College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Florida vs. Tennessee 12/5/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Florida visits Tennessee on 12/5/2020 at 3:30PM.

Florida and Tennessee face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Florida has a record of 7-1 this season. Tennessee is 2-5 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Florida Team Defense Preview

Florida has had 89 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.74 plays per drive. Florida lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Florida has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Florida opponents pass the football 52.05% of the time.Florida tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.06 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Florida has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Florida Team Offense Preview

Florida has had 85 total drives this season and they generate 6.2 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Florida. Any defense is in for a challenge with Florida, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Passing plays make up 55.03% of their play calls.Florida tends to pass more than other teams.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Florida has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Florida can take credit for 3.3 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Florida has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Florida is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Florida is a better passing team than running team this season.

Tennessee Team Defense Preview

Tennessee has had 71 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 6.08 plays per drive. The struggle is real. Tennessee cannot find a way to get opposing offenses off the field. Three and outs are not common and if the team needs a three-and-out late in a game to get the ball back, it is just not happening.Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Tennessee message boards are flights of fantasy. Passing plays make up 43.98% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Tennessee is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.69 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Tennessee is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Tennessee Team Offense Preview

Tennessee has had 74 total drives this season and they generate 5.5 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Tennessee is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Tennessee passes the football 43.98% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Tennessee has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Tennessee can take credit for 3.22 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Tennessee coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Tennessee Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Tennessee has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Florida Roster

The Players to Watch for Florida

Kyle Trask QB 6-5 240

This season, Kyle Trask has put up 2810 yards and 34 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 196.8thus far this season. Kyle Trask has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Kyle Trask has 88.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 75.4 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 36.0 times this season, which puts him in the 74.44 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Dameon Pierce RB 5-10 215

This season, Dameon Pierce has 412 rushing yards on 80 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Dameon Pierce picked up 114 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 11 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Trevon Grimes WR 6-4 218

This season, Trevon Grimes picked up 358 yards. He caught the ball 24 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tedarrell Slaton DL 6-5 340

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Florida, Tedarrell Slaton has 28 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 78.17 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 82.48 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Shawn Davis DB 6-0 206.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Florida, Shawn Davis had 39 tackles which puts him in the 90.85 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 87.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Shawn Davis as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.96 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Tennessee Roster

The Players to Watch for Tennessee

Jarrett Guarantano QB 6-4 230

This season, Jarrett Guarantano has put up 1112 yards and 6 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 125.4thus far this season. Jarrett Guarantano has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Jarrett Guarantano has 17.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 44.29 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 41.0 times this season, which puts him in the 80.0 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 4.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Eric Gray RB 5-10 205

This season, Eric Gray has 651 rushing yards on 132 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Eric Gray picked up 199 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 22 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Josh Palmer WR 6-2 210

This season, Josh Palmer picked up 331 yards. He caught the ball 22 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Matthew Butler DL 6-4 291

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Tennessee, Matthew Butler has 30 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 66.53 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 68.5 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Trevon Flowers DB 5-11 195.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Tennessee, Trevon Flowers had 44 tackles which puts him in the 93.65 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 87.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Trevon Flowers as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 38.31 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Florida vs. Tennessee Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Florida 37 Tennessee 21

Spread Pick: Tennessee +17.5 -104 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Florida -698 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Under 62.5 -105 5Dimes