College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Florida State vs. North Carolina State 11/14/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Florida State visits North Carolina State on 11/14/2020 at 7:30PM.

Florida State and North Carolina State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Florida State has a record of 2-5 this season. North Carolina State is 4-3 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Florida State Team Defense Preview

Florida State has had 78 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.67 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Florida State message boards are flights of fantasy. Passing plays make up 49.10% of their opponents’ play calls.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Florida State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.21 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. Florida State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Florida State Team Offense Preview

Florida State has had 79 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.62 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Florida State is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 50.00% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Florida State has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.28 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Florida State coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Florida State Offense this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Florida State has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

North Carolina State Team Defense Preview

North Carolina State has had 89 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.94 plays per drive. North Carolina State lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. North Carolina State has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Passing plays make up 52.36% of their opponents’ play calls.North Carolina State tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

North Carolina State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.82 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. North Carolina State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

North Carolina State Team Offense Preview

North Carolina State has had 89 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 4.92 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, North Carolina State is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. North Carolina State is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 48.63% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

North Carolina State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. North Carolina State can take credit for 2.64 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the North Carolina State Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. North Carolina State is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Florida State Roster

The Players to Watch for Florida State

Jordan Travis QB 6-1 200

This season, Jordan Travis has put up 864 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 119.3thus far this season. Jordan Travis has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jordan Travis has 472.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 98.58 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 85.0 times this season, which puts him in the 98.58 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 6.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

La’Damian Webb RB 5-8 190

This season, La’Damian Webb has 364 rushing yards on 64 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, La’Damian Webb picked up 34 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 5 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tamorrion Terry WR 6-4 210

This season, Tamorrion Terry picked up 289 yards. He caught the ball 23 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Marvin Wilson DT 6-5 305

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Florida State, Marvin Wilson has 17 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 78.14 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 80.15 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Janarius Robinson DE 6-5 260

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Florida State, Janarius Robinson has 16 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 89.2 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 85.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Asante Samuel Jr. DB 5-10 184

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Florida State, Asante Samuel Jr. had 29 tackles which puts him in the 89.09 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 77.36 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Asante Samuel Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes last season, which puts him in the 99.28 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The North Carolina State Roster

The Players to Watch for North Carolina State

Devin Leary QB 6-1 212

This season, Devin Leary has put up 879 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 147.9thus far this season. Devin Leary has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Devin Leary has 7.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 40.57 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 19.0 times this season, which puts him in the 65.3 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Zonovan Knight RB 5-11 206

This season, Zonovan Knight has 451 rushing yards on 82 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Zonovan Knight picked up 111 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 13 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Emeka Emezie WR 6-3 220

This season, Emeka Emezie picked up 465 yards. He caught the ball 27 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Alim McNeill DT 6-2 320

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for North Carolina State, Alim McNeill has 16 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 94.22 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 80.15 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Terrell Dawkins DE 6-5 255

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for North Carolina State, Terrell Dawkins has 22 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 7 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 97.34 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 96.71 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Jakeen Harris S 5-10 189

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for North Carolina State, Jakeen Harris had 48 tackles which puts him in the 98.51 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 77.36 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jakeen Harris as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.1 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Cecil Powell CB 6-0 210

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for North Carolina State, Cecil Powell had 32 tackles which puts him in the 97.29 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 93.39 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Cecil Powell as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.98 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Florida State vs. North Carolina State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Florida State 30 North Carolina State 32

Spread Pick: Florida State +10.5 -110 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: North Carolina State -339 BetMania
Total Pick: Over 59 -118 Pinnacle Sports