College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Florida Atlantic vs. Georgia Southern 12/5/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Florida Atlantic visits Georgia Southern on 12/5/2020 at 6:00PM.

Florida Atlantic and Georgia Southern face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Florida Atlantic has a record of 5-1 this season. Georgia Southern is 6-4 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Florida Atlantic Team Defense Preview

Florida Atlantic has had 58 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.33 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 55.66% of their opponents’ play calls.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Florida Atlantic opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Florida Atlantic can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.82 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Florida Atlantic has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Florida Atlantic should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Florida Atlantic is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Florida Atlantic Team Offense Preview

Florida Atlantic has had 58 total drives this season and they generate 5.29 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 40.72% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Florida Atlantic struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.73 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Florida Atlantic Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Florida Atlantic has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Georgia Southern Team Defense Preview

Georgia Southern has had 110 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.35 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Georgia Southern opponents pass the football 51.95% of the time.Georgia Southern tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Georgia Southern opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Georgia Southern can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.28 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Georgia Southern has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Georgia Southern Team Offense Preview

Georgia Southern has had 110 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.24 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Georgia Southern has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 23.78% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Georgia Southern can take credit for 3.21 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Georgia Southern coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Georgia Southern has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Georgia Southern is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Florida Atlantic Roster

The Players to Watch for Florida Atlantic

Nick Tronti QB 6-2 215

This season, Nick Tronti has put up 515 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 116.2thus far this season. Nick Tronti has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Nick Tronti has 83.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 74.29 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 46.0 times this season, which puts him in the 83.33 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Malcolm Davidson RB 5-10 205

This season, Malcolm Davidson has 296 rushing yards on 41 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Malcolm Davidson picked up 84 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 5 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

T.J. Chase WR 6-1 190

This season, T.J. Chase picked up 268 yards. He caught the ball 16 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Marcel Southall DT 6-3 270

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Florida Atlantic, Marcel Southall has 5 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 55.5 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.72 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Leighton McCarthy DE 6-3 225

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Florida Atlantic, Leighton McCarthy has 25 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 9 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 97.77 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 7 times this season, which put him in the 99.22 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Ahman Ross S 5-11 195.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Florida Atlantic, Ahman Ross had 36 tackles which puts him in the 88.75 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 87.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Ahman Ross as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 38.31 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Teja Young CB 5-11 190

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Florida Atlantic, Teja Young had 27 tackles which puts him in the 90.91 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 35.19 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Teja Young as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.13 percentile among Corners this season.

The Georgia Southern Roster

The Players to Watch for Georgia Southern

Shai Werts QB 5-11 205

This season, Shai Werts has put up 937 yards and 7 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 136.0thus far this season. Shai Werts has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Shai Werts has 638.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 99.68 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 131.0 times this season, which puts him in the 99.68 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 8.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

J.D. King RB 5-11 220

This season, J.D. King has 625 rushing yards on 116 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, J.D. King picked up 14 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 3 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Malik Murray WR 6-0 180

This season, Malik Murray picked up 253 yards. He caught the ball 19 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

C.J. Wright NT 6-0 290

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Georgia Southern, C.J. Wright has 26 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 83.03 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.72 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Raymond Johnson III DE 6-3 270

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Georgia Southern, Raymond Johnson III has 26 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 12 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 99.38 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 5 times this season, which put him in the 96.93 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Anthony Wilson S 5-10 190.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Georgia Southern, Anthony Wilson had 48 tackles which puts him in the 95.71 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 87.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Anthony Wilson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 38.31 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Derrick Canteen CB 5-11 185

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Georgia Southern, Derrick Canteen had 34 tackles which puts him in the 96.19 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 35.19 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Derrick Canteen as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.13 percentile among Corners this season.

Florida Atlantic vs. Georgia Southern Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Florida Atlantic 25 Georgia Southern 22

Spread Pick: Florida Atlantic +2.5 -108 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Florida Atlantic +122 5Dimes
Total Pick: Over 41 -108 Pinnacle Sports