College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Colorado vs. Arizona 12/5/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Colorado visits Arizona on 12/5/2020 at 7:00PM.

Colorado and Arizona face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Colorado has a record of 3-0 this season. Arizona is 0-3 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Colorado Team Defense Preview

Colorado has had 39 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.87 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Colorado is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 66.32% of their opponents’ play calls.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Colorado opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.54 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

Colorado has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Colorado should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Colorado is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Colorado Team Offense Preview

Colorado has had 44 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.39 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Colorado is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 36.71% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Colorado struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Colorado can take credit for 2.44 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Colorado has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Colorado has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Arizona Team Defense Preview

Arizona has had 32 total defensive drives this season and they yield 6.0 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Arizona cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Arizona message boards are flights of fantasy. Arizona opponents pass the football 41.15% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Arizona opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Arizona can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.83 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Arizona has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Arizona Team Offense Preview

Arizona has had 33 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.24 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Arizona passes the football 52.60% of the time.Arizona tends to pass more than other teams.

Arizona is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Arizona can take credit for 2.93 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Arizona Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Arizona has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Colorado Roster

The Players to Watch for Colorado

Sam Noyer QB 6-4 220

This season, Sam Noyer has put up 650 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 137.9thus far this season. Sam Noyer has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Sam Noyer has 112.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 79.37 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 32.0 times this season, which puts him in the 71.27 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 4.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Jarek Broussard RB 5-9 185

This season, Jarek Broussard has 432 rushing yards on 90 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Jarek Broussard picked up 36 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 4 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dimitri Stanley WR 5-11 195

This season, Dimitri Stanley picked up 202 yards. He caught the ball 13 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jalen Sami DT 6-6 325

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Colorado, Jalen Sami has 2 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 24.54 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.72 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Mustafa Johnson DE 6-2 290

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Colorado, Mustafa Johnson has 8 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 66.53 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 68.5 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Derrion Rakestraw S 6-2 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Colorado, Derrion Rakestraw had 15 tackles which puts him in the 56.09 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 32.62 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Derrion Rakestraw as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 38.31 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Christian Gonzalez CB 6-2 200

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Colorado, Christian Gonzalez had 13 tackles which puts him in the 62.17 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 35.19 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Christian Gonzalez as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.54 percentile among Corners this season.

The Arizona Roster

The Players to Watch for Arizona

Grant Gunnell QB 6-6 228

This season, Grant Gunnell has put up 547 yards and 6 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 152.3thus far this season. Grant Gunnell has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Grant Gunnell has 17.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 44.29 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 20.0 times this season, which puts him in the 58.73 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Gary Brightwell RB 6-1 218

This season, Gary Brightwell has 224 rushing yards on 49 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Gary Brightwell picked up 34 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Stanley Berryhill III WR 5-10 177

This season, Stanley Berryhill III picked up 193 yards. He caught the ball 18 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Kyon Barrs DT 6-2 304

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Arizona, Kyon Barrs has 13 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 24.54 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.72 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Trevon Mason DL 6-5 305

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Arizona, Trevon Mason has 15 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 66.53 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 30.46 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Rhedi Short DB 6-1 194.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Arizona, Rhedi Short had 20 tackles which puts him in the 65.32 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 32.62 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Rhedi Short as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 38.31 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Colorado vs. Arizona Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Colorado 37 Arizona 34

Spread Pick: Arizona +7.5 -111 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Colorado -270 5Dimes
Total Pick: Over 57 -110 Bookmaker