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Coastal Carolina vs. Texas State 11/28/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Coastal Carolina visits Texas State on 11/28/2020 at 3:00PM.

Coastal Carolina and Texas State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Coastal Carolina has a record of 8-0 this season. Texas State is 2-9 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Coastal Carolina Team Defense Preview

Coastal Carolina has had 83 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.43 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Coastal Carolina has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Coastal Carolina opponents pass the football 49.22% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Coastal Carolina is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.99 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Coastal Carolina has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Coastal Carolina Team Offense Preview

Coastal Carolina has had 83 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.61 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Coastal Carolina has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Coastal Carolina passes the football 39.91% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Coastal Carolina is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Coastal Carolina can take credit for 2.95 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Coastal Carolina this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Coastal Carolina is a better passing team than running team this season.

Texas State Team Defense Preview

Texas State has had 136 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.93 plays per drive. Texas State lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Texas State message boards are flights of fantasy. Texas State opponents pass the football 47.58% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.08 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Texas State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Texas State Team Offense Preview

Texas State has had 132 total drives this season and they generate 5.02 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Texas State is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Texas State is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Texas State passes the football 55.51% of the time.Texas State tends to pass more than other teams.

Texas State struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Texas State can take credit for 2.8 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Texas State Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Texas State has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Coastal Carolina Roster

The Players to Watch for Coastal Carolina

Grayson McCall QB 6-3 200

This season, Grayson McCall has put up 1593 yards and 18 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 190.5thus far this season. Grayson McCall has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Grayson McCall has 340.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 96.07 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 70.0 times this season, which puts him in the 92.3 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 5.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Torrance Marable RB 5-10 200

This season, Torrance Marable has 435 rushing yards on 103 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Torrance Marable picked up 163 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 23 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jaivon Heiligh WR 6-2 190

This season, Jaivon Heiligh picked up 647 yards. He caught the ball 38 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

C.J. Brewer DT 6-2 280

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Coastal Carolina, C.J. Brewer has 46 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 9 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 100.0 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 100.0 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Tarron Jackson DE 6-2 260

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Coastal Carolina, Tarron Jackson has 38 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 10 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 98.89 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 98.57 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 3 fumbles this season.

Alex Spillum S 6-2 190.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Coastal Carolina, Alex Spillum had 38 tackles which puts him in the 92.2 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 33.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Alex Spillum as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 95.39 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Derrick Bush CB 6-1 190

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Coastal Carolina, Derrick Bush had 26 tackles which puts him in the 91.44 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 92.66 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Derrick Bush as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 83.79 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Texas State Roster

The Players to Watch for Texas State

Brady McBride QB 6-0 204

This season, Brady McBride has put up 1723 yards and 16 touchdowns. He has thrown 7 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 131.5thus far this season. Brady McBride has thrown 7 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Brady McBride has 56.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 66.07 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 57.0 times this season, which puts him in the 88.36 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Brock Sturges RB 5-11 200

This season, Brock Sturges has 521 rushing yards on 107 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Brock Sturges picked up 116 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 11 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Marcell Barbee WR 6-2 192

This season, Marcell Barbee picked up 540 yards. He caught the ball 38 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 10 receiving touchdowns this season.

Nico Ezidore DL 6-2 290

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Texas State, Nico Ezidore has 63 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 12 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 99.84 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 94.93 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Brendon Luper S 6-0 185.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Texas State, Brendon Luper had 64 tackles which puts him in the 99.06 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 75.36 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Brendon Luper as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Jarron Morris CB 5-9 158

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Texas State, Jarron Morris had 64 tackles which puts him in the 100.0 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 99.24 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jarron Morris as a ball hawker was able to pick off 4 passes last season, which puts him in the 99.54 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Coastal Carolina vs. Texas State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Coastal Carolina 42 Texas State 22

Spread Pick: Coastal Carolina -17 -104 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Coastal Carolina -691 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Over 58 -115 Pinnacle Sports