NFL Picks, Predictions, and Previews

Houston Texans vs. Chicago Bears 12/13/2020 NFL Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Houston Texans visit the Chicago Bears on 12/13/2020 at 1:00PM.

Houston and Chicago face off in a critical regular season game as part of this unpredictable and chaotic 2020 NFL Season. Houston has a record of 4-8 this season. Chicago is 5-7 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Houston Team Defense Preview

Houston faces 6.6 plays per drive, this defense gives up 38.4 yards per drive, and opponents score 2.47 points per offensive possession. On 42.5% of defensive possessions, opponents find a way to come away with points, but on 6.3% of defensive possessions, they force opponents to cough up the ball. Defensive possessions start on average at opponent’s Own 27.0 and these drives typically last 3:09.

Opposing quarterbacks have a QBR of 106.6 against Houston and on 0.7% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. Houston has forced a sack rate of 6.3% this season.

Examining Houston in a few key defensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have encountered 158 opponent third down attempts this season and opponents have converted 74 of these attempts, which comes out to a success rate of 46.8%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had to wall up against 17 fourth down attempts this season and opponents have converted 9 of these attempts, which comes out to a success rate of 52.9%. Defensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone, which is why defenses strive to avoid this from happening. They have had allowed offenses 46 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and opponents successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 28 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 60.9%.

Houston Team Offense Preview

Houston has 5.9 plays per drive, they generate 35.4 yards per drive, and this offense puts up 2.31 points per drive. On 42.3% of offensive possessions, they find a way to come away with points, but 8.9% of the time, they are afflicted by the turnover bug. Their offensive drives start typically at their Own 26.8 yard line, they typically last 2:37.

On 6.0% of passes thrown, it results in a touchdown and on 1.5% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. Houston has given up 33 sacks this season and there were 184 yards lost as a result of the inability to protect the Quarterback.

They rushed for 3.9 yards per carry and for 84.4 yards per game. This offense coughed up the ball 12 times this season.

Examining Houston in a few key offensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have navigated through 143 third down attempts this season and successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 59 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 41.3%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had 10 fourth down attempts this season and successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 6 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 60.0%. It is critical for offenses to get the ball into the Red Zone. They have had 36 Red Zone entrances this season and successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 21 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 58.3%.

Chicago Team Defense Preview

Chicago yields 5.9 plays per drive, they hold opponents to 30.4 yards per drive, and this defense lets offenses score 1.96 points per drive. 38.6% of the time on defensive possessions, opponents will score a Touchdown or convert on a Field Goal Attempt, but 8.6% of the time, they force opposing offenses to turn the ball over. Their offensive drives start typically at their opponent’s Own 29.9 yard line, they typically last 2:39.

Opposing quarterbacks have a QBR of 91.7 against Chicago and 1.7% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Chicago has forced a sack rate of 5.2% this season.

We will get more situational with Chicago and examine various situations. They have faced 166 third down attempts this season and opponents have converted 60 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 36.1%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had to wall up against 17 fourth down attempts this season and the opposition have successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 12 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 70.6%. Defensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone, which is why defenses strive to avoid this from happening. They have had allowed offenses 42 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and their opponents have converted 22 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a conversion rate of 52.4%.

Chicago Team Offense Preview

Chicago has 6.0 plays per drive, this offense averages 28.2 yards per drive, and they score 1.74 points per offensive possession. 33.1% of the time on offensive possessions, they will score a Touchdown or convert on a Field Goal Attempt, but on 12.8% of offensive possessions, they find cough the ball up to the opponent. Their offensive drives start typically at their Own 29.4 yard line, they usually take up 2:41 of time.

On 4.1% of passes thrown, it results in a touchdown and 2.7% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Chicago has given up 30 sacks this season and this has resulted in 234 yards lost.

They rushed for 4.0 yards per carry and for 86.9 yards per game. This offense coughed up the ball 16 times this season.

Examining Chicago in a few key offensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have navigated through 156 third down attempts this season and have converted 50 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 32.1%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have willingly and unwillingly encountered 20 fourth down conversion attempts this season and successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 10 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 50.0%. Offensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone. They have had 35 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 20 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 57.1%.

The Houston Roster

The Players to Watch for Houston

Deshaun Watson QB 6-2 220

This season, Deshaun Watson has put up 3542 yards and 24 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 110.0thus far this season. Deshaun Watson has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Deshaun Watson has 331 rushing yards, which puts him in the 86.36 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 69 times this season, which puts him in the 90.91 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3 rushing touchdowns this season.

David Johnson RB 6-1 224

This season, David Johnson has 452 rushing yards on 113 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, David Johnson picked up 161 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 16 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Will Fuller WR 6-0 184

This season, Will Fuller picked up 879 yards. He caught the ball 53 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 8 receiving touchdowns this season.

Brandon Dunn NT 6-2 310

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Houston, Brandon Dunn has 12 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 18.59 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0.0 fumbles this season.

J.J. Watt DE 6-5 288

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Houston, J.J. Watt has 30 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 5 times this season, which put him in the 75.62 among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 2.0 fumbles this season.

Justin Reid SS 6-1 203

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Houston, Justin Reid had 60 tackles which puts him in the 95.11 percentile among non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 2 times this season. Justin Reid as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 21.34 percentile among secondary position players this season.

Vernon Hargreaves III CB 5-10 204

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Houston, Vernon Hargreaves III had 42 tackles which puts him in the 89.17 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Vernon Hargreaves III as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 58.41 percentile among Corners this season.

The Chicago Roster

The Players to Watch for Chicago

Nick Foles QB 6-6 243

This season, Nick Foles has put up 1852 yards and 10 touchdowns. He has thrown 8 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 81.0thus far this season. Nick Foles has thrown 8 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Nick Foles has 3 rushing yards, which puts him in the 12.5 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 14 times this season, which puts him in the 34.09 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 1 rushing touchdowns this season.

David Montgomery RB 5-10 222

This season, David Montgomery has 647 rushing yards on 159 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, David Montgomery picked up 291 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 39 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Allen Robinson WR 6-2 220

This season, Allen Robinson picked up 904 yards. He caught the ball 77 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 5 receiving touchdowns this season.

Akiem Hicks DT 6-4 352

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Chicago, Akiem Hicks has 26 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 90.38 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0.0 fumbles this season.

Robert Quinn DE 6-4 257

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Chicago, Robert Quinn has 10 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 19.38 among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 2.0 fumbles this season.

Eddie Jackson SS 6-0 204

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Chicago, Eddie Jackson had 51 tackles which puts him in the 85.87 percentile among non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Eddie Jackson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 21.34 percentile among secondary position players this season.

Buster Skrine CB 5-9 187

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Chicago, Buster Skrine had 52 tackles which puts him in the 97.08 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Buster Skrine as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 21.68 percentile among Corners this season.

Houston Texans vs. Chicago Bears Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Houston Texans 22 Chicago Bears 23

Spread Pick: Chicago +2 -107 5Dimes
Moneyline Pick: Chicago +115 5Dimes
Total Pick: Under 46.5 -105 5Dimes