College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Florida vs. Vanderbilt 11/21/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Florida visits Vanderbilt on 11/21/2020 at 12:00PM.

Florida and Vanderbilt face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Florida has a record of 5-1 this season. Vanderbilt is 0-6 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Florida Team Defense Preview

Florida has had 68 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.74 plays per drive. Florida lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Florida has shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Passing plays make up 54.36% of their opponents’ play calls.Florida tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Florida can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.19 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Florida has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Florida Team Offense Preview

Florida has had 64 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.41 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Florida. Any defense is in for a challenge with Florida, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Florida passes the football 55.85% of the time.This is an Air Raid Offense team, they are going to pass the ball a lot and running plays are only used to keep opponents honest.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Florida can take credit for 3.27 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Florida coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Florida this season. Florida is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Florida is a better passing team than running team this season.

Vanderbilt Team Defense Preview

Vanderbilt has had 53 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.98 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Vanderbilt is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Vanderbilt message boards are flights of fantasy. Vanderbilt opponents pass the football 57.95% of the time.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Vanderbilt opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.05 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Vanderbilt has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Vanderbilt Team Offense Preview

Vanderbilt has had 51 total drives this season and they generate 6.27 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Vanderbilt. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 49.38% of their play calls.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Vanderbilt is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Vanderbilt can take credit for 2.84 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the Vanderbilt Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. Vanderbilt is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Florida Roster

The Players to Watch for Florida

Kyle Trask QB 6-5 240

This season, Kyle Trask has put up 2171 yards and 28 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 197.5thus far this season. Kyle Trask has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Kyle Trask has 78.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 75.94 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 29.0 times this season, which puts him in the 72.7 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Dameon Pierce RB 5-10 215

This season, Dameon Pierce has 290 rushing yards on 61 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Dameon Pierce picked up 89 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 6 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Trevon Grimes WR 6-4 218

This season, Trevon Grimes picked up 303 yards. He caught the ball 19 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 5 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tedarrell Slaton DL 6-5 340

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Florida, Tedarrell Slaton has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 69.21 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 84.25 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Shawn Davis DB 6-0 206

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Florida, Shawn Davis had 28 tackles which puts him in the 85.46 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 76.48 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Shawn Davis as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 86.34 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Vanderbilt Roster

The Players to Watch for Vanderbilt

Ken Seals QB 6-3 218

This season, Ken Seals has put up 1291 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 8 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 127.5thus far this season. Ken Seals has thrown 8 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Ken Seals has -23.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 7.34 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 26.0 times this season, which puts him in the 69.62 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Keyon Brooks RB 6-1 200

This season, Keyon Brooks has 374 rushing yards on 85 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Keyon Brooks picked up 215 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 22 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Cam Johnson WR 6-0 198

This season, Cam Johnson picked up 355 yards. He caught the ball 37 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Dayo Odeyingbo DL 6-6 276

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Vanderbilt, Dayo Odeyingbo has 24 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 5 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 91.82 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 95.66 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Anfernee Orji S 6-2 224

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Vanderbilt, Anfernee Orji had 39 tackles which puts him in the 93.98 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Anfernee Orji as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.44 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Jaylen Mahoney CB 5-11 185

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Vanderbilt, Jaylen Mahoney had 37 tackles which puts him in the 97.96 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 93.24 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Jaylen Mahoney as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.84 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Florida vs. Vanderbilt Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Florida 53 Vanderbilt 15

Spread Pick: Florida -31 -110 Bookmaker
Moneyline Pick: Florida -2288 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Under 68.5 -108 Heritage