College Football Picks, Predictions, and Previews: The Way It Oughtta Be

Iowa State vs. Kansas State 10/16/2021 College Football Picks, Prediction, and Preview

Iowa State visits Kansas State on 10/16/2021 at 7:30PM.

Iowa State and Kansas State face off in a regular season matchup. Games are on campuses and crowds are full once again! Iowa State sports a record of 3-2 this season. Kansas State is 3-2 this season. Enough preamble… Let’s get to the preview…



Iowa State Team Defense Preview

Iowa State has had 47 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.02 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Iowa State are not a team that allows many plays per drive. The defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Third and long situations are common against this season ‘s defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Iowa State opponents passes the football 43.22% of the time.Their opponents run the ball as opposed airing it out.

Iowa State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.61 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have had been simply unable to support their running games against their defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect them to give up big rushing plays.

Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Iowa State should have a sign ready for opponents near the Visitor Locker Room that says “Welcome to Hell”, their front seven is deep and they cause a lot of problems. Iowa State has had shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season .

Iowa State Team Offense Preview

Iowa State has had 47 total drives this season and they generate 5.53 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run , but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Iowa State is an average offense as far as staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Iowa State passes the football 50.00% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.

On first downs, getting ahead of the chains is crucial and running the ball well on first down can get a team there, Iowa State has had done a good job avoiding the negative yardage rushing plays. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Iowa State can take credit for 3.51 yards per carry. This is an elite offensive line when it comes to generating a push for the running game. They know how to create creases for running backs to break loose. Playing 7 in a box is not enough for opposing defenses, this is a great O-Line. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run forces opponents to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must, especially against zone read looks. They are capable of busting out a long run, which is really good when the team has the ball in their own territory.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Iowa State Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Iowa State is a better passing team than running team this season .

Kansas State Team Defense Preview

Kansas State has had 54 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.91 plays per drive. Kansas State’s opponents run a lot of plays per drive and this leads to fatigue in the Fourth Quarter. Kansas State has had shown an inability to stop defenses from converting on 4th Downs and they let opponents get into manageable 3rd Down situations where an RPO may be especially deadly. Passing plays are 53.61% of their opponents’ play calls.Kansas State tends to face teams that prefer to air it out or opponents wanted to air it out against them.

Defenses want to stop offenses from getting into a 3rd Down where the options are plentiful. Unfortunately, the defense is too porous to limit those choices. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.7 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have had been simply unable to support their running games against their defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect them to give up big rushing plays.

This Defense has had average success disrupting the flow of the opposing offense. Getting more granual into the front seven and their ability to cause trouble, they are just average in this regard. Kansas State is better at stopping the run than the pass this season .

Kansas State Team Offense Preview

Kansas State has had 52 total drives this season and they generate 5.71 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run , but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Any defense is in for a challenge with Kansas State, given their ability to accrue more than 5 yards on 1st Downs and their ability to convert on 3rd and 4th Downs. They put a lot of pressure on opposing defenses.Kansas State passes the football 41.41% of the time.They favors running the ball as opposed airing it out.

Kansas State is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 3.31 yards per carry. It is acceptable to say that this season ‘s offensive line may be underappreciated, even though the running backs get the attention. The Kansas State coaching staff really deserves credit for how they prepared this season ‘s offensive line, but they could be a little bit better! The offensive line and running back corps deserve a lot of credit for gashing defenses with their running game like the way they have this season . With a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, breakout rushing plays are possible, but it is not something to count on from them.

Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Kansas State Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Kansas State is a better running team than passing team this season .

The Iowa State Roster

The Players to Watch for Iowa State

Brock Purdy QB 6’1″ 220 Senior

Brock Purdy put up 1133 yards, tossed 8 touchdowns, and he threw 4 interceptions this season. He threw deep and medium passes to receivers more often than not. His average completed pass was 8.6 yards. The zone read is a common part of the offense and mobility is used as part of the offense, but not necessarily the focus of the offense. His average rush was 4.2 yards.

Breece Hall RB 6’1″ 220 Junior

Breece Hall had 541 rushing yards on 104 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He had 8 rushing touchdowns. He is considered one of the workhorse running backs of College Football returning this season. His average rush was 5.2 yards. He is a consistent option in the passing game considering that he is a running back. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 5.2 yards.

Xavier Hutchinson WR 6’3″ 210 Senior

Xavier Hutchinson picked up 381 yards through the air. He caught the ball 31 times this season. He reached the end zone 3 times. He is a go-to in the passing game. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 12.3 yards.

Isaiah Lee DT 6’0″ 305 Junior

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Iowa State, Isaiah Lee, had 4 tackles this season.He was not a factor as far as tackles for loss was concerned this season.He was a non-factor as far as sacking Quarterbacks was concerned this season.

Zach Petersen DE 6’5″ 275 Senior

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Iowa State, Zach Petersen, had 21 tackles this season.Among Defensive Tackles/Nose Tackles, he was clogging the gaps and playing disruptive proving he is one of the best at forcing lost yardage, he had 3 tackles for loss this season.He was a non-factor as far as sacking Quarterbacks was concerned this season.

Greg Eisworth DB 6’0″ 205 Senior

The leading tackler among Defensive Backs for Iowa State, Greg Eisworth, had 24 tackles this season.He forced 0 tackles for loss this season.He had 0.0 sacks this season.

The Kansas State Roster

The Players to Watch for Kansas State

Skylar Thompson QB 6’2″ 223 Senior

Skylar Thompson put up 560 yards, tossed 3 touchdowns, and he threw 2 interceptions. He was considered one of the gunslingers of College Football this season. His average completed pass was 9.5 yards. His mobility and the staff’s willingness to use it for the purposes of generating yardage is average. His average rush was 2.2 yards.

Deuce Vaughn RB 5’6″ 172 Sophomore

Deuce Vaughn had 444 rushing yards on 90 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He had 5 rushing touchdowns. He is considered one of the workhorse running backs of College Football returning this season. His average rush was 4.9 yards. He is a consistent option in the passing game considering that he is a running back. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 4.9 yards.

Phillip Brooks WR 5’7″ 167 Junior

Phillip Brooks picked up 225 yards through the air. He caught the ball 17 times this season. He reached the end zone 1 times. He is a go-to in the passing game. When he catches a pass, he generates on average 13.2 yards.

Eli Huggins DT 6’4″ 295 Senior

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kansas State, Eli Huggins, had 9 tackles this season.He was a strong force in the interior defense forcing 2 tackles for loss this season.He was a strong pass rusher in the interior this season registering 1 tackles for loss.

Spencer Trussell DE 6’3″ 238 Junior

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kansas State, Spencer Trussell, had 6 tackles this season.Among Defensive Tackles/Nose Tackles, he was clogging the gaps and playing disruptive proving he is one of the best at forcing lost yardage, he had 3 tackles for loss this season.He was a strong pass rusher in the interior this season registering 1 tackles for loss.

Jahron McPherson DB 6’1″ 200 Senior

The leading tackler among Defensive Backs for Kansas State, Jahron McPherson, had 19 tackles this season.Among Defensive Backs, he was very active and disruptive in the backfield, he had 4 tackles for loss this season.He had 0.0 sacks this season.

Iowa State vs. Kansas State Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Iowa State 31 Kansas State 30

Spread Pick: Kansas State +6.5 -105 BetOnline Get Up to a Grand in Your Hand Now!
Moneyline Pick: Iowa State -240 BetAnySports
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