College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Indiana vs. Wisconsin 12/5/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Indiana visits Wisconsin on 12/5/2020 at 3:30PM.

Indiana and Wisconsin face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Indiana has a record of 5-1 this season. Wisconsin is 2-1 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Indiana Team Defense Preview

Indiana has had 78 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.83 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Indiana is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Indiana has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Passing plays make up 54.38% of their opponents’ play calls.Indiana tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents want to air it out against them.

This is a pushover defense. There is not enough push from the Defensive Line and not enough imagination from the Defensive Coordinator to cause chaos in the backfield.Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 3.4 yards per carry. Sorry to say this about this front seven, but the best way to make an average offensive line look good is for them to face this horrid front seven. This is a team that is getting gashed too much for the tastes of their base. Linebackers are not stopping the bleeding well enough. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Indiana has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Indiana is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Indiana Team Offense Preview

Indiana has had 80 total drives this season and they generate 4.93 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Indiana is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Struggles to get ahead of the chains and convert on third and fourth down are common, the offense can stagnate. Indiana passes the football 55.84% of the time.Indiana tends to pass more than other teams.

Indiana is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.09 yards per carry. So what does this mean? It means that the offensive line has been incredibly disappointing in their contribution to the ground game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to bust out big rushing plays.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Indiana this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Indiana is a better passing team than running team this season.

Wisconsin Team Defense Preview

Wisconsin has had 34 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 4.12 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Wisconsin is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 60.71% of their opponents’ play calls.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.

Wisconsin opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Wisconsin can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.3 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. Opponents have shown a relatively average level of explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play against them.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Wisconsin is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Wisconsin Team Offense Preview

Wisconsin has had 37 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.11 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Wisconsin is not a team that runs many plays per drive. The offense is either prone to faltering and struggles to notch first downs or extremely explosive, we will need to find out a bit more to get answers. Wisconsin has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Passing plays make up 46.03% of their play calls.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Wisconsin is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.28 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box may not be enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Wisconsin this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Wisconsin has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Indiana Roster

The Players to Watch for Indiana

Michael Penix Jr. QB 6-3 218

This season, Michael Penix Jr. has put up 1645 yards and 14 touchdowns. He has thrown 4 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 136.5thus far this season. Michael Penix Jr. has thrown 4 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Michael Penix Jr. has 25.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 52.22 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 18.0 times this season, which puts him in the 54.44 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Stevie Scott RB 6-2 231

This season, Stevie Scott has 405 rushing yards on 119 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 8 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Stevie Scott picked up 48 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 10 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Ty Fryfogle WR 6-2 214

This season, Ty Fryfogle picked up 652 yards. He caught the ball 33 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 7 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jerome Johnson DL 6-3 304

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Indiana, Jerome Johnson has 15 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 4 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 83.63 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 94.33 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Tiawan Mullen DB 5-10 176.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Indiana, Tiawan Mullen had 31 tackles which puts him in the 83.32 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 4 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 97.02 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 2 times this season. Tiawan Mullen as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes this season, which puts him in the 98.42 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Wisconsin Roster

The Players to Watch for Wisconsin

Graham Mertz QB 6-3 215

This season, Graham Mertz has put up 605 yards and 8 touchdowns. He has thrown 3 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 150.3thus far this season. Graham Mertz has thrown 3 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Graham Mertz has 19.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 46.51 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 15.0 times this season, which puts him in the 50.63 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Jalen Berger RB 6-0 210

This season, Jalen Berger has 180 rushing yards on 30 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 1 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Jalen Berger picked up 13 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 2 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Chimere Dike WR 6-1 193

This season, Chimere Dike picked up 81 yards. He caught the ball 4 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Keeanu Benton NT 6-4 315

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Wisconsin, Keeanu Benton has 6 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 0 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 24.54 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 33.72 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 2 fumbles this season.

Isaiahh Loudermilk DE 6-7 293

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Wisconsin, Isaiahh Loudermilk has 6 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 1 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 49.74 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 1 times this season, which put him in the 68.5 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Eric Burrell S 6-0 195.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Wisconsin, Eric Burrell had 9 tackles which puts him in the 43.48 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 73.47 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Eric Burrell as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 38.31 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Rachad Wildgoose CB 5-11 197

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Wisconsin, Rachad Wildgoose had 6 tackles which puts him in the 38.86 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 92.38 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Rachad Wildgoose as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.54 percentile among Corners this season.

Indiana vs. Wisconsin Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Indiana 16 Wisconsin 34

Spread Pick: Wisconsin -14 -105 5Dimes
Moneyline Pick: Wisconsin -541 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Over 44.5 -105 Bookmaker