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Coastal Carolina vs. Troy 12/12/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Coastal Carolina visits Troy on 12/12/2020 at 3:00PM.

Coastal Carolina and Troy face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Coastal Carolina has a record of 0-0 this season. Troy is 5-5 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Coastal Carolina Team Defense Preview

Coastal Carolina has had 100 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.34 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Coastal Carolina has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Coastal Carolina opponents pass the football 50.94% of the time.Coastal Carolina tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Coastal Carolina is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.06 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Coastal Carolina should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Coastal Carolina has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Coastal Carolina Team Offense Preview

Coastal Carolina has had 100 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.81 plays per drive. Coastal Carolina runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Any defense is in for a challenge with Coastal Carolina, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 37.35% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Coastal Carolina has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Coastal Carolina can take credit for 3.23 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Coastal Carolina coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Coastal Carolina this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Coastal Carolina is a better passing team than running team this season.

Troy Team Defense Preview

Troy has had 109 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.82 plays per drive. Troy lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Troy has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 48.26% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Troy is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.81 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Troy is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Troy Team Offense Preview

Troy has had 109 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.68 plays per drive. Troy runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Troy is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 63.49% of their play calls.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

Troy is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Troy can take credit for 2.75 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Troy Offense. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Troy is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Coastal Carolina Roster

The Players to Watch for Coastal Carolina

Grayson McCall QB 6-3 200

This season, Grayson McCall has put up 1832 yards and 20 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 182.5thus far this season. Grayson McCall has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Grayson McCall has 433.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 95.99 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 86.0 times this season, which puts him in the 93.83 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 5.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Torrance Marable RB 5-10 200

This season, Torrance Marable has 724 rushing yards on 142 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 10 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Torrance Marable picked up 173 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 27 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jaivon Heiligh WR 6-2 190

This season, Jaivon Heiligh picked up 682 yards. He caught the ball 41 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 8 receiving touchdowns this season.

C.J. Brewer DT 6-2 280

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Coastal Carolina, C.J. Brewer has 53 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 9 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 99.33 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 99.78 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Tarron Jackson DE 6-2 260.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Coastal Carolina, Tarron Jackson has 46 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 12 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 98.83 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 8 times this season, which put him in the 99.49 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 4 fumbles this season.

Alex Spillum S 6-2 190.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Coastal Carolina, Alex Spillum had 47 tackles which puts him in the 93.37 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 71.77 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Alex Spillum as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.47 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Derrick Bush CB 6-1 190

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Coastal Carolina, Derrick Bush had 33 tackles which puts him in the 94.48 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 99.15 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Derrick Bush as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 93.48 percentile among Corners this season.

The Troy Roster

The Players to Watch for Troy

Gunnar Watson QB 6-3 208

This season, Gunnar Watson has put up 1881 yards and 15 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 144.5thus far this season. Gunnar Watson has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Gunnar Watson has -61.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 2.16 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 28.0 times this season, which puts him in the 65.9 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Kimani Vidal RB 5-8 214

This season, Kimani Vidal has 440 rushing yards on 80 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Kimani Vidal picked up 129 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 17 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Kaylon Geiger WR 5-10 170

This season, Kaylon Geiger picked up 649 yards. He caught the ball 55 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Will Choloh Jr. DT 6-0 289

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Troy, Will Choloh Jr. has 37 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 98.21 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 5 times this season, which put him in the 99.1 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Antonio Showers DE 6-1 279.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Troy, Antonio Showers has 16 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 47.25 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 66.28 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Dell Pettus S 5-11 196.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Troy, Dell Pettus had 57 tackles which puts him in the 97.15 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 86.1 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Dell Pettus as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 83.84 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Levon Fletcher CB 5-11 171

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Troy, Levon Fletcher had 27 tackles which puts him in the 87.96 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 34.7 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Levon Fletcher as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 36.4 percentile among Corners this season.

Coastal Carolina vs. Troy Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Coastal Carolina 29 Troy 26

Spread Pick: Troy +14 -120 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Coastal Carolina -497 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Over 51.5 -107 Pinnacle Sports