NFL Picks, Predictions, and Previews

Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers 1/10/2021 NFL Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Cleveland Browns visit the Pittsburgh Steelers on 1/10/2021 at 8:15PM.

Cleveland and Pittsburgh face off in a Wild Card Playoff game. Cleveland has a record of 11-5 this season. Pittsburgh is 12-4 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Cleveland Team Defense Preview

Cleveland yields 6.4 plays per drive, they hold opponents to 34.6 yards per drive, and opponents score 2.45 points per offensive possession. 43.0% of the time on defensive possessions, opponents will score a Touchdown or convert on a Field Goal Attempt, but on 12.7% of defensive possessions, they force opponents to cough up the ball. Defensive possessions start on average at opponent’s Own 30.3 and these drives usually take up 2:49 of time.

This defense holds opposing quarterbacks to a Quarterback Rating (QBR) of 94.8 and on 1.9% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. Cleveland has forced a sack rate of 6.1% this season.

We will get more situational with Cleveland and examine various situations. They have faced 205 third down attempts this season and opponents successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 90 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 43.9%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had to wall up against 27 fourth down attempts this season and the opposition have successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 22 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 81.5%. Defenses need to prevent possessions from reaching the Red Zone. They have allowed 61 Red Zone entrances this season and opponents successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 37 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 60.7%.

Cleveland Team Offense Preview

Cleveland has run 6.3 plays per drive and they generate 35.6 yards per drive, and this offense puts up 2.38 points per drive. 40.6% of the time on offensive possessions, they will score a Touchdown or convert on a Field Goal Attempt, but 9.7% of the time, they are afflicted by the turnover bug. Their possessions start on average at their Own 28.1 and these drives typically last 3:00.

5.4% of passes thrown are touchdown passes by Cleveland and on 1.6% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. Cleveland has given up 26 sacks this season and there were 162 yards lost as a result of the inability to protect the Quarterback.

They rushed for 4.8 yards per carry and for 148.4 yards per game. Rushers, Receivers, and Sitting Duck Quarterbacks fumbled the ball 23 times this season.

Let’s get situational with the Cleveland and examine various situations. They have had 196 third down attempts this season and have converted 88 of these attempts, which comes out to a success rate of 44.9%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had 24 fourth down attempts this season and have converted 8 of these attempts, which comes out to a success rate of 33.3%. Offensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone. They have had 53 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 39 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 73.6%.

Pittsburgh Team Defense Preview

Pittsburgh yields 5.4 plays per drive, they hold opponents to 26.0 yards per drive, and this defense lets offenses score 1.62 points per drive. On 29.3% of defensive possessions, opponents find a way to come away with points, but 13.8% of the time, they force opposing offenses to turn the ball over. Defensive possessions start on average at opponent’s Own 28.3 and these drives typically last 2:29.

Opposing quarterbacks have a QBR of 76.7 against Pittsburgh and on 3.4% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. Pittsburgh has caused a sack rate of 9.6% this season.

We will get more situational with Pittsburgh and examine various situations. They have faced 222 third down attempts this season and opponents have converted 83 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 37.4%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had to wall up against 20 fourth down attempts this season and opponents have converted 5 of these attempts, which comes out to a success rate of 25.0%. Defensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone, which is why defenses strive to avoid this from happening. They have had allowed offenses 45 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and their opponents have converted 25 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a conversion rate of 55.6%.

Pittsburgh Team Offense Preview

Pittsburgh has 5.7 plays per drive, this offense averages 28.4 yards per drive, and they score 2.12 points per offensive possession. On 37.2% of offensive possessions, they find a way to come away with points, but on 8.5% of offensive possessions, they find cough the ball up to the opponent. Their offensive drives start typically at their Own 30.8 yard line, they typically last 2:37.

On 5.3% of passes thrown, it results in a touchdown and on 1.7% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. Pittsburgh has given up 14 sacks this season and this has resulted in 126 yards lost.

Pittsburgh rushed for 3.6 yards per carry and for 84.4 yards per game. This offense coughed up the ball 22 times this season.

Examining Pittsburgh in a few key offensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have navigated through 230 third down attempts this season and have converted 97 of these attempts, which comes out to a success rate of 42.2%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had 19 fourth down attempts this season and successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 10 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 52.6%. Offensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone. They have had 52 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 33 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 63.5%.

The Cleveland Roster

The Players to Watch for Cleveland

Baker Mayfield QB 6-1 215

This season, Baker Mayfield has put up 3563 yards and 26 touchdowns. He has thrown 8 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 95.9thus far this season. Baker Mayfield has thrown 8 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Baker Mayfield has 165 rushing yards, which puts him in the 67.35 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 54 times this season, which puts him in the 77.55 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1 rushing touchdowns this season.

Nick Chubb RB 5-11 227

This season, Nick Chubb has 1067 rushing yards on 190 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 12 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Nick Chubb picked up 150 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 16 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jarvis Landry WR 5-11 196

This season, Jarvis Landry picked up 840 yards. He caught the ball 72 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Sheldon Richardson DT 6-3 294

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Cleveland, Sheldon Richardson has 35 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 84.83 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1.0 fumbles this season.

Myles Garrett DE 6-4 272

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Cleveland, Myles Garrett has 33 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 12 times this season, which put him in the 98.78 among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 4.0 fumbles this season.

Andrew Sendejo FS 6-1 210

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Cleveland, Andrew Sendejo had 51 tackles which puts him in the 60.33 percentile among non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Andrew Sendejo as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 17.07 percentile among secondary position players this season.

Terrance Mitchell CB 5-11 191

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Cleveland, Terrance Mitchell had 54 tackles which puts him in the 88.98 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Terrance Mitchell as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 20.09 percentile among Corners this season.

The Pittsburgh Roster

The Players to Watch for Pittsburgh

Ben Roethlisberger QB 6-5 240

This season, Ben Roethlisberger has put up 3803 yards and 33 touchdowns. He has thrown 10 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 94.1thus far this season. Ben Roethlisberger has thrown 10 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Ben Roethlisberger has 11 rushing yards, which puts him in the 24.49 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 25 times this season, which puts him in the 42.86 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0 rushing touchdowns this season.

James Conner RB 6-1 233

This season, James Conner has 721 rushing yards on 169 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 6 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, James Conner picked up 215 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 35 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Diontae Johnson WR 5-10 183

This season, Diontae Johnson picked up 923 yards. He caught the ball 88 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 7 receiving touchdowns this season.

Cameron Heyward DT 6-5 295

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Pittsburgh, Cameron Heyward has 30 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 84.83 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced nan fumbles this season.

Stephon Tuitt DE 6-6 303

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Pittsburgh, Stephon Tuitt has 33 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 11 times this season, which put him in the 97.56 among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 2.0 fumbles this season.

Minkah Fitzpatrick SS 6-1 207

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Pittsburgh, Minkah Fitzpatrick had 60 tackles which puts him in the 75.54 percentile among non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Minkah Fitzpatrick as a ball hawker was able to pick off 4.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 93.9 percentile among secondary position players this season.

Steven Nelson CB 5-11 194

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Pittsburgh, Steven Nelson had 43 tackles which puts him in the 68.9 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Steven Nelson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 76.5 percentile among Corners this season.

Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Cleveland Browns 21 Pittsburgh Steelers 26

Spread Pick: Pittsburgh -3.5 -115 BetOnline
Moneyline Pick: Pittsburgh -195 5Dimes
Total Pick: Under 47.5 -110 bet365