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Hawaii vs. San Diego State 11/14/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Hawaii visits San Diego State on 11/14/2020 at 4:00PM.

Hawaii and San Diego State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Hawaii has a record of 2-1 this season. San Diego State is 2-1 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Hawaii Team Defense Preview

Hawaii has had 38 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.63 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Hawaii has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Hawaii opponents pass the football 40.65% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.31 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Hawaii has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Hawaii Team Offense Preview

Hawaii has had 36 total drives this season and they generate 5.64 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Hawaii has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Hawaii passes the football 52.71% of the time.Hawaii tends to pass more than other teams.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Hawaii can take credit for 3.46 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Hawaii Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Hawaii has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

San Diego State Team Defense Preview

San Diego State has had 32 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.91 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, San Diego State is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 54.14% of their opponents’ play calls.San Diego State tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

San Diego State opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.24 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

San Diego State has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. San Diego State should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, this front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. San Diego State has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

San Diego State Team Offense Preview

San Diego State has had 31 total drives this season and they generate 6.42 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to San Diego State. San Diego State has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. San Diego State passes the football 40.70% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, San Diego State has done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.19 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The San Diego State coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the San Diego State Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. San Diego State has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Hawaii Roster

The Players to Watch for Hawaii

Chevan Cordeiro QB 6-1 190

This season, Chevan Cordeiro has put up 749 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 134.1thus far this season. Chevan Cordeiro has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Chevan Cordeiro has 156.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 89.32 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 32.0 times this season, which puts him in the 78.83 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Miles Reed RB 5-8 190

This season, Miles Reed has 190 rushing yards on 33 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 0 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Miles Reed picked up 2 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 4 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Nick Mardner WR 6-6 190

This season, Nick Mardner picked up 173 yards. He caught the ball 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Justus Tavai DL 6-3 295

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Hawaii, Justus Tavai has 11 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 54.21 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Khoury Bethley DB 5-10 200

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Hawaii, Khoury Bethley had 22 tackles which puts him in the 79.33 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 77.36 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Khoury Bethley as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.1 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The San Diego State Roster

The Players to Watch for San Diego State

Carson Baker QB 6-3 210

This season, Carson Baker has put up 561 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has thrown 1 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 129.3thus far this season. Carson Baker has thrown 1 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Carson Baker has 9.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 42.7 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 18.0 times this season, which puts him in the 62.28 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Greg Bell RB 6-0 200

This season, Greg Bell has 377 rushing yards on 66 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Greg Bell picked up 63 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jesse Matthews WR 6-0 190

This season, Jesse Matthews picked up 173 yards. He caught the ball 10 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Keshawn Banks DL 6-4 275

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for San Diego State, Keshawn Banks has 7 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 83.78 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.91 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Dwayne Johnson Jr. S 6-2 215

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for San Diego State, Dwayne Johnson Jr. had 18 tackles which puts him in the 71.49 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.67 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 1 times last season. Dwayne Johnson Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.1 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Cedarious Barfield CB 5-11 190

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for San Diego State, Cedarious Barfield had 12 tackles which puts him in the 66.27 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 93.39 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Cedarious Barfield as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 85.08 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Hawaii vs. San Diego State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Hawaii 17 San Diego State 23

Spread Pick: Hawaii +11 -156 matchbook
Moneyline Pick: San Diego State -340 5Dimes
Total Pick: Under 53 -112 matchbook