College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Indiana vs. Ohio State 11/21/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Indiana visits Ohio State on 11/21/2020 at 12:00PM.

Indiana and Ohio State face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Indiana has a record of 4-0 this season. Ohio State is 3-0 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Indiana Team Defense Preview

Indiana has had 50 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.92 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Indiana is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Indiana opponents pass the football 55.69% of the time.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, this defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.17 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. This is also a team that is allowing running backs and quarterbacks to get to the second-level in an average fashion. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Indiana has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Indiana is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Indiana Team Offense Preview

Indiana has had 52 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.04 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Indiana is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Passing plays make up 55.73% of their play calls.Indiana tends to pass more than other teams.

Indiana is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Indiana can take credit for 2.1 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Indiana has bullied and controlled defenses this season, defenses have not been able to dictate what this offense is able to do to them. Opponents should consider a containment strategy. Indiana is among the best in the country at keeping defensive front sevens at bay. Opposing defenses need their secondary players to step up and cause trouble in order for this Offense to be disrupted. Indiana is a better passing team than running team this season.

Ohio State Team Defense Preview

Ohio State has had 31 total defensive drives this season and they yield 4.77 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Ohio State is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Ohio State has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Ohio State opponents pass the football 54.73% of the time.Ohio State tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

Ohio State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Ohio State can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.44 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Ohio State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Ohio State Team Offense Preview

Ohio State has had 28 total drives this season and they generate 6.71 plays per drive. When you are among the best at plays per drive, you are certainly a team that aims to wear down the opposition with a high play count or with long, physical grinding drives that eat up a lot of clock. We need to find out more here when it comes to Ohio State. Any defense is in for a challenge with Ohio State, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Ohio State passes the football 43.62% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Move the pile forward, falling forward, making progress, ensuring north-south running, smart Quarterback reads, well-adjusted alignments to ensure leverage, and an offensive line that is getting a great push forward are cornerstones of this offense. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.25 yards per carry. This offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Ohio State coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Ohio State this season. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Ohio State is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Indiana Roster

The Players to Watch for Indiana

Michael Penix Jr. QB 6-3 218

This season, Michael Penix Jr. has put up 1070 yards and 9 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 136.4thus far this season. Michael Penix Jr. has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Michael Penix Jr. has -2.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 18.6 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 13.0 times this season, which puts him in the 51.02 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Stevie Scott RB 6-2 231

This season, Stevie Scott has 319 rushing yards on 88 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Stevie Scott picked up 25 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 8 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Ty Fryfogle WR 6-2 214

This season, Ty Fryfogle picked up 424 yards. He caught the ball 24 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 4 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jerome Johnson DL 6-3 304

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Indiana, Jerome Johnson has 10 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 69.21 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 84.25 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Devon Matthews DB 6-2 202

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Indiana, Devon Matthews had 21 tackles which puts him in the 72.96 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 90.05 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 1 times last season. Devon Matthews as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 86.34 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

The Ohio State Roster

The Players to Watch for Ohio State

Justin Fields QB 6-3 228

This season, Justin Fields has put up 908 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has thrown 0 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 222.4thus far this season. Justin Fields has thrown 0 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Justin Fields has 57.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 68.43 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 27.0 times this season, which puts him in the 70.99 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Master Teague RB 5-11 225

This season, Master Teague has 211 rushing yards on 47 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Master Teague picked up 37 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 3 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Garrett Wilson WR 6-0 193

This season, Garrett Wilson picked up 344 yards. He caught the ball 24 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tommy Togiai DT 6-2 300

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Ohio State, Tommy Togiai has 14 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 3 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 86.17 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 97.09 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Jonathon Cooper DE 6-4 257

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Ohio State, Jonathon Cooper has 10 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 23.05 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 32.27 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Marcus Hooker S 5-11 200

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Ohio State, Marcus Hooker had 12 tackles which puts him in the 56.2 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 34.12 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Marcus Hooker as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes last season, which puts him in the 86.34 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Shaun Wade CB 6-1 195

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Ohio State, Shaun Wade had 9 tackles which puts him in the 53.93 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss last season, which puts him in the 36.32 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, last season he was able to take them down 0 times last season. Shaun Wade as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes last season, which puts him in the 38.84 percentile among returning secondary position players last season.

Indiana vs. Ohio State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Indiana 22 Ohio State 39

Spread Pick: Indiana +21 -115 bet365
Moneyline Pick: Ohio State -881 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Under 67 -110 Pinnacle Sports