College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Iowa vs. Illinois 12/5/2020 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Iowa visits Illinois on 12/5/2020 at 3:30PM.

Iowa and Illinois face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Iowa has a record of 4-2 this season. Illinois is 2-3 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Iowa Team Defense Preview

Iowa has had 69 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.35 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Iowa has a generally average defense. Nothing too special about it, but they are capable of rising up when needed. Iowa opponents pass the football 50.14% of the time.Opponents typically have some form of run/pass balance against them.

Iowa is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Iowa can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.53 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Iowa is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Iowa Team Offense Preview

Iowa has had 69 total drives this season and they generate 5.45 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Iowa has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Iowa passes the football 48.67% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

Iowa is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.92 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Iowa this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Iowa has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

Illinois Team Defense Preview

Illinois has had 52 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.77 plays per drive. Illinois lets opponents run a lot of plays per drive and in the Fourth Quarter, this team could be gassed. Offensives should lick their lips given their inability to stop anyone, this is one of the worst defenses in the country. The Defensive Coordinator coaching search threads on Illinois message boards are flights of fantasy. Passing plays make up 45.67% of their opponents’ play calls.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Illinois is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Illinois can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 3.24 yards per carry. This defense lets offensive lines have too much control over them on the ground, too much push from the opposing offensive line. Running backs should look forward to this porous defense filled with poor tacklers who take terrible angles. They are capable of giving up a long run, which is really demoralizing when the opposing team has the ball deep in their own territory.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense.. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Illinois is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Illinois Team Offense Preview

Illinois has had 54 total drives this season and they generate 5.56 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Illinois is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Illinois passes the football 38.00% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Illinois is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Illinois can take credit for 2.94 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Illinois Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Illinois has shown themselves to be a better running team than passing team this season.

The Iowa Roster

The Players to Watch for Iowa

Spencer Petras QB 6-5 231

This season, Spencer Petras has put up 1138 yards and 4 touchdowns. He has thrown 5 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 107.7thus far this season. Spencer Petras has thrown 5 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Spencer Petras has 15.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 42.54 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 25.0 times this season, which puts him in the 65.87 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Tyler Goodson RB 5-10 200

This season, Tyler Goodson has 564 rushing yards on 113 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 6 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Tyler Goodson picked up 108 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 11 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Nico Ragaini WR 6-0 193

This season, Nico Ragaini picked up 189 yards. He caught the ball 17 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Daviyon Nixon DT 6-3 305

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Iowa, Daviyon Nixon has 36 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 12 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 100.0 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 5 times this season, which put him in the 99.54 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Chauncey Golston DL 6-5 270

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Iowa, Chauncey Golston has 28 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 7 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 95.17 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 94.33 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Jack Koerner DB 6-0 205.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Iowa, Jack Koerner had 36 tackles which puts him in the 88.75 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 2 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 87.65 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Jack Koerner as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes this season, which puts him in the 98.42 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Illinois Roster

The Players to Watch for Illinois

Coran Taylor QB 6-2 190

This season, Coran Taylor has put up 379 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 132.0thus far this season. Coran Taylor has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Coran Taylor has 74.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 70.95 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 36.0 times this season, which puts him in the 74.44 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Chase Brown RB 5-11 195

This season, Chase Brown has 357 rushing yards on 61 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Chase Brown picked up 15 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 3 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Josh Imatorbhebhe WR 6-2 220

This season, Josh Imatorbhebhe picked up 215 yards. He caught the ball 15 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Owen Carney Jr. DL 6-3 260

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Illinois, Owen Carney Jr. has 16 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 6 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 92.0 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 94.33 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Tony Adams DB 6-0 205.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Illinois, Tony Adams had 41 tackles which puts him in the 92.12 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 0 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 32.62 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Tony Adams as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 84.5 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Iowa vs. Illinois Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Iowa 33 Illinois 12

Spread Pick: Iowa -13.5 -113 Pinnacle Sports
Moneyline Pick: Iowa -467 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Under 51.5 -110 BetOnline