NFL Picks, Predictions, and Previews

Denver Broncos vs. Atlanta Falcons 11/8/2020 NFL Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Denver Broncos visit the Atlanta Falcons on 11/8/2020 at 1:00PM.

Denver and Atlanta face off in a critical regular season game as part of this unpredictable and chaotic 2020 NFL Season. Denver has a record of 3-4 this season. Atlanta is 2-6 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Denver Team Defense Preview

Denver yields 6.1 plays per drive, they hold opponents to 30.8 yards per drive, and opponents score 2.01 points per offensive possession. 40.7% of the time on defensive possessions, opponents will score a Touchdown or convert on a Field Goal Attempt, but 9.9% of the time, they force opposing offenses to turn the ball over. Their offensive drives start typically at their opponent’s Own 32.3 yard line, they typically last 2:38.

Opposing quarterbacks have a QBR of 91.6 against Denver and 1.9% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Denver has caused a sack rate of 7.1% this season.

Examining Denver in a few key defensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have encountered 100 opponent third down attempts this season and opponents have converted 36 of these attempts, which comes out to a success rate of 36.0%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have taken on opponents in 9 fourth down conversion attempts this season and opponents have converted 4 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 75.0%. Defenses need to prevent possessions from reaching the Red Zone. They have allowed 25 Red Zone entrances this season and their opponents have converted 12 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a success rate of 48.0%.

Denver Team Offense Preview

Denver has run 5.5 plays per drive and they generate 26.6 yards per drive, and they score 1.73 points per offensive possession. On 34.1% of offensive possessions, they find a way to come away with points, but 17.6% of the time, they are afflicted by the turnover bug. Their offensive drives start typically at their Own 28.3 yard line, they typically last 2:26.

3.6% of passes thrown are touchdown passes by Denver and 4.5% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Denver has given up 20 sacks this season and this has resulted in 156 yards lost.

Denver rushed for 4.3 yards per carry and for 112.9 yards per game. Rushers, Receivers, and Sitting Duck Quarterbacks fumbled the ball 12 times this season.

Let’s get situational with the Denver and examine various situations. They have had 91 third down attempts this season and successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 33 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 36.3%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had 6 fourth down attempts this season and have converted 0 of these attempts, which comes out to a success rate of 0.0%. It is critical for offenses to get the ball into the Red Zone. They have had 20 Red Zone entrances this season and successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 10 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 50.0%.

Atlanta Team Defense Preview

Atlanta faces 6.0 plays per drive, this defense gives up 38.2 yards per drive, and this defense lets offenses score 2.62 points per drive. On 45.3% of defensive possessions, opponents find a way to come away with points, but 10.5% of the time, they force opposing offenses to turn the ball over. Their offensive drives start typically at their opponent’s Own 28.2 yard line, they usually take up 2:38 of time.

This defense holds opposing quarterbacks to a Quarterback Rating (QBR) of 110.0 and on 2.0% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. Atlanta has forced a sack rate of 4.1% this season.

We will get more situational with Atlanta and examine various situations. They have faced 90 third down attempts this season and opponents successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 34 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 37.8%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have taken on opponents in 13 fourth down conversion attempts this season and opponents have converted 5 of these attempts, which comes out to a success rate of 66.7%. Defensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone, which is why defenses strive to avoid this from happening. They have had allowed offenses 27 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and their opponents have converted 20 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a conversion rate of 74.1%.

Atlanta Team Offense Preview

Atlanta has run 6.8 plays per drive and they generate 37.3 yards per drive, and they score 2.49 points per offensive possession. On 48.8% of offensive possessions, they find a way to come away with points, but 8.1% of the time, they are afflicted by the turnover bug. Their offensive drives start typically at their Own 28.3 yard line, they usually take up 2:57 of time.

On 3.8% of passes thrown, it results in a touchdown and 1.3% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Atlanta has yielded 17 sacks this season and there were 123 yards lost as a result of the inability to protect the Quarterback.

Atlanta rushed for 3.8 yards per carry and for 108.6 yards per game. This offense coughed up the ball 7 times this season.

Examining Atlanta in a few key offensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have navigated through 109 third down attempts this season and have converted 47 of these attempts, which comes out to a success rate of 43.1%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have willingly and unwillingly encountered 16 fourth down conversion attempts this season and successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 9 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 56.3%. Offensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone. They have had 30 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 16 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 53.3%.

The Denver Roster

The Players to Watch for Denver

Drew Lock QB 6-4 228

This season, Drew Lock has put up 927 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 72.2thus far this season. Drew Lock has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Drew Lock has 11 rushing yards, which puts him in the 28.57 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 13 times this season, which puts him in the 44.64 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1 rushing touchdowns this season.

Melvin Gordon RB 6-1 215

This season, Melvin Gordon has 375 rushing yards on 90 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Melvin Gordon picked up 78 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 19 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jerry Jeudy WR 6-1 193

This season, Jerry Jeudy picked up 359 yards. He caught the ball 23 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dre’Mont Jones DT 6-3 281

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Denver, Dre’Mont Jones has 6 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 68.87 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced nan fumbles this season.

Bradley Chubb DE 6-4 275

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Denver, Bradley Chubb has 16 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 92.98 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1.0 fumbles this season.

Justin Simmons FS 6-2 202

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Denver, Justin Simmons had 38 tackles which puts him in the 93.55 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Justin Simmons as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.0 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Kareem Jackson CB 5-10 183

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Denver, Kareem Jackson had 29 tackles which puts him in the 89.01 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Kareem Jackson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 25.93 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Atlanta Roster

The Players to Watch for Atlanta

Matt Ryan QB 6-4 217

This season, Matt Ryan has put up 2462 yards and 12 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 97.6thus far this season. Matt Ryan has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Matt Ryan has 58 rushing yards, which puts him in the 50.0 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 19 times this season, which puts him in the 64.29 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1 rushing touchdowns this season.

Todd Gurley RB 6-1 224

This season, Todd Gurley has 531 rushing yards on 140 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 8 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Todd Gurley picked up 77 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 13 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Calvin Ridley WR 6-1 190

This season, Calvin Ridley picked up 657 yards. He caught the ball 43 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

Grady Jarrett DT 6-0 305

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Atlanta, Grady Jarrett has 13 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 84.91 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0.0 fumbles this season.

Steven Means DE 6-3 263

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Atlanta, Steven Means has 10 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 9.65 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced nan fumbles this season.

Keanu Neal FS 6-1 216

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Atlanta, Keanu Neal had 39 tackles which puts him in the 97.58 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Keanu Neal as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 26.0 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Isaiah Oliver CB 6-0 210

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Atlanta, Isaiah Oliver had 28 tackles which puts him in the 84.62 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Isaiah Oliver as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 25.93 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Denver Broncos vs. Atlanta Falcons Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Denver Broncos 22 Atlanta Falcons 28

Spread Pick: Atlanta -3 -117 10Bet
Moneyline Pick: Atlanta -197 matchbook
Total Pick: Over 47 -108 10Bet