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Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State 11/28/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Georgia Southern visits Georgia State on 11/28/2020 at 12:00PM.

Georgia Southern and Georgia State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Georgia Southern has a record of 6-3 this season. Georgia State is 4-4 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Georgia Southern Team Defense Preview

Georgia Southern has had 97 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.31 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Georgia Southern opponents pass the football 51.65% of the time.Georgia Southern tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Georgia Southern opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Georgia Southern can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.4 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Georgia Southern has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Georgia Southern Team Offense Preview

Georgia Southern has had 97 total drives this season and they generate 5.36 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Georgia Southern has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 24.23% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Georgia Southern can take credit for 3.24 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Georgia Southern coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Georgia Southern has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Georgia Southern is a better passing team than running team this season.

Georgia State Team Defense Preview

Georgia State has had 110 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.05 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Georgia State is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Georgia State has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 60.36% of their opponents’ play calls.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Georgia State opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Georgia State can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.64 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

Georgia State has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Georgia State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Georgia State Team Offense Preview

Georgia State has had 108 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.14 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Georgia State is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Georgia State is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Georgia State passes the football 42.34% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Georgia State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.89 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Georgia State Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Georgia State has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Georgia Southern Roster

The Players to Watch for Georgia Southern

Shai Werts QB 5-11 205

This season, Shai Werts has put up 870 yards and 7 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 135.9thus far this season. Shai Werts has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Shai Werts has 598.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 99.02 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 120.0 times this season, which puts him in the 99.67 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 7.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

J.D. King RB 5-11 220

This season, J.D. King has 625 rushing yards on 116 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, J.D. King picked up 14 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 3 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Malik Murray WR 6-0 180

This season, Malik Murray picked up 236 yards. He caught the ball 16 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

C.J. Wright NT 6-0 290

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Georgia Southern, C.J. Wright has 26 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 84.98 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 34.51 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Raymond Johnson III DE 6-3 270

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Georgia Southern, Raymond Johnson III has 19 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 7 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 95.93 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 5 times this season, which put him in the 97.25 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Anthony Wilson S 5-10 190.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Georgia Southern, Anthony Wilson had 36 tackles which puts him in the 90.99 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 88.98 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Anthony Wilson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 39.16 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Derrick Canteen CB 5-11 185

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Georgia Southern, Derrick Canteen had 31 tackles which puts him in the 95.72 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 35.17 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Derrick Canteen as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 94.5 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Georgia State Roster

The Players to Watch for Georgia State

Cornelious Brown QB 6-5 200

This season, Cornelious Brown has put up 1674 yards and 13 touchdowns. He has thrown 8 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 128.3thus far this season. Cornelious Brown has thrown 8 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Cornelious Brown has 262.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 92.13 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 82.0 times this season, which puts him in the 96.07 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 6.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Destin Coates RB 5-11 198

This season, Destin Coates has 605 rushing yards on 128 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Destin Coates picked up 58 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 10 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Sam Pinckney WR 6-4 210

This season, Sam Pinckney picked up 627 yards. He caught the ball 34 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jeffery Clark DL 6-0 276

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Georgia State, Jeffery Clark has 20 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 5 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 90.07 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 94.93 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Antavious Lane S 5-9 180.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Georgia State, Antavious Lane had 50 tackles which puts him in the 97.45 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 88.98 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Antavious Lane as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes last season, which puts him in the 98.79 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Quavian White CB 5-10 185

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Georgia State, Quavian White had 43 tackles which puts him in the 97.86 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 92.66 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 2 times last season. Quavian White as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 94.5 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Georgia Southern 32 Georgia State 26

Spread Pick: Georgia Southern +2 -110 BetOnline
Moneyline Pick: Georgia Southern +103 matchbook
Total Pick: Over 52.5 -106 Pinnacle Sports