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Florida International vs. Western Kentucky 11/21/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Florida International visits Western Kentucky on 11/21/2020 at 2:00PM.

Florida International and Western Kentucky face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Florida International has a record of 0-4 this season. Western Kentucky is 3-6 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Florida International Team Defense Preview

Florida International has had 48 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 6.0 plays per drive. Florida International lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Florida International has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 39.93% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Florida International opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Florida International can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.59 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Florida International has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Florida International Team Offense Preview

Florida International has had 47 total drives this season and they generate 4.64 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Florida International is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 48.62% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.31 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Florida International Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Florida International has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Western Kentucky Team Defense Preview

Western Kentucky has had 88 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.93 plays per drive. Western Kentucky lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Western Kentucky opponents pass the football 44.06% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.99 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Western Kentucky has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Western Kentucky Team Offense Preview

Western Kentucky has had 89 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.29 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Western Kentucky passes the football 52.65% of the time.Western Kentucky tends to pass more than other teams.

Western Kentucky struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.55 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Western Kentucky Offense. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Western Kentucky has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Florida International Roster

The Players to Watch for Florida International

Stone Norton QB 6-3 200

This season, Stone Norton has put up 250 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has thrown 0 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 124.8thus far this season. Stone Norton has thrown 0 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Stone Norton has -71.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 1.02 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 15.0 times this season, which puts him in the 53.92 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

D’Vonte Price RB 6-2 194

This season, D’Vonte Price has 481 rushing yards on 61 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, D’Vonte Price picked up 8 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 2 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Bryce Singleton WR 5-10 193

This season, Bryce Singleton picked up 103 yards. He caught the ball 10 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jason Mercier DL 6-3 262

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Florida International, Jason Mercier has 19 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 86.99 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.27 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Richard Dames DB 5-11 185

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Florida International, Richard Dames had 33 tackles which puts him in the 91.06 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.05 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Richard Dames as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.44 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Western Kentucky Roster

The Players to Watch for Western Kentucky

Tyrrell Pigrome QB 5-10 210

This season, Tyrrell Pigrome has put up 1096 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 0 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 113.4thus far this season. Tyrrell Pigrome has thrown 0 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Tyrrell Pigrome has 265.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 93.17 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 78.0 times this season, which puts him in the 96.08 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Gaej Walker RB 6-0 195

This season, Gaej Walker has 389 rushing yards on 99 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Gaej Walker picked up 40 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 6 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Xavier Lane WR 6-4 200

This season, Xavier Lane picked up 357 yards. He caught the ball 32 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Ricky Barber DT 6-3 295

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Western Kentucky, Ricky Barber has 33 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 91.99 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 97.09 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

DeAngelo Malone DE 6-4 230

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Western Kentucky, DeAngelo Malone has 59 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 10 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 99.12 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 98.9 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Devon Key DB 6-1 210

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Western Kentucky, Devon Key had 67 tackles which puts him in the 99.72 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Devon Key as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.44 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Florida International vs. Western Kentucky Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Florida International 19 Western Kentucky 24

Spread Pick: Florida International +7.5 -110 Intertops
Moneyline Pick: Western Kentucky -270 5Dimes
Total Pick: Under 43.5 -111 Pinnacle Sports