NFL Picks, Predictions, and Previews

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 11/29/2020 NFL Picks, Prediction, and Preview

The Kansas City Chiefs visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on 11/29/2020 at 4:25PM.

Kansas City and Tampa Bay face off in a critical regular season game as part of this unpredictable and chaotic 2020 NFL Season. Kansas City has a record of 9-1 this season. Tampa Bay is 7-4 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Kansas City Team Defense Preview

Kansas City faces 6.5 plays per drive, they hold opponents to 34.3 yards per drive, and opponents score 2.04 points per offensive possession. On 36.9% of defensive possessions, opponents find a way to come away with points, but on 14.6% of defensive possessions, they force opponents to cough up the ball. Defensive possessions start on average at opponent’s Own 25.7 and these drives typically last 2:59.

Opposing quarterbacks have a QBR of 84.9 against Kansas City and on 2.9% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. Kansas City has forced a sack rate of 5.3% this season.

Examining Kansas City in a few key defensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have encountered 121 opponent third down attempts this season and opponents successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 50 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 41.3%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had to wall up against 16 fourth down attempts this season and opponents have converted 11 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 68.8%. Defenses need to prevent possessions from reaching the Red Zone. They have allowed 29 Red Zone entrances this season and their opponents have converted 22 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a conversion rate of 75.9%.

Kansas City Team Offense Preview

Kansas City has 6.8 plays per drive, they generate 42.2 yards per drive, and this offense puts up 3.10 points per drive. 53.1% of the time on offensive possessions, they will score a Touchdown or convert on a Field Goal Attempt, but on 7.1% of offensive possessions, they find cough the ball up to the opponent. Their offensive drives start typically at their Own 29.3 yard line, they usually take up 3:04 of time.

7.1% of passes thrown are touchdown passes by Kansas City and on 0.5% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. Kansas City has given up 13 sacks this season and there were 78 yards lost as a result of the inability to protect the Quarterback.

They rushed for 4.4 yards per carry and for 113.7 yards per game. This offense coughed up the ball 10 times this season.

Examining Kansas City in a few key offensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have navigated through 121 third down attempts this season and successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 61 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 50.4%. There is nothing more pressure-packed than fourth down situations. They have had 12 fourth down attempts this season and successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 7 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 58.3%. It is critical for offenses to get the ball into the Red Zone. They have had 40 Red Zone entrances this season and have converted 27 of these attempts into Touchdowns, which comes out to a success rate of 67.5%.

Tampa Bay Team Defense Preview

Tampa Bay faces 5.6 plays per drive, they hold opponents to 26.9 yards per drive, and opponents score 1.90 points per offensive possession. On 33.9% of defensive possessions, opponents find a way to come away with points, but on 15.0% of defensive possessions, they force opponents to cough up the ball. Defensive possessions start on average at opponent’s Own 30.0 and these drives typically last 2:39.

This defense holds opposing quarterbacks to a Quarterback Rating (QBR) of 91.1 and on 3.4% of passes thrown, it results in an interception. Tampa Bay has caused a sack rate of 7.3% this season.

Examining Tampa Bay in a few key defensive situations would be helpful in making judgments. They have encountered 139 opponent third down attempts this season and opponents successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 57 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 41.0%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have taken on opponents in 14 fourth down conversion attempts this season and opponents have converted 7 of these attempts, which comes out to a conversion rate of 50.0%. Defensive possessions that reach the Red Zone have a higher chance of getting in the End Zone, which is why defenses strive to avoid this from happening. They have had allowed offenses 35 opportunities to score from the Red Zone this season and opponents successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 24 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 68.6%.

Tampa Bay Team Offense Preview

Tampa Bay has 5.9 plays per drive, they generate 31.4 yards per drive, and they score 2.52 points per offensive possession. On 45.6% of offensive possessions, they find a way to come away with points, but 10.4% of the time, they are afflicted by the turnover bug. Their possessions start on average at their Own 31.3 and these drives typically last 2:35.

5.8% of passes thrown are touchdown passes by Tampa Bay and 2.1% of passes thrown are passes that are intercepted.Tampa Bay has given up 15 sacks this season and there were 100 yards lost as a result of the inability to protect the Quarterback.

They rushed for 4.1 yards per carry and for 98.3 yards per game. Rushers, Receivers, and Sitting Duck Quarterbacks fumbled the ball 10 times this season.

Let’s get situational with the Tampa Bay and examine various situations. They have had 140 third down attempts this season and successfully turned the third down attempt into a first down 61 times, which works itself out to a conversion rate of 43.6%. Fourth Down situations are extremely consequential. They have willingly and unwillingly encountered 11 fourth down conversion attempts this season and successfully turned the fourth down attempt into a first down 6 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 54.5%. It is critical for offenses to get the ball into the Red Zone. They have had 43 Red Zone entrances this season and successfully turned a Red Zone entrance into an End Zone celebration 31 times, which works itself out to a success rate of 72.1%.

The Kansas City Roster

The Players to Watch for Kansas City

Patrick Mahomes QB 6-3 230

This season, Patrick Mahomes has put up 3035 yards and 27 touchdowns. He has thrown 2 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 114.3thus far this season. Patrick Mahomes has thrown 2 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Patrick Mahomes has 187 rushing yards, which puts him in the 81.82 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 39 times this season, which puts him in the 84.85 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 2 rushing touchdowns this season.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB 5-7 207

This season, Clyde Edwards-Helaire has 655 rushing yards on 140 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 4 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Clyde Edwards-Helaire picked up 232 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 29 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Tyreek Hill WR 5-10 185

This season, Tyreek Hill picked up 752 yards. He caught the ball 55 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 10 receiving touchdowns this season.

Chris Jones DT 6-6 310

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kansas City, Chris Jones has 17 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 6 times this season, which put him in the 100.0 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 2.0 fumbles this season.

Frank Clark DE 6-3 260

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Kansas City, Frank Clark has 15 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 4 times this season, which put him in the 66.38 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 0.0 fumbles this season.

Daniel Sorensen FS 6-2 208

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kansas City, Daniel Sorensen had 48 tackles which puts him in the 95.65 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Daniel Sorensen as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 93.22 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Charvarius Ward CB 6-1 196

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Kansas City, Charvarius Ward had 26 tackles which puts him in the 62.5 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. Charvarius Ward as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 24.14 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

The Tampa Bay Roster

The Players to Watch for Tampa Bay

Tom Brady QB 6-4 225

This season, Tom Brady has put up 2955 yards and 25 touchdowns. He has thrown 9 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 95.0thus far this season. Tom Brady has thrown 9 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Tom Brady has 8 rushing yards, which puts him in the 21.21 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 19 times this season, which puts him in the 56.06 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 3 rushing touchdowns this season.

Ronald Jones II RB 5-11 208

This season, Ronald Jones II has 754 rushing yards on 153 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 5 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Ronald Jones II picked up 124 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 26 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Mike Evans WR 6-5 231

This season, Mike Evans picked up 563 yards. He caught the ball 45 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 9 receiving touchdowns this season.

Rakeem Nunez-Roches DT 6-2 307

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Tampa Bay, Rakeem Nunez-Roches has 3 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 0 times this season, which put him in the 20.91 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced nan fumbles this season.

Jason Pierre-Paul DE 6-5 275

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Tampa Bay, Jason Pierre-Paul has 27 tackles this season.When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 8 times this season, which put him in the 97.41 among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 3.0 fumbles this season.

Antoine Winfield Jr. FS 5-9 203

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Tampa Bay, Antoine Winfield Jr. had 38 tackles which puts him in the 73.91 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 2 times this season. Antoine Winfield Jr. as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 56.78 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Jamel Dean CB 6-1 206

Considered the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Tampa Bay, Jamel Dean had 39 tackles which puts him in the 94.57 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Jamel Dean as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1.0 passes this season, which puts him in the 62.64 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs 24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27

Spread Pick: Tampa Bay +3.5 -120 bet365
Moneyline Pick: Tampa Bay +169 matchbook
Total Pick: Under 56.5 -106 5Dimes