College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Florida vs. Georgia 11/7/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Florida visits Georgia on 11/7/2020 at 3:30PM.

Florida and Georgia face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Florida has a record of 3-1 this season. Georgia is 4-1 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Florida Team Defense Preview

Florida has had 43 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 6.86 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Florida cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Florida message boards are flights of fantasy. Florida opponents pass the football 53.90% of the time.Florida tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.2 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Florida has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Florida Team Offense Preview

Florida has had 40 total drives this season and they generate 6.68 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Florida. Any defense is in for a challenge with Florida, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Florida passes the football 58.43% of the time.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.43 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Florida this season. Florida is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Florida is a better passing team than running team this season.

Georgia Team Defense Preview

Georgia has had 54 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.43 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Georgia opponents pass the football 57.34% of the time.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.9 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Georgia has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Georgia Team Offense Preview

Georgia has had 54 total drives this season and they generate 6.24 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Georgia. Georgia has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 45.40% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Georgia can take credit for 3.46 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Georgia Offense. Georgia is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Georgia has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Florida Roster

The Players to Watch for Florida

Kyle Trask QB 6-5 240

This season, Kyle Trask has put up 1341 yards and 18 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 189.2thus far this season. Kyle Trask has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Kyle Trask has 75.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 76.47 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 20.0 times this season, which puts him in the 66.67 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Dameon Pierce RB 5-10 215

This season, Dameon Pierce has 169 rushing yards on 34 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Dameon Pierce picked up 48 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 4 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Trevon Grimes WR 6-4 218

This season, Trevon Grimes picked up 167 yards. He caught the ball 11 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Zachary Carter DL 6-4 290

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Florida, Zachary Carter has 14 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 86.16 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 87.42 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Shawn Davis DB 6-0 206

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Florida, Shawn Davis had 21 tackles which puts him in the 80.15 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 79.41 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Shawn Davis as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.81 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Georgia Roster

The Players to Watch for Georgia

Stetson Bennett QB 5-11 190

This season, Stetson Bennett has put up 1089 yards and 7 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 134.7thus far this season. Stetson Bennett has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Stetson Bennett has 48.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 68.43 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 21.0 times this season, which puts him in the 68.24 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Zamir White RB 6-0 215

This season, Zamir White has 402 rushing yards on 90 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 6 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Zamir White picked up 19 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 3 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Kearis Jackson WR 6-0 200

This season, Kearis Jackson picked up 348 yards. He caught the ball 24 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Warren Brinson DT 6-4 305

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Georgia, Warren Brinson has 2 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 28.42 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 36.61 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Devonte Wyatt DL 6-3 301

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Georgia, Devonte Wyatt has 16 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 24.65 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.46 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Richard Lecounte III DB 5-11 190

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Georgia, Richard Lecounte III had 26 tackles which puts him in the 87.55 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 79.41 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Richard Lecounte III as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes last season, which puts him in the 99.42 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Jalen Kimber CB 6-0 170

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Georgia, Jalen Kimber had 2 tackles which puts him in the 21.38 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.55 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jalen Kimber as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.66 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Florida vs. Georgia Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Florida 14 Georgia 25

Spread Pick: Georgia -2.5 -117 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Georgia -137 matchbook
Total Pick: Under 54.5 -108 Heritage