College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Florida Atlantic vs. Florida International 11/13/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Florida Atlantic visits Florida International on 11/13/2020 at 7:00PM.

Florida Atlantic and Florida International face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Florida Atlantic has a record of 3-1 this season. Florida International is 0-3 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Florida Atlantic Team Defense Preview

Florida Atlantic has had 32 total defensive drives this season and they yield 6.06 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Florida Atlantic cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Florida Atlantic opponents pass the football 54.64% of the time.Florida Atlantic tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Florida Atlantic opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Florida Atlantic can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.87 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Florida Atlantic has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Florida Atlantic should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Florida Atlantic is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Florida Atlantic Team Offense Preview

Florida Atlantic has had 32 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.41 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 43.35% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Florida Atlantic is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.08 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Florida Atlantic Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Florida Atlantic has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Florida International Team Defense Preview

Florida International has had 37 total defensive drives this season and they yield 6.14 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Florida International cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Florida International has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Florida International opponents pass the football 44.49% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Florida International opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Florida International can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.4 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Florida International is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Florida International Team Offense Preview

Florida International has had 35 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 4.46 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Florida International is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 45.51% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Florida International can take credit for 3.4 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Florida International Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Florida International has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Florida Atlantic Roster

The Players to Watch for Florida Atlantic

Nick Tronti QB 6-2 215

This season, Nick Tronti has put up 490 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 110.4thus far this season. Nick Tronti has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Nick Tronti has 73.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 75.54 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 44.0 times this season, which puts him in the 85.61 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Malcolm Davidson RB 5-10 205

This season, Malcolm Davidson has 195 rushing yards on 26 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Malcolm Davidson picked up 21 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 2 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

T.J. Chase WR 6-1 190

This season, T.J. Chase picked up 161 yards. He caught the ball 11 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Marcel Southall DT 6-3 270

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Florida Atlantic, Marcel Southall has 2 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 62.24 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 35.42 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Leighton McCarthy DE 6-3 225

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Florida Atlantic, Leighton McCarthy has 19 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 95.61 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 96.67 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Ahman Ross S 5-11 195

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Florida Atlantic, Ahman Ross had 26 tackles which puts him in the 85.35 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 77.7 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Ahman Ross as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.12 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Teja Young CB 5-11 190

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Florida Atlantic, Teja Young had 20 tackles which puts him in the 86.98 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.33 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Teja Young as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 84.9 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Florida International Roster

The Players to Watch for Florida International

Stone Norton QB 6-3 200

This season, Stone Norton has put up 207 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has thrown 0 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 138.4thus far this season. Stone Norton has thrown 0 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Stone Norton has -46.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 3.06 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 11.0 times this season, which puts him in the 51.44 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

D’Vonte Price RB 6-2 194

This season, D’Vonte Price has 303 rushing yards on 35 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, D’Vonte Price picked up 8 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 2 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Bryce Singleton WR 5-10 193

This season, Bryce Singleton picked up 90 yards. He caught the ball 7 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jason Mercier DL 6-3 262

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Florida International, Jason Mercier has 11 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 83.74 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.98 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Richard Dames DB 5-11 185

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Florida International, Richard Dames had 24 tackles which puts him in the 82.08 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.85 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Richard Dames as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.12 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Florida Atlantic vs. Florida International Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Florida Atlantic 28 Florida International 24

Spread Pick: Florida International +9.5 -112 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Florida Atlantic -328 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Over 40.5 -110 bet365