308 rushing yards, which puts him in the 82.0 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 62 times this season, which puts him in the 82.0 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2 rushing touchdowns this season.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB 5-7 207

This season, Clyde Edwards-Helaire has 803 rushing yards on 181 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Clyde Edwards-Helaire picked up 297 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 36 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tyreek Hill WR 5-10 185

This season, Tyreek Hill picked up 1276 yards. He caught the ball 87 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 15 receiving touchdowns this season.

Chris Jones DT 6-6 310

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kansas City, Chris Jones has 23 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 8 times this season, which put him in the 96.67 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 2.0 fumbles this season.

Frank Clark DE 6-3 260

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Kansas City, Frank Clark has 21 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 73.81 among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0.0 fumbles this season.

Daniel Sorensen FS 6-2 208

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kansas City, Daniel Sorensen had 68 tackles which puts him in the 89.47 percentile among non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Daniel Sorensen as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 88.24 percentile among secondary position players this season.

Charvarius Ward CB 6-1 196

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Kansas City, Charvarius Ward had 38 tackles which puts him in the 62.79 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Charvarius Ward as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 19.75 percentile among Corners this season.

Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Cleveland Browns 22 Kansas City Chiefs 27

Spread Pick: Cleveland +10.5 -126 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Kansas City -440 matchbook
Total Pick: Under 57.5 -113 Pinnacle Sports