College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Duke vs. Georgia Tech 11/28/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Duke visits Georgia Tech on 11/28/2020 at 7:00PM.

Duke and Georgia Tech face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Duke has a record of 2-6 this season. Georgia Tech is 2-5 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Duke Team Defense Preview

Duke has had 89 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.06 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Duke is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Duke opponents pass the football 50.00% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Duke can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.26 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Duke has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Duke Team Offense Preview

Duke has had 91 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.23 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 51.26% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Duke has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Duke can take credit for 2.7 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Duke Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Duke is a better passing team than running team this season.

Georgia Tech Team Defense Preview

Georgia Tech has had 84 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.6 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Georgia Tech has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Georgia Tech opponents pass the football 47.02% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.25 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Georgia Tech has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Georgia Tech Team Offense Preview

Georgia Tech has had 83 total drives this season and they generate 5.0 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Georgia Tech is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Georgia Tech is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 46.51% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Georgia Tech struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Georgia Tech can take credit for 2.97 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Georgia Tech Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Georgia Tech has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Duke Roster

The Players to Watch for Duke

Chase Brice QB 6-2 235

This season, Chase Brice has put up 1714 yards and 7 touchdowns. He has thrown 12 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 107.5thus far this season. Chase Brice has thrown 12 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Chase Brice has 76.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 73.77 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 65.0 times this season, which puts him in the 90.33 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Mataeo Durant RB 6-1 195

This season, Mataeo Durant has 592 rushing yards on 82 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 6 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Mataeo Durant picked up 59 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 6 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jake Bobo WR 6-4 215

This season, Jake Bobo picked up 274 yards. He caught the ball 23 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Derrick Tangelo DT 6-2 310

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Duke, Derrick Tangelo has 29 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 91.08 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 90.85 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 2 fumbles this season.

Chris Rumph II DE 6-3 235

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Duke, Chris Rumph II has 40 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 9 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 98.15 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 8 times this season, which put him in the 99.84 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Marquis Waters S 6-0 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Duke, Marquis Waters had 50 tackles which puts him in the 97.45 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 97.67 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 1 times last season. Marquis Waters as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Jeremiah Lewis CB 6-0 190

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Duke, Jeremiah Lewis had 28 tackles which puts him in the 94.04 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 92.66 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jeremiah Lewis as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 94.5 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Georgia Tech Roster

The Players to Watch for Georgia Tech

Jeff Sims QB 6-3 215

This season, Jeff Sims has put up 1346 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 10 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 123.4thus far this season. Jeff Sims has thrown 10 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jeff Sims has 277.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 92.79 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 81.0 times this season, which puts him in the 95.57 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 4.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Jahmyr Gibbs RB 5-11 200

This season, Jahmyr Gibbs has 369 rushing yards on 83 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Jahmyr Gibbs picked up 255 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 20 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jalen Camp WR 6-2 220

This season, Jalen Camp picked up 290 yards. He caught the ball 20 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jordan Domineck DL 6-3 247

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Georgia Tech, Jordan Domineck has 26 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 5 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 90.07 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 83.9 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Juanyeh Thomas DB 6-3 220.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Georgia Tech, Juanyeh Thomas had 41 tackles which puts him in the 94.18 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 33.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Juanyeh Thomas as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 85.62 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Duke vs. Georgia Tech Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Duke 21 Georgia Tech 25

Spread Pick: Georgia Tech +1 -108 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Georgia Tech -101 matchbook
Total Pick: Under 58 -107 Pinnacle Sports