College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Georgia State vs. South Alabama 11/21/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Georgia State visits South Alabama on 11/21/2020 at 3:30PM.

Georgia State and South Alabama face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Georgia State has a record of 3-4 this season. South Alabama is 3-5 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Georgia State Team Defense Preview

Georgia State has had 96 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.96 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Georgia State is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Georgia State has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 60.08% of their opponents’ play calls.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Georgia State opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.47 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Georgia State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Georgia State Team Offense Preview

Georgia State has had 94 total drives this season and they generate 5.15 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Georgia State is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Georgia State is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 42.77% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Georgia State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Georgia State can take credit for 2.89 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Georgia State Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Georgia State has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

South Alabama Team Defense Preview

South Alabama has had 86 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.63 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. South Alabama has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. South Alabama opponents pass the football 45.45% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

South Alabama is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? South Alabama can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.81 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This is not a disruptive Defense and they get pushed over way too easily. Perhaps they are too vanilla with playcalling. This front seven is simply unable to make an impact, something must change or else the problems will repeat. South Alabama is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

South Alabama Team Offense Preview

South Alabama has had 85 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 6.01 plays per drive. South Alabama runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. South Alabama passes the football 49.12% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

South Alabama struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. South Alabama can take credit for 2.38 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have been able to impose their will on the South Alabama Offense this season. Front sevens of opposing defenses are causing a lot of problems. South Alabama is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Georgia State Roster

The Players to Watch for Georgia State

Cornelious Brown QB 6-5 200

This season, Cornelious Brown has put up 1340 yards and 13 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 125.8thus far this season. Cornelious Brown has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Cornelious Brown has 231.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 91.3 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 72.0 times this season, which puts him in the 94.54 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 5.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Destin Coates RB 5-11 198

This season, Destin Coates has 581 rushing yards on 126 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Destin Coates picked up 58 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 10 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Sam Pinckney WR 6-4 210

This season, Sam Pinckney picked up 451 yards. He caught the ball 29 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 6 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jeffery Clark DL 6-0 276

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Georgia State, Jeffery Clark has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 86.99 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 84.25 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Antavious Lane S 5-9 180

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Georgia State, Antavious Lane had 50 tackles which puts him in the 98.24 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.05 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Antavious Lane as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes last season, which puts him in the 99.03 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Quavian White CB 5-10 185

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Georgia State, Quavian White had 38 tackles which puts him in the 98.58 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 93.24 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 2 times last season. Quavian White as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 94.65 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The South Alabama Roster

The Players to Watch for South Alabama

Desmond Trotter QB 6-3 200

This season, Desmond Trotter has put up 1320 yards and 9 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 153.9thus far this season. Desmond Trotter has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Desmond Trotter has 43.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 62.63 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 53.0 times this season, which puts him in the 89.25 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Carlos Davis RB 5-10 205

This season, Carlos Davis has 604 rushing yards on 140 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Carlos Davis picked up 82 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jalen Tolbert WR 6-3 195

This season, Jalen Tolbert picked up 666 yards. He caught the ball 44 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 5 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jeremiah Littles DL 6-2 290

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for South Alabama, Jeremiah Littles has 18 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 81.28 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 84.25 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Keith Gallmon S 5-9 205

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for South Alabama, Keith Gallmon had 63 tackles which puts him in the 99.4 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 76.48 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Keith Gallmon as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 86.34 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Darrell Luter Jr. CB 6-0 175

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for South Alabama, Darrell Luter Jr. had 25 tackles which puts him in the 92.77 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 36.32 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Darrell Luter Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.84 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Georgia State vs. South Alabama Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Georgia State 33 South Alabama 26

Spread Pick: Georgia State -3.5 -114 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Georgia State -165 BetOnline
Total Pick: Over 57.5 -110 SkyBook