College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Houston vs. Memphis 12/12/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Houston visits Memphis on 12/12/2020 at 3:30PM.

Houston and Memphis face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Houston has a record of 3-3 this season. Memphis is 6-3 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Houston Team Defense Preview

Houston has had 70 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.06 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Houston is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Houston has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Houston opponents pass the football 47.18% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Houston opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.79 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Long breakout runs against this Defense are far too common. This is a very porous rushing defense that is incapable of preventing a situation where their safeties chase down a running back or quarterback.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Houston is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Houston Team Offense Preview

Houston has had 66 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.61 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Houston is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Houston passes the football 51.35% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Houston is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.88 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Houston Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Houston is a better passing team than running team this season.

Memphis Team Defense Preview

Memphis has had 108 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.73 plays per drive. Memphis lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Memphis has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Memphis opponents pass the football 53.47% of the time.Memphis tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Memphis is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.95 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average defense when it comes to how offensive lines control or fail to control them on the ground. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Memphis is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Memphis Team Offense Preview

Memphis has had 110 total drives this season and they generate 5.72 plays per drive. Memphis runs a lot of plays per drive and this could wear an opposing defense down. Memphis is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Passing plays make up 54.85% of their play calls.Memphis tends to pass more than other teams.

Memphis struggles with running the ball, getting zero or negative yard plays is disspiriting and the offensive line is not effectively making a good push. Poor playcalling, pre-snap adjustments or post-snap reads may be responsible and this could fall on the Quarterback, Offensive Coordinator, and Head Coach. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Memphis can take credit for 2.54 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. This is also a team that is getting to the second-level in an average fashion. Offensive line and running backs are average in this regard. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Memphis Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Memphis is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Houston Roster

The Players to Watch for Houston

Clayton Tune QB 6-3 215

This season, Clayton Tune has put up 1562 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 139.1thus far this season. Clayton Tune has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Clayton Tune has 233.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 88.27 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 52.0 times this season, which puts him in the 82.56 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 4.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Kyle Porter RB 5-9 210

This season, Kyle Porter has 324 rushing yards on 81 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Kyle Porter picked up 91 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 10 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Keith Corbin WR 6-1 197

This season, Keith Corbin picked up 333 yards. He caught the ball 24 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Payton Turner DL 6-6 270.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Houston, Payton Turner has 24 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 10 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 98.02 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 93.64 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Thabo Mwaniki S 5-11 190.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Houston, Thabo Mwaniki had 26 tackles which puts him in the 73.68 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 31.97 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Thabo Mwaniki as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 83.84 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Damarion Williams CB 5-11 180

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Houston, Damarion Williams had 22 tackles which puts him in the 78.47 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 77.62 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Damarion Williams as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 36.4 percentile among Corners this season.

The Memphis Roster

The Players to Watch for Memphis

Brady White QB 6-3 210

This season, Brady White has put up 2850 yards and 26 touchdowns. He has thrown 8 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 147.9thus far this season. Brady White has thrown 8 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Brady White has 64.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 66.98 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 56.0 times this season, which puts him in the 85.49 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Rodrigues Clark RB 6-0 200

This season, Rodrigues Clark has 500 rushing yards on 117 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Rodrigues Clark picked up 35 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Calvin Austin III WR 5-9 162

This season, Calvin Austin III picked up 951 yards. He caught the ball 53 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 9 receiving touchdowns this season.

Morris Joseph Jr. DL 6-2 275.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Memphis, Morris Joseph Jr. has 35 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 9 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 97.36 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 7 times this season, which put him in the 98.83 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Quindell Johnson DB 6-1 195.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Memphis, Quindell Johnson had 66 tackles which puts him in the 98.6 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 86.1 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Quindell Johnson as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 94.47 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Jacobi Francis CB 5-10 180

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Memphis, Jacobi Francis had 26 tackles which puts him in the 85.98 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 3 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 97.73 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Jacobi Francis as a ball hawker was able to pick off 2 passes this season, which puts him in the 93.48 percentile among Corners this season.

Houston vs. Memphis Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Houston 32 Memphis 34

Spread Pick: Memphis +5 -109 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Memphis +176 Bookmaker
Total Pick: Over 62.5 -108 5Dimes