College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Houston vs. Cincinnati 11/7/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Houston visits Cincinnati on 11/7/2020 at 3:30PM.

Houston and Cincinnati face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Houston has a record of 2-2 this season. Cincinnati is 5-0 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Houston Team Defense Preview

Houston has had 50 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.16 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Houston is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 46.90% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Houston opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Houston can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.53 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Houston is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Houston Team Offense Preview

Houston has had 49 total drives this season and they generate 5.73 plays per drive. Houston runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Houston is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 52.31% of their play calls.Houston tends to pass more than other teams.

Houston is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Houston can take credit for 2.65 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Houston Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Houston is a better passing team than running team this season.

Cincinnati Team Defense Preview

Cincinnati has had 54 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.57 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Cincinnati opponents pass the football 54.15% of the time.Cincinnati tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Cincinnati opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Cincinnati can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.18 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

Cincinnati has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Cincinnati is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Cincinnati Team Offense Preview

Cincinnati has had 54 total drives this season and they generate 5.06 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Cincinnati is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Cincinnati is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 43.96% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Cincinnati is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.89 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Cincinnati Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Cincinnati is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Houston Roster

The Players to Watch for Houston

Clayton Tune QB 6-3 215

This season, Clayton Tune has put up 1208 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 148.1thus far this season. Clayton Tune has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Clayton Tune has 112.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 85.29 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 38.0 times this season, which puts him in the 84.31 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Kyle Porter RB 5-9 210

This season, Kyle Porter has 255 rushing yards on 65 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 3 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Kyle Porter picked up 89 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Marquez Stevenson WR 6-0 190

This season, Marquez Stevenson picked up 278 yards. He caught the ball 16 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 3 receiving touchdowns this season.

Payton Turner DL 6-6 270

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Houston, Payton Turner has 24 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 10 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 99.75 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 97.48 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Gervarrius Owens S 6-0 200

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Houston, Gervarrius Owens had 23 tackles which puts him in the 82.88 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 79.41 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Gervarrius Owens as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.81 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Damarion Williams CB 5-11 180

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Houston, Damarion Williams had 17 tackles which puts him in the 84.39 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 37.55 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Damarion Williams as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.66 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Cincinnati Roster

The Players to Watch for Cincinnati

Desmond Ridder QB 6-4 215

This season, Desmond Ridder has put up 994 yards and 10 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 150.0thus far this season. Desmond Ridder has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Desmond Ridder has 291.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 97.65 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 33.0 times this season, which puts him in the 80.98 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 5.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Gerrid Doaks RB 6-0 230

This season, Gerrid Doaks has 327 rushing yards on 80 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 6 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Gerrid Doaks picked up 136 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jayson Jackson WR 5-10 175

This season, Jayson Jackson picked up 203 yards. He caught the ball 12 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Elijah Ponder DT 6-3 275

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Cincinnati, Elijah Ponder has 14 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 80.33 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 36.61 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Myjai Sanders DE 6-5 258

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Cincinnati, Myjai Sanders has 20 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 98.93 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 5 times this season, which put him in the 99.06 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

James Wiggins S 6-0 205

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Cincinnati, James Wiggins had 20 tackles which puts him in the 78.1 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 79.41 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 1 times last season. James Wiggins as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 40.81 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Coby Bryant CB 6-1 198

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Cincinnati, Coby Bryant had 19 tackles which puts him in the 89.96 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 82.34 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Coby Bryant as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes last season, which puts him in the 95.72 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Houston vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Houston 16 Cincinnati 31

Spread Pick: Cincinnati -12 -116 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Cincinnati -450 5Dimes
Total Pick: Under 53.5 -115 BetOnline